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KS Rakow Czestochowa v Jagiellonia Bialystok : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 13th May, 19:30 BST, Stadion Raków, Cz?stochowa

It's a long trek for Adrian Siemieniec's Jagiellonia Bialystok side on Wednesday evening, as they visit the Stadion Raków for a Ekstraklasa tie with Dawid Kroczek's KS Rakow Czestochowa. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Ekstraklasa matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Rakow and Jagiellonia have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.36.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Rakow are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Rakow 44%	21/20	1/1
Draw 27%	12/5	23/10
Jagiellonia 29%	9/4	21/10
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	11/2
Rakow 1-0 12%	8/1	7/1
Jagiellonia 1-0 9%	11/1	9/1
Rakow 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 9%	11/1	9/1
Rakow 2-0 8%	10/1	17/2
Jagiellonia 2-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Jagiellonia 2-0 5%	18/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	10/1
Rakow 3-1 4%	14/1	12/1
Rakow 3-0 4%	18/1	14/1
Jagiellonia 3-1 2%	25/1	18/1
Rakow 3-2 2%	22/1	16/1
Jagiellonia 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Jagiellonia 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	4/5	8/11
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1/1	19/20
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11	3/4
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/5	13/10
No 1st Goal 5%	11/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 49%	4/6	4/6
BTTS - No 51%	11/10	11/10
BTTS - Home Win 18%	3/1	14/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 12%	5/1	9/2
Home/draw 71%	1/3	1/3
Away/draw 56%	8/11	8/11
Home/away 73%	3/10	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	3/1	13/5
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	7/4	7/4
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	2/5	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	9/2	19/5
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/7	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	10/1	8/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/20	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/25	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	11/1	17/2
Home DNB 63%	8/15	8/15
Away DNB 47%	11/8	11/8
Rakow win to nil 26%	11/4	-
Jagiellonia win to nil 16%	11/2	-
Rakow / Rakow 25%	12/5	21/10
Rakow / Jagiellonia 3%	28/1	22/1
Rakow / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Rakow 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Jagiellonia 11%	13/2	13/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Jagiellonia / Rakow 4%	22/1	18/1
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia 15%	9/2	4/1
Jagiellonia / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Rakow have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 1. Rakow have conceded 7 goals, scored 7, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rakow have played 15 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Jagiellonia lay in 2nd place on 49 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 8 and losing 8 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Jagiellonia have conceded 37 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Jagiellonia have played 15 away games, winning 5, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Rakow Jagiellonia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lech Poznan	32	15	11	6	15	56	d 2-2A	l 4-3F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F
2	Jagiellonia	31	13	10	8	12	49	May 13	w 1-2F	-	-
3	Rakow	31	14	7	10	8	49	-	-	l 1-2A	May 13
4	Gornik Z.	31	14	7	10	7	49	l 0-1A	l 3-1A	l 1-2A	l 2-1F
5	Zaglebie	32	13	9	10	9	48	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	May 23	d 0-00-0
6	Katowice	32	14	6	12	6	48	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	May 17
7	Plock	32	12	9	11	-3	45	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	l 1-2F	w 0-1F
8	RKS	31	11	10	10	5	43	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A	d 1-1A	w 1-2A
9	L. Warsaw	32	10	13	9	0	43	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0
10	Motor Lublin	32	10	12	10	-3	42	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	w 4-1F	d 1-1F
11	P.Gliwice	32	11	8	13	-1	41	l 1-3A	May 17	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
12	MKS Pogon	32	12	5	15	-3	41	w 2-0F	l 2-0A	w 3-2F	w 1-2F
13	W Lodz	32	11	6	15	0	39	d 1-1F	w 0-1F	w 3-2F	w 1-3F
14	Korona	32	10	9	13	-1	39	w 2-0F	w 1-4F	w 3-1F	d 1-1A
15	Cracovia	31	9	12	10	-3	39	w 4-1F	l 2-0A	w 5-2A	d 0-00-0
16	L.Gdansk	32	12	7	13	-1	38	w 2-1F	w 1-2A	w 2-0F	l 3-0A
17	Arka Gdynia	31	9	8	14	-23	35	May 23	w 1-4F	w 4-0F	w 0-3F
18	Termalica	32	7	7	18	-24	28	w 1-0F	w 2-3A	l 0-4A	l 2-1A

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Win / draw / win form

Rakow have won 3 consecutive league games

Rakow have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rakow	2 - 0	Korona
Rakow	4 - 1	Cracovia
Rakow	1 - 1	W Lodz
Rakow	2 - 0	MKS Pogon
Rakow	1 - 0	Termalica
Rakow	0 - 0	RKS
Rakow	0 - 1	Zaglebie
Rakow	1 - 0	Katowice
Rakow	1 - 3	P.Gliwice
Rakow	2 - 1	L.Gdansk
Rakow	2 - 0	Motor Lublin
Rakow	2 - 2	Lech Poznan
Rakow	1 - 1	L. Warsaw
Rakow	0 - 1	Gornik Z.
Rakow	1 - 2	Plock
Rakow	2 - 1	W Lodz
Rakow	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
Rakow	3 - 0	S.Wroclaw
Rakow	2 - 1	RKS
Rakow	3 - 2	L. Warsaw

