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MKS Pogon Szczecin v Korona Kielce SA : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Mar, 18:00 BST, Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry, Szczecin

Monday evening sees Thomas Thomasberg’s MKS Pogon Szczecin and Jacek Zielinski’s Korona Kielce SA go head to head in a Ekstraklasa clash at the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that MKS Pogon and Korona will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MKS Pogon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
MKS Pogon 46%	9/10	19/20
Draw 25%	5/2	23/10
Korona 29%	5/2	23/10
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	11/2
MKS Pogon 1-0 10%	15/2	13/2
MKS Pogon 2-1 9%	15/2	7/1
MKS Pogon 2-0 8%	9/1	8/1
Korona 1-0 7%	11/1	9/1
Korona 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 6%	12/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
MKS Pogon 3-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Korona 2-0 4%	20/1	14/1
MKS Pogon 3-0 4%	16/1	12/1
MKS Pogon 3-2 3%	22/1	16/1
Korona 3-1 3%	28/1	18/1
Korona 3-2 2%	33/1	20/1
MKS Pogon 4-1 2%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	3/4	7/10
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	21/20	19/20
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/6	7/10
Away 1st Goal 45%	13/10	11/8
No 1st Goal 4%	12/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 56%	4/6	4/6
BTTS - No 44%	11/10	11/10
BTTS - Home Win 22%	11/4	27/10
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2	19/4
Home/draw 71%	1/4	2/7
Away/draw 54%	4/5	3/4
Home/away 75%	1/4	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	3/1	13/5
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	7/4	17/10
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	2/5	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	9/2	19/5
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/7	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	10/1	8/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12/1	8/1
Home DNB 63%	4/9	10/21
Away DNB 46%	13/8	6/4
MKS Pogon win to nil 24%	5/2	-
Korona win to nil 14%	6/1	-
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon 26%	21/10	21/10
MKS Pogon / Korona 3%	28/1	22/1
MKS Pogon / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / MKS Pogon 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw / Korona 10%	7/1	13/2
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	17/4
Korona / MKS Pogon 4%	20/1	16/1
Korona / Korona 14%	5/1	9/2
Korona / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

MKS Pogon have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 4. MKS Pogon have conceded 27 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

MKS Pogon have played 12 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Korona lay in 7th place on 33 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Korona have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Korona have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	MKS Pogon Korona
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Zaglebie	24	11	8	5	12	41	w 5-1F	May 16	l 1-2F	d 1-1F
2	Jagiellonia	23	10	8	5	10	38	l 1-2A	May 9	Apr 11	l 3-1A
3	Lech Poznan	24	10	8	6	5	38	Apr 18	d 2-2F	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
4	Rakow	24	11	4	9	4	37	w 2-0F	l 2-0A	l 1-4A	May 9
5	Gornik Z.	24	10	5	9	2	35	l 0-3A	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	Apr 18
6	Cracovia	24	8	9	7	3	33	w 2-1A	Apr 25	l 0-1A	May 23
7	Korona	24	9	6	9	2	33	Mar 16	l 1-0A	-	-
8	Plock	24	8	9	7	1	33	May 2	l 2-0A	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
9	Katowice	23	10	3	10	0	33	May 23	l 2-0A	Apr 25	l 1-0A
10	RKS	24	8	8	8	4	32	d 2-2F	l 5-1A	w 3-0F	w 0-2F
11	L.Gdansk	24	10	6	8	4	31	l 3-4F	Mar 21	w 3-0F	Apr 6
12	MKS Pogon	24	9	4	11	-4	31	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 16
13	Motor Lublin	24	7	10	7	-5	31	w 4-1A	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
14	P.Gliwice	24	8	5	11	-4	29	w 2-1F	Apr 11	May 2	d 0-00-0
15	Arka Gdynia	24	8	5	11	-16	29	w 1-0F	l 2-1F	Mar 22	d 0-00-0
16	L. Warsaw	24	6	10	8	-1	28	Apr 6	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	w 1-2F
17	W Lodz	24	8	3	13	-3	27	w 1-0F	w 1-2A	May 16	w 1-3F
18	Termalica	24	5	7	12	-14	22	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	w 2-1F	w 1-3A

	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

MKS Pogon have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
MKS Pogon	1 - 0	W Lodz
MKS Pogon	1 - 0	Arka Gdynia
MKS Pogon	1 - 1	Termalica
MKS Pogon	2 - 2	RKS
MKS Pogon	5 - 1	Zaglebie
MKS Pogon	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
MKS Pogon	2 - 1	Cracovia
MKS Pogon	2 - 1	P.Gliwice
MKS Pogon	3 - 4	L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon	2 - 0	Rakow
MKS Pogon	0 - 3	Gornik Z.
MKS Pogon	4 - 1	Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon	3 - 3	L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon	3 - 0	Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon	1 - 0	Rakow
MKS Pogon	4 - 0	Katowice
MKS Pogon	5 - 2	Cracovia
MKS Pogon	0 - 3	Lech Poznan
MKS Pogon	3 - 0	Gornik Z.
MKS Pogon	1 - 0	Zaglebie

