KS Gornik Zabrze's team badge KGHM Zaglebie Lubin's team badge

KS Gornik Zabrze v KGHM Zaglebie Lubin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Zabrze, Zabrze

The Ekstraklasa is the focus for both KS Gornik Zabrze and KGHM Zaglebie Lubin on Saturday evening, as managers Michal Gašparík and Leszek Ojrzynski go head to head at the Arena Zabrze. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.

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KS Gornik Zabrze's next match is v Arka Gdynia at 17:00 on Wednesday 13th May
KGHM Zaglebie Lubin's next match is v MKS Pogon at 17:00 on Friday 15th May
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between Gornik Z. and Zaglebie  was on Saturday 9th May 2026
Polish Ekstraklasa
May 9th 2026
Gornik Z. 0
2 Zaglebie
 
63' J. Kolan
74' L. Szabo
 
GOR
ZAG
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
11
6
Corners
15
4
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
10
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Gornik Z.Zaglebie
 
M. Łubik
P. Bochniewicz
R. Janicki
M. Sáček (P. Olkowski 40')
E. Janža (K. Lukoszek 76')
P. Hellebrand
J. Kubicki (M. Rakoczy 46')
Y. Ikia Dimi (O. Zmrzlý 46')
S. Liseth (L. Podolski 76')
M. Khlan
L. Ambros
J. Burić
D. Michalski
(L. Lučić 85') D. Dąbrowski
M. Grzybek
J. Čorluka
(L. Szabo 59') M. Kosidis
(J. Sypek 74') A. Radwański
M. Nalepa
(T. Makowski 85') football iconJ. Kolan
F. Kocaba
(M. Dziewiatowski 74') M. Reguła

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Gornik Z. and Zaglebie have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gornik Z. are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gornik Z.
56%
8/13750/1
Draw
24%
12/545/1
Zaglebie
20%
17/41/1000
Gornik Z. 1-0
13%
11/213/5
Draw 1-1
11%
6/112/5
Gornik Z. 2-0
11%
13/28/1
Gornik Z. 2-1
10%
15/29/1
Draw 0-0
8%
8/129/20
Zaglebie 1-0
7%
12/111/10
Gornik Z. 3-0
6%
11/122/1
Gornik Z. 3-1
5%
14/128/1
Zaglebie 2-1
5%
16/119/5
Draw 2-2
4%
16/122/1
Zaglebie 2-0
3%
28/11/3
Gornik Z. 4-0
2%
25/155/1
Gornik Z. 3-2
2%
28/170/1
Gornik Z. 4-1
2%
28/170/1
Zaglebie 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/16/1
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/51/16
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/1523/20
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/83/1
No 1st Goal
5%
8/129/20
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/209/1
BTTS - No
51%
4/51/25
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/170/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/122/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/17/2
Home/draw
80%
1/755/1
Away/draw
44%
11/101/1000
Home/away
76%
2/71/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
3/1013/20
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/521/20
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/233/1
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/71/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1100/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/1610/21
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/129/20
Home DNB
72%
2/91/4
Away DNB
37%
3/113/5
Gornik Z. win to nil
33%
13/8-
Zaglebie win to nil
11%
8/1-
Gornik Z. / Gornik Z.
32%
8/513/2
Gornik Z. / Zaglebie
2%
40/145/1
Gornik Z. / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Draw / Gornik Z.
19%
10/37/5
Draw / Zaglebie
8%
10/119/4
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/5
Zaglebie / Gornik Z.
4%
22/133/1
Zaglebie / Zaglebie
9%
8/116/1
Zaglebie / Draw
5%
16/125/1
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Gornik Z. have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 7 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Both Gornik Z. and KGHM Zaglebie Lubin have scored 43 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Gornik Z. have played 15 games at home winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Zaglebie are in 6th position in the Ekstraklasa on 45 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Zaglebie have conceded 6 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Gornik Z.
Zaglebie
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lech Poznan32151161556 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
2
Jagiellonia31131081249 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 23
3
Rakow3114710849 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
4
Gornik Z.3114710749 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
5
Zaglebie 3213910948 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
6
Katowice3214612648 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
7
Plock3212911-345 
d
 
1-1A
May 16
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
8
RKS31111010543 
May 23
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
9
L. Warsaw3210139043 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Motor Lublin32101210-342 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
11
P.Gliwice3211813-141 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3A
12
MKS Pogon3212515-341 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
May 15
l
 
5-1A
13
W Lodz3211615039 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Korona3210913-139 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
15
Cracovia3191210-339 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
16
L.Gdansk3212713-138 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
5-2A
w
 
6-2F
w
 
0-2F
17
Arka Gdynia319814-2335 
w
 
5-1F
May 13
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-1A
18
Termalica327718-2428 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Gornik Z. have won 3 consecutive home league games
3
Zaglebie have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Gornik Z. have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
Gornik Z. 4TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Zaglebie 5TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Zaglebie have beaten Gornik Z. in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gornik Z. since 2015
Gornik Z.
Zaglebie
Goals: Scored
11
12
Games: Scored
6 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
4 / 10
GOR
3
D
3
ZAG
4
League games at Zaglebie since 2015
Zaglebie
Gornik Z.
Goals: Scored
17
18
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
GOR
5
D
1
ZAG
5
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for KGHM Zaglebie Lubin fans, as should a 7 Ekstraklasa games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Gornik Z. 4th Zaglebie 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Gornik Z. will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Zaglebie scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Gornik Z.’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Zaglebie ’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
Gornik Z.
PG (predicted goals)
Zaglebie
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
GOR
ZAG
1%
better
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score8
9
Scored first13
14
Goals scored43
43
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
GOR
ZAG
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
21
Clean sheets8
10
Conceded first15
13
Goals conceded34
36
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+6%

Gornik Z. v Zaglebie Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Gornik Z. Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30747
M. ŁubikS LisethJ KubickiP Hellebrand
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M. Łubik GLK30
-
M Sacek DEF11
1
-
R Janicki DEF284
3
-
P Bochniewicz DEF71
-
E Janza DEF2932
3
-
J Kubicki MID2634
1
-
P Hellebrand MID3042
7
-
L Ambros MID2314
4
-
Y. Ikia Dimi FWD101
1
-
S Liseth FWD2773
2
-
M Khlan FWD2333
1
-
Subs
T Loska GLK1
-
K Szczesniak DEF161
2
-
P Olkowski DEF221
-
Josema DEF28
3
-
O Zmrzlý DEF91
-
L Sadilek MID1221
3
-
K Lukoszek MID1711
-
M Sauer MID3
-
B. Donio MID8
1
-
M Rakoczy MID511
-
L Podolski FWD14
3
1
B. Ivanov Rupanov FWD6
-
Zaglebie Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28667
M NalepaM KosidisA RadwanskiM Nalepa
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Burić GLK22
3
-
M Grzybek DEF123
3
-
D Michalski DEF211
3
-
M Nalepa DEF2921
6
1
J Ćorluka DEF2311
1
-
D Dabrowski MID233
2
-
F Kocaba MID2921
5
-
J Kolan MID1811
2
-
A Radwanski MID2946
5
-
M. Reguła MID2953
6
1
M Kosidis FWD3261
3
-
Subs
R Gikiewicz GLK
-
L. Lučić DEF231
4
1
S Kowalczyk MID8
1
-
A Wozniak MID3
1
-
J Sypek MID2833
5
-
M. Dziewiatowski MID141
3
-
S. Marek MID
-
J. Ligocki MID2
-
T Makowski MID121
-
L Szabó FWD1431
1
-
M. Mlinarić FWD3
-