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Rakow	2 - 0	Korona
A	Rakow	2 - 1	L.Gdansk
H	Rakow	4 - 1	Cracovia
A	Rakow	1 - 1	Motor Lublin
H	Rakow	1 - 1	W Lodz
A	Rakow	1 - 1	L. Warsaw
A	Rakow	1 - 3	Gornik Z.
H	Rakow	2 - 0	MKS Pogon
A	Rakow	3 - 4	Lech Poznan
H	Rakow	1 - 0	Termalica
A	Rakow	0 - 0	Zaglebie
H	Rakow	0 - 0	RKS
A	Rakow	1 - 2	Plock
H	Rakow	0 - 1	Zaglebie
H	Rakow	1 - 0	Katowice
A	Rakow	4 - 1	Arka Gdynia
H	Rakow	1 - 3	P.Gliwice
A	Rakow	4 - 1	Korona
A	Rakow	2 - 1	Jagiellonia
H	Rakow	2 - 1	L.Gdansk

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arka Gdynia	0 - 3	Jagiellonia
Korona	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
L.Gdansk	3 - 0	Jagiellonia
Cracovia	0 - 0	Jagiellonia
W Lodz	1 - 3	Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
Termalica	2 - 1	Jagiellonia
Zaglebie	0 - 0	Jagiellonia
MKS Pogon	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
Gornik Z.	2 - 1	Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan	2 - 2	Jagiellonia
L. Warsaw	0 - 0	Jagiellonia
Plock	0 - 1	Jagiellonia
P.Gliwice	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
RKS	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
S.Wroclaw	1 - 1	Jagiellonia
Rakow	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
Korona	3 - 1	Jagiellonia
L. Warsaw	0 - 1	Jagiellonia
L.Gdansk	1 - 0	Jagiellonia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 2	MKS Pogon
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Gornik Z.
A	Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Arka Gdynia
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Korona
H	Jagiellonia	0 - 0	Lech Poznan
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Plock
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 1	Katowice
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	P.Gliwice
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 3	L.Gdansk
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 2	L. Warsaw
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	RKS
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 0	Cracovia
H	Jagiellonia	4 - 1	Motor Lublin
A	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	W Lodz
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Motor Lublin
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Termalica
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 0	Zaglebie
A	Jagiellonia	2 - 1	MKS Pogon
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Rakow
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 2	Gornik Z.

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Rakow

Jagiellonia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

0 / 6

RAK

JAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rakow
	1 - 2	Jagiellonia
Rakow	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Rakow	5 - 0
Rakow	3 - 2
Rakow	2 - 1

Jagiellonia

Rakow

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

RAK

JAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Jagiellonia
	1 - 2	Rakow
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Jagiellonia	4 - 2
	1 - 2	Rakow
Jagiellonia	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Rakow

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Jagiellonia Bialystok of late. It has been 8 Ekstraklasa games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday evening against KS Rakow Czestochowa.

	Rakow 3rd	Jagiellonia 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Rakow will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Jagiellonia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Rakow’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-13 Jagiellonia have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season

RAK

JAG

better

view stats

Games scored	25		25
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	15		17
Goals scored	45		51
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.6
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		15
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+5%

RAK

JAG

better

view stats

Games conceded	22		23
Clean sheets	9		8
Conceded first	14		10
Goals conceded	37		39
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		13%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+1%

Rakow v Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Rakow Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	15	5	7
B Racovitan	J Brunes	M Ameyaw	A. Amorim Santos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O. Repka MID	29	3	3	5 -
J Brunes FWD	29	15		1 -
S Svarnas DEF	28	1	1	5 -
M Bulat MID	28	2	2	3 -
B Racovitan DEF	27		1	1 -
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD	27	7	4	3 -
P Makuch MID	26	4	1	2 -
M Ameyaw MID	25	3	5	-
A. Amorim Santos MID	24	1	2	6 1
T Pieńko MID	23	1	2	-
K Struski MID	21		1	2 1
F Tudor MID	20			5 1
J Silva MID	20	1	2	1 -
O Zych GLK	19			-
I López MID	16	4	1	2 -
L Rocha FWD	15	2		1 -
K Trelowski GLK	13			-
Z Arsenic DEF	10			3 1
A Mosór DEF	9			2 -
P Dawidowicz DEF	8			-
I Brusberg FWD	7			1 -
B. Mirčetić MID	4			-
E Otieno MID	4			-
A. Ojo MID	2		1	-
V Kochergin MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	34	5	9
J Brunes	J Brunes	M Ameyaw	M Ameyaw