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	MKS Pogon	0 - 2	Rakow
H	MKS Pogon	1 - 0	W Lodz
A	MKS Pogon	1 - 0	Gornik Z.
H	MKS Pogon	1 - 0	Arka Gdynia
H	MKS Pogon	1 - 1	Termalica
A	MKS Pogon	1 - 2	Motor Lublin
H	MKS Pogon	2 - 2	RKS
A	MKS Pogon	0 - 2	Katowice
H	MKS Pogon	5 - 1	Zaglebie
H	MKS Pogon	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
A	MKS Pogon	0 - 2	Plock
H	MKS Pogon	2 - 1	Cracovia
A	MKS Pogon	2 - 2	Lech Poznan
H	MKS Pogon	2 - 1	P.Gliwice
A	MKS Pogon	0 - 1	L. Warsaw
H	MKS Pogon	3 - 4	L.Gdansk
A	MKS Pogon	0 - 1	Korona
H	MKS Pogon	2 - 0	Rakow
A	MKS Pogon	2 - 1	W Lodz
H	MKS Pogon	0 - 3	Gornik Z.

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motor Lublin	2 - 0	Korona
RKS	0 - 2	Korona
L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Korona
W Lodz	1 - 3	Korona
P.Gliwice	0 - 0	Korona
Katowice	1 - 0	Korona
Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Korona
Arka Gdynia	0 - 0	Korona
Termalica	1 - 3	Korona
Lech Poznan	1 - 1	Korona
Zaglebie	1 - 1	Korona
Plock	2 - 0	Korona
Gornik Z.	1 - 1	Korona
L.Gdansk	3 - 2	Korona
P.Gliwice	1 - 1	Korona
Lech Poznan	2 - 0	Korona
Zaglebie	1 - 1	Korona
Stal Mielec	0 - 1	Korona
Cracovia	1 - 1	Korona
L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Korona

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Korona	2 - 1	Termalica
A	Korona	0 - 2	Motor Lublin
H	Korona	1 - 2	Lech Poznan
A	Korona	2 - 0	RKS
H	Korona	1 - 2	Zaglebie
A	Korona	2 - 1	L. Warsaw
H	Korona	1 - 1	Plock
H	Korona	0 - 1	Cracovia
A	Korona	3 - 1	W Lodz
H	Korona	1 - 4	Rakow
A	Korona	0 - 0	P.Gliwice
A	Korona	0 - 1	Katowice
H	Korona	1 - 1	Gornik Z.
A	Korona	1 - 3	Jagiellonia
H	Korona	3 - 0	L.Gdansk
A	Korona	0 - 0	Arka Gdynia
H	Korona	1 - 0	MKS Pogon
A	Korona	3 - 1	Termalica
H	Korona	2 - 0	Motor Lublin
A	Korona	1 - 1	Lech Poznan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

MKS Pogon

Korona

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

3 / 9

POG

KOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT MKS Pogon
MKS Pogon	3 - 0
MKS Pogon	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Korona
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
MKS Pogon	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
MKS Pogon	3 - 2

Korona

MKS Pogon

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

POG

KOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Korona
Korona	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	MKS Pogon
	0 - 1	MKS Pogon
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Korona	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

MKS Pogon Szczecin have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Ekstraklasa outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Korona Kielce SA on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	MKS Pogon 12th	Korona 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 79% probability that MKS Pogon will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Korona will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 MKS Pogon have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	-9 Korona’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season

better

POG

KOR

view stats

Games scored	18		17
Failed to score	6		7
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	33		29
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+5%

POG

KOR

23%

better

view stats

Games conceded	20		17
Clean sheets	4		7
Conceded first	13		10
Goals conceded	37		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		11%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+23%

MKS Pogon v Korona Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	6	6	6
K Grosicki	K Grosicki	K Grosicki	D Loncar

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Koutris DEF	24		1	2 -
P Mukairu FWD	24	5	1	1 -
K Grosicki FWD	23	6	6	3 -
V Cojocaru GLK	22			3 -
F Ulvestad MID	22	4	2	3 -
L Wahlqvist DEF	20		1	5 -
D Loncar DEF	19	1		6 -
D Keramitsis DEF	18	1		3 -
M Juwara FWD	18	1	1	5 -
J Pozo MID	17		1	4 -
S Greenwood MID	15	3	3	4 -
M Ndiaye MID	14	1		3 -
J Bieganski MID	12			1 -
H Ali DEF	11			3 1
L Borges DEF	11		1	1 -
K Smoliński MID	11			-
R. Molnár FWD	10	3		-
B Mendy DEF	7			3 -
K Angielski FWD	6	1		-
A Szalai DEF	5			1 -
K Kaminski GLK	3			-
K Acosta MID	3			1 1
M. Agger FWD	2			-
F. Čuić FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	6	18
K Grosicki	K Grosicki	K Grosicki	K Grosicki

