KGHM Zaglebie Lubin's team badge MKS Pogon Szczecin's team badge

KGHM Zaglebie Lubin v MKS Pogon Szczecin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 15th May, 17:00 BST, Stadion Zaglebia, Lubin

Leszek Ojrzynski welcomes Thomas Thomasberg to the Stadion Zaglebia on Friday evening, as their KGHM Zaglebie Lubin and MKS Pogon Szczecin teams go head to head in the Ekstraklasa. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Zaglebie and MKS Pogon have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.35.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Zaglebie are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Zaglebie
42%
8/58/5
Draw
28%
12/523/10
MKS Pogon
30%
29/2011/8
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Zaglebie 1-0
13%
9/115/2
MKS Pogon 1-0
10%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
10%
11/19/1
Zaglebie 2-1
8%
9/115/2
Zaglebie 2-0
8%
12/111/1
MKS Pogon 2-1
7%
9/115/2
MKS Pogon 2-0
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
4%
12/110/1
Zaglebie 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Zaglebie 3-0
3%
25/118/1
MKS Pogon 3-1
2%
18/114/1
Zaglebie 3-2
2%
25/118/1
MKS Pogon 3-0
2%
25/116/1
MKS Pogon 3-2
1%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4/58/11
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/110/11
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
44%
10/1110/11
No 1st Goal
7%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/613/20
BTTS - No
54%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/118/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/410/3
Home/draw
70%
8/158/15
Away/draw
58%
1/24/9
Home/away
72%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
2/19/5
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
5/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
12/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/117/2
Home DNB
62%
5/619/20
Away DNB
49%
5/63/4
Zaglebie win to nil
26%
4/1-
MKS Pogon win to nil
18%
7/2-
Zaglebie / Zaglebie
19%
10/33/1
Zaglebie / MKS Pogon
3%
25/120/1
Zaglebie / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Zaglebie
12%
11/211/2
Draw / MKS Pogon
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
MKS Pogon / Zaglebie
3%
25/120/1
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
21%
3/127/10
MKS Pogon / Draw
7%
12/110/1
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Zaglebie have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 7 and lost 9 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Both Zaglebie and MKS Pogon Szczecin have scored 45 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Zaglebie have played 16 games at home winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

MKS Pogon are in 12th position in the Ekstraklasa on 41 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 7. MKS Pogon have conceded 33 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Zaglebie
MKS Pogon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lech Poznan32151161556 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
2
Jagiellonia31131081249 
d
 
0-00-0
May 23
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
3
Rakow3114710849 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
Gornik Z.3114710749 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
5
Zaglebie 3213910948 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
May 15
6
Katowice3214612648 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 23
l
 
2-0A
7
Plock3212911-345 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
RKS32111110544 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
9
L. Warsaw3210139043 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
10
Motor Lublin32101210-342 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1A
l
 
2-1A
11
P.Gliwice3211813-141 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
12
MKS Pogon3212515-341 
May 15
l
 
5-1A
-
-
13
Cracovia3291310-340 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
14
W Lodz3211615039 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
15
Korona3210913-139 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
16
L.Gdansk3212713-138 
w
 