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brunes FWD	15	34		3
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD	7	21	4	4
P Makuch MID	4	12	1	4
I López MID	4	13	1	5
O. Repka MID	3	9	3	3
M Ameyaw MID	3	9	5	9
M Bulat MID	2	14	2	3
L Rocha FWD	2	8		2
S Svarnas DEF	1	4	1	2
A. Amorim Santos MID	1	3	2	3
T Pieńko MID	1	4	2	3
J Silva MID	1	6	2	3
B Racovitan DEF		2	1	2
K Struski MID		2	1	2
F Tudor MID		1		6
P Dawidowicz DEF		2		2
I Brusberg FWD		1
B. Mirčetić MID		1
A. Ojo MID			1	1
V Kochergin MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1664	43	139
S Svarnas	F Tudor	A. Amorim Santos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Svarnas DEF	1664	40	120
B Racovitan DEF	1471	15	88
F Tudor MID	1061	43	115
O. Repka MID	1059	29	116
M Bulat MID	773	27	59
K Struski MID	601	24	58
Z Arsenic DEF	577	15	58
M Ameyaw MID	570	25	101
O Zych GLK	563		5
J Silva MID	548	30	92
A. Amorim Santos MID	482	23	139
A Mosór DEF	420	9	45
T Pieńko MID	406	14	65
K Trelowski GLK	368	1	3
J Brunes FWD	346	14	90
I López MID	322	3	26
P Makuch MID	290	12	117
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD	281	31	127
P Dawidowicz DEF	210	7	31
L Rocha FWD	86	2	44
E Otieno MID	48	2	4
I Brusberg FWD	40	7	17
B. Mirčetić MID	27	2	6
V Kochergin MID	18
A. Ojo MID	15	1	4

Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	13	6	7
J Imaz	J Imaz	J Imaz	T Romanczuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Wojtuszek DEF	30	1	2	2 -
T Romanczuk MID	30	3		7 -
J Imaz MID	30	13	6	5 -
A Pululu FWD	30	13	5	7 -
A Pozo FWD	30	2	4	4 -
B Wdowik DEF	28		4	3 -
S Abramowicz GLK	27			1 -
B Vital DEF	24	2	1	6 -
D Drachal MID	21	1	2	3 -
B. Mazurek MID	20	1	3	4 -
L Flach MID	20	1		3 -
A Pelmard DEF	18			4 -
D. Rallis FWD	15	3		-
D Stojinovic DEF	13		1	3 -
M Nahuel FWD	13			1 -
S Bazdar FWD	13	3		-
Y Kobayashi DEF	12			5 -
S Lozano MID	12	3		-
K Józwiak FWD	12			4 -
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	11		1	-
K Szmyt FWD	11	1		1 -
A Konstantopoulos DEF	6			2 -
Y Sylla FWD	6	1		1 -
Z. Zalewski FWD	5			1 -
M Piekutowski GLK	4			-
E. Kozłowski MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	48	6	7
J Imaz	J Imaz	J Imaz	A Pululu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Imaz MID	13	48	6	6
A Pululu FWD	13	29	5	7
T Romanczuk MID	3	11		2
D. Rallis FWD	3	3
S Bazdar FWD	3	8
S Lozano MID	3	11
A Pozo FWD	2	4	4	4
B Vital DEF	2	7	1	1
N Wojtuszek DEF	1	2	2	3
D Drachal MID	1	4	2	2
B. Mazurek MID	1	7	3	2
L Flach MID	1	2
K Szmyt FWD	1	6		1
Y Sylla FWD	1	3
B Wdowik DEF		7	4	6
D Stojinovic DEF		2	1
M Nahuel FWD		1		1
Y Kobayashi DEF		1
K Józwiak FWD		3		1
G. Serrão Montóia DEF		2	1	2
Z. Zalewski FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1593	79	165
B Vital	N Wojtuszek	A Pululu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Vital DEF	1593	27	129
T Romanczuk MID	1491	42	137
B Wdowik DEF	1403	40	81
N Wojtuszek DEF	1377	79	138
A Pelmard DEF	967	16	39
J Imaz MID	958	28	79
A Pozo FWD	922	35	92
D Stojinovic DEF	875	17	49
S Abramowicz GLK	757		17
B. Mazurek MID	632	24	90
Y Kobayashi DEF	570	7	34
A Pululu FWD	500	15	165
L Flach MID	380	29	60
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	376	17	36
D Drachal MID	302	17	58
M Nahuel FWD	265	11	40
K Józwiak FWD	232	18	53
S Lozano MID	223	14	28
A Konstantopoulos DEF	203	4	11
K Szmyt FWD	180	8	27
S Bazdar FWD	119	4	23
M Piekutowski GLK	117		2
D. Rallis FWD	85	1	10
E. Kozłowski MID	31	1	1
Z. Zalewski FWD	26	3	6
Y Sylla FWD	18	1	11