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Grosicki FWD	6	22	6	18
P Mukairu FWD	5	11	1	1
F Ulvestad MID	4	9	2	2
S Greenwood MID	3	10	3	5
R. Molnár FWD	3	13		1
D Loncar DEF	1	3		1
D Keramitsis DEF	1	4		2
M Juwara FWD	1	9	1	7
M Ndiaye MID	1	2
K Angielski FWD	1	2		1
L Koutris DEF		2	1	5
L Wahlqvist DEF		4	1	3
J Pozo MID		2	1	3
H Ali DEF		1
L Borges DEF		1	1	1
K Smoliński MID		6
B Mendy DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
844	28	111
F Ulvestad	L Koutris	F Ulvestad

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Ulvestad MID	844	28	111
D Keramitsis DEF	822	25	68
L Koutris DEF	690	28	63
V Cojocaru GLK	682	1	23
L Wahlqvist DEF	656	18	63
D Loncar DEF	607	8	39
J Pozo MID	528	11	60
M Ndiaye MID	430	11	57
K Grosicki FWD	409	11	24
S Greenwood MID	354	17	38
M Juwara FWD	352	18	68
P Mukairu FWD	327	27	78
J Bieganski MID	288	9	25
A Szalai DEF	279	3	13
L Borges DEF	261	15	30
H Ali DEF	160	5	18
R. Molnár FWD	136	8	40
B Mendy DEF	133	1	6
K Acosta MID	124	1	5
K Smoliński MID	107	6	10
K Kaminski GLK	86		2
K Angielski FWD	57		18
M. Agger FWD	17		1
F. Čuić FWD	12		1

Korona Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	6	4	7
X Dziekonski	D Blanik	W Długosz	B. Smolarczyk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
X Dziekonski GLK	24			-
T Svetlin MID	24		1	3 -
M Remacle MID	23	2		5 -
K Sotiriou DEF	22	5	2	1 -
M Pieczek DEF	22	2	2	-
A Antoñín FWD	21	3	1	1 -
Nono MID	20		2	2 1
N Niski MID	19		2	2 -
S. Davidović MID	19	1	1	-
K Matuszewski MID	19	2	1	1 -
W Długosz MID	18	3	4	2 -
V Nikolov FWD	18		1	5 -
D Blanik MID	17	6	1	3 -
P Resta DEF	15	1	1	2 -
B. Smolarczyk DEF	15	1		7 -
H. Zwoźny MID	12			2 -
W Kaminski MID	10			-
V Popov MID	8			-
M Stępiński FWD	6	3		2 -
S Rubezic DEF	5			1 -
K. Ciszek MID	5			1 -
S Gustafson MID	5			-
M Cebula MID	3			-
K. Minuczyc MID	2			-
M. Głowiński FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	4	6
D Blanik	A Antoñín	W Długosz	K Matuszewski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Blanik MID	6	14	1	5
K Sotiriou DEF	5	8	2	3
A Antoñín FWD	3	15	1	2
W Długosz MID	3	7	4	3
M Stępiński FWD	3	7
M Remacle MID	2	10		2
M Pieczek DEF	2	5	2	1
K Matuszewski MID	2	4	1	6
S. Davidović MID	1	5	1	1
P Resta DEF	1	6	1	2
B. Smolarczyk DEF	1	1		1
T Svetlin MID		4	1	4
Nono MID		1	2	1
N Niski MID		2	2	3
V Nikolov FWD		2	1	1
H. Zwoźny MID		1
S Rubezic DEF		1
M. Głowiński FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
997	40	118
T Svetlin	T Svetlin	T Svetlin

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Svetlin MID	997	40	118
K Sotiriou DEF	936	35	114
X Dziekonski GLK	779		18
M Remacle MID	756	35	105
M Pieczek DEF	614	24	54
P Resta DEF	611	11	67
K Matuszewski MID	454	18	60
B. Smolarczyk DEF	434	17	52
W Długosz MID	332	18	77
Nono MID	306	23	54
D Blanik MID	258	22	62
A Antoñín FWD	227	9	58
W Kaminski MID	189	9	23
S. Davidović MID	185	10	46
S Rubezic DEF	179	3	36
H. Zwoźny MID	151	19	45
V Popov MID	130	14	25
V Nikolov FWD	128	5	52
N Niski MID	100	9	28
M Stępiński FWD	91	3	25
S Gustafson MID	91	6	11
K. Ciszek MID	83	4	12
M Cebula MID	43	2	3
K. Minuczyc MID	14	3	5
M. Głowiński FWD	1		2