6-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
3-4F
l
 
2-1A
17
Arka Gdynia319814-2335 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
18
Termalica327718-2428 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Zaglebie 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Zaglebie 0 - 0Cracovia
Zaglebie 1 - 2Termalica
Zaglebie 1 - 0RKS
Zaglebie 0 - 1Lech Poznan
Zaglebie 2 - 0Plock
Zaglebie 0 - 0Rakow
Zaglebie 0 - 2Katowice
Zaglebie 2 - 1W Lodz
Zaglebie 0 - 0Jagiellonia
Zaglebie 2 - 0Gornik Z.
Zaglebie 3 - 1L. Warsaw
Zaglebie 4 - 0Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie 2 - 2Motor Lublin
Zaglebie 2 - 2P.Gliwice
Zaglebie 6 - 2L.Gdansk
Zaglebie 1 - 1Korona
Zaglebie 1 - 2Cracovia
Zaglebie 2 - 1W Lodz
Zaglebie 2 - 2Stal Mielec
Zaglebie 2 - 1Gornik Z.
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZaglebie 2 - 0Gornik Z.
HZaglebie 0 - 0Cracovia
HZaglebie 1 - 2Termalica
AZaglebie 0 - 1L. Warsaw
HZaglebie 1 - 0RKS
AZaglebie 1 - 3Arka Gdynia
AZaglebie 0 - 1Motor Lublin
HZaglebie 0 - 1Lech Poznan
AZaglebie 3 - 1P.Gliwice
HZaglebie 2 - 0Plock
AZaglebie 2 - 0L.Gdansk
HZaglebie 0 - 0Rakow
AZaglebie 2 - 1Korona
HZaglebie 0 - 2Katowice
AZaglebie 1 - 0Rakow
HZaglebie 2 - 1W Lodz
HZaglebie 0 - 0Jagiellonia
AZaglebie 1 - 5MKS Pogon
HZaglebie 2 - 0Gornik Z.
AZaglebie 0 - 0Cracovia
MKS Pogon 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Jagiellonia3 - 2MKS Pogon
Cracovia1 - 1MKS Pogon
P.Gliwice0 - 2MKS Pogon
L.Gdansk2 - 1MKS Pogon
Rakow2 - 0MKS Pogon
Gornik Z.0 - 1MKS Pogon
Motor Lublin2 - 1MKS Pogon
Katowice2 - 0MKS Pogon
Plock2 - 0MKS Pogon
Lech Poznan2 - 2MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw1 - 0MKS Pogon
Korona1 - 0MKS Pogon
W Lodz1 - 2MKS Pogon
Arka Gdynia2 - 1MKS Pogon
Termalica1 - 1MKS Pogon
RKS5 - 1MKS Pogon
Jagiellonia1 - 1MKS Pogon
RKS2 - 0MKS Pogon
Puszcza4 - 5MKS Pogon
P.Gliwice2 - 1MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMKS Pogon2 - 3Jagiellonia
HMKS Pogon3 - 0Plock
AMKS Pogon1 - 1Cracovia
HMKS Pogon1 - 2Lech Poznan
AMKS Pogon2 - 0P.Gliwice
HMKS Pogon0 - 2L. Warsaw
AMKS Pogon1 - 2L.Gdansk
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Korona
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Rakow
HMKS Pogon1 - 0W Lodz
AMKS Pogon1 - 0Gornik Z.
HMKS Pogon1 - 0Arka Gdynia
HMKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
AMKS Pogon1 - 2Motor Lublin
HMKS Pogon2 - 2RKS
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Katowice
HMKS Pogon5 - 1Zaglebie
HMKS Pogon1 - 2Jagiellonia
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Plock
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Cracovia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Zaglebie since 2016
Zaglebie
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
13
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
ZAG
3
D
4
POG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Zaglebie
Draw2 - 2Draw
Zaglebie 1 - 0
0 - 1MKS Pogon
Zaglebie 2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1MKS Pogon
2 - 3MKS Pogon
0 - 2MKS Pogon
Zaglebie 3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at MKS Pogon since 2015
MKS Pogon
Zaglebie
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
8 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
4 / 12
ZAG
4
D
3
POG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MKS Pogon
MKS Pogon5 - 1
MKS Pogon1 - 0
0 - 2Zaglebie
MKS Pogon3 - 0
MKS Pogon2 - 1
MKS Pogon1 - 0
0 - 3Zaglebie
0 - 3Zaglebie
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Zaglebie
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for KGHM Zaglebie Lubin of late. It has been 7 Ekstraklasa matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against MKS Pogon Szczecin.

Zaglebie 5th MKS Pogon 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Zaglebie will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that MKS Pogon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Zaglebie ’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
MKS Pogon have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
Zaglebie
PG (predicted goals)
MKS Pogon
1.3
1
Attack rating
ZAG
POG
1%
better
view stats
Games scored23
25
Failed to score9
7
Scored first15
14
Goals scored45
45
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
22%
better
ZAG
POG
view stats
Games conceded21
26
Clean sheets11
6
Conceded first13
18
Goals conceded36
48
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+22%

Zaglebie v MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Zaglebie Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28667
M NalepaM KosidisA RadwanskiM Nalepa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kosidis FWD3261
3
-
M Nalepa DEF2921
6
1
A Radwanski MID2946
5
-
F Kocaba MID2921
5
-
M. Reguła MID2953
6
1
J Sypek MID2833
5
-
D Dabrowski MID233
2
-
J Ćorluka MID2311
1
-
L. Lučić MID231
4
1
J Burić GLK22
3
-
R Yakuba DEF22
2
-
D Michalski DEF211
3
-
I. Orlikowski MID181
2
1
J Kolan MID1811
2
-
A Lawniczak DEF1711
1
-
M. Dziewiatowski MID141
3
-
L Szabó FWD1431
1
-
M Grzybek MID123
3
-
T Makowski MID121
-
D Hladun GLK11
-
J. Díaz Gómez MID1112
-
S Kowalczyk MID8
1
-
A Wozniak MID3
1
-
J. Ligocki MID2
-
C. Popielec MID1
-
M. Mlinarić FWD1
-
MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30866
V CojocaruP MukairuK GrosickiD Loncar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Mukairu FWD3281
1
-
L Koutris DEF312
4
-
V Cojocaru GLK30
3
-
F Ulvestad MID3053
3
-
K Grosicki FWD2966
3
-
D Loncar DEF2711
6
-
D Keramitsis DEF251
5
-
L Wahlqvist DEF221
5
-
L Borges DEF191
2
-
S Greenwood MID1933
4
-
J Pozo MID1921
4
-
M Juwara FWD1811
5
-
M Ndiaye MID171
3
-
J Bieganski MID16
2
-
H Ali DEF141
5
1
A Szalai DEF12
1
-
K Smoliński MID12
-
K Angielski FWD111
-
K Acosta MID1011
2
1
M. Agger FWD101
-
R. Molnár FWD103
-
B Mendy  DEF9
3
-
Natan Lawa MID8
1
-
F. Čuić FWD83
1
-
J. Czapliński FWD51
-
K Kaminski GLK3
-