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Motor Lublin v MKS Pogon Szczecin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Feb, 11:15 BST, Arena Lublin, Lublin

Thomas Thomasberg guides his MKS Pogon Szczecin team to the Arena Lublin in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday morning, with Mateusz Stolarski's Motor Lublin their challengers. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 76% probability of Motor Lublin and MKS Pogon delivering at least 2 goals in this Ekstraklasa tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motor Lublin are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Motor Lublin
47%
31/206/4
Draw
25%
5/212/5
MKS Pogon
28%
7/511/8
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
Motor Lublin 1-0
10%
10/117/2
Motor Lublin 2-1
9%
9/115/2
Motor Lublin 2-0
8%
14/111/1
MKS Pogon 1-0
7%
10/117/2
MKS Pogon 2-1
7%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/19/1
Motor Lublin 3-1
5%
18/114/1
MKS Pogon 2-0
4%
14/111/1
Motor Lublin 3-0
4%
25/118/1
Motor Lublin 3-2
3%
22/116/1
MKS Pogon 3-1
3%
18/112/1
MKS Pogon 3-2
2%
22/116/1
Motor Lublin 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
13/203/5
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
6/511/10
Home 1st Goal
51%
20/2119/20
Away 1st Goal
45%
10/1119/20
No 1st Goal
4%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/1511/20
BTTS - No
45%
11/813/10
BTTS - Home Win
22%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
10/33/1
Home/draw
72%
8/158/15
Away/draw
53%
1/210/21
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/52/11
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/33/1
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
13/829/20
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/210/3
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/112/13
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/161/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/66
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/110/1
Home DNB
64%
5/610/11
Away DNB
46%
5/64/5
Motor Lublin win to nil
25%
9/2-
MKS Pogon win to nil
14%
4/1-
Motor Lublin / Motor Lublin
20%
3/129/10
Motor Lublin / MKS Pogon
4%
22/118/1
Motor Lublin / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Motor Lublin
12%
11/211/2
Draw / MKS Pogon
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
MKS Pogon / Motor Lublin
4%
22/118/1
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
21%
3/127/10
MKS Pogon / Draw
7%
12/110/1
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Motor Lublin have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Motor Lublin have conceded 17 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Motor Lublin have played 9 games at home, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

MKS Pogon lay in 10th place on 21 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MKS Pogon have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

MKS Pogon have played 9 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Plock18792930 
d
 
1-1F
May 9
May 2
l
 
2-0A
2
Gornik Z.18936530 
Mar 7
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
3
Jagiellonia17854829 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
l
 
1-2A
May 9
4
Rakow18927329 
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
5
Zaglebie 18774728 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
May 16
6
Cracovia18765427 
May 16
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
7
RKS18756526 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 4
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
8
Lech Poznan17683326 
May 2
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
9
Korona18666224 
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
10
MKS Pogon18639-421 
Feb 1
l
 
4-1F
-
-
11
Motor Lublin18495-521 
-
-
w
 
4-1A
Feb 1
12
Arka Gdynia18639-1721 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
13
L.Gdansk18747020 
Feb 15
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-4F
Mar 21
14
P.Gliwice17557020 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
15
W Lodz186210-220 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
16
Katowice17629-520 
l
 
2-5A
Apr 18
May 23
l
 
2-0A
17
L. Warsaw18477-219 
d
 
1-1F
May 23
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
18
Termalica18549-1119 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
3
Motor Lublin have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
5
MKS Pogon have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Motor Lublin 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motor Lublin1 - 1Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin1 - 1L. Warsaw
Motor Lublin1 - 1Plock
Motor Lublin3 - 0W Lodz
Motor Lublin2 - 5Katowice
Motor Lublin2 - 2RKS
Motor Lublin1 - 1Termalica
Motor Lublin0 - 0P.Gliwice
Motor Lublin1 - 0Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin1 - 0Zaglebie
Motor Lublin1 - 4P.Gliwice
Motor Lublin0 - 1Cracovia
Motor Lublin1 - 2Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin4 - 1Stal Mielec
Motor Lublin3 - 3L. Warsaw
Motor Lublin3 - 2Katowice
Motor Lublin1 - 1L.Gdansk
Motor Lublin1 - 0RKS
Motor Lublin4 - 2MKS Pogon
Motor Lublin3 - 4W Lodz
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMotor Lublin1 - 1Jagiellonia
AMotor Lublin0 - 1Arka Gdynia
HMotor Lublin1 - 1L. Warsaw
AMotor Lublin2 - 1Cracovia
HMotor Lublin1 - 1Plock
AMotor Lublin2 - 2Lech Poznan
HMotor Lublin3 - 0W Lodz
HMotor Lublin2 - 5Katowice
AMotor Lublin0 - 2Rakow
HMotor Lublin2 - 2RKS
AMotor Lublin2 - 2Zaglebie
HMotor Lublin1 - 1Termalica
AMotor Lublin1 - 0Gornik Z.
AMotor Lublin0 - 2Korona
HMotor Lublin0 - 0P.Gliwice
AMotor Lublin3 - 3L.Gdansk
AMotor Lublin1 - 4MKS Pogon
HMotor Lublin1 - 0Arka Gdynia
AMotor Lublin3 - 2RKS
HMotor Lublin1 - 0Zaglebie
MKS Pogon 10TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Katowice2 - 0MKS Pogon
Plock2 - 0MKS Pogon
Lech Poznan2 - 2MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw1 - 0MKS Pogon
Korona1 - 0MKS Pogon
W Lodz1 - 2MKS Pogon
Arka Gdynia2 - 1MKS Pogon
Termalica1 - 1MKS Pogon
RKS5 - 1MKS Pogon
Jagiellonia1 - 1MKS Pogon
RKS2 - 0MKS Pogon
Puszcza4 - 5MKS Pogon
P.Gliwice2 - 1MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw0 - 0MKS Pogon
S.Wroclaw1 - 1MKS Pogon
W Lodz0 - 4MKS Pogon
Stal Mielec1 - 2MKS Pogon
Korona0 - 0MKS Pogon
L.Gdansk0 - 3MKS Pogon
Motor Lublin4 - 2MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMKS Pogon2 - 2RKS
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Katowice
HMKS Pogon5 - 1Zaglebie
HMKS Pogon1 - 2Jagiellonia
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Plock
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Cracovia
AMKS Pogon2 - 2Lech Poznan
HMKS Pogon2 - 1P.Gliwice
AMKS Pogon0 - 1L. Warsaw
HMKS Pogon3 - 4L.Gdansk
AMKS Pogon0 - 1Korona
HMKS Pogon2 - 0Rakow
AMKS Pogon2 - 1W Lodz
HMKS Pogon0 - 3Gornik Z.
AMKS Pogon1 - 2Arka Gdynia
AMKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
HMKS Pogon4 - 1Motor Lublin
AMKS Pogon1 - 5RKS
AMKS Pogon1 - 1Jagiellonia
HMKS Pogon3 - 3L.Gdansk
Goal Statistics

Motor Lublin's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because MKS Pogon Szczecin have conceded in each of their last 11 Ekstraklasa outings. A PG of 1.6 for M. Stolarski's side suggests that run should continue.

Motor Lublin's defensive record is very strong, M. Stolarski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ekstraklasa matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for MKS Pogon Szczecin makes sense in this context.

Motor Lublin 11th MKS Pogon 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Motor Lublin will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that MKS Pogon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Motor Lublin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
MKS Pogon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
Motor Lublin
PG (predicted goals)
MKS Pogon
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
1%
better
MTL
POG
view stats
Games scored14
13
Failed to score4
5
Scored first9
7
Goals scored23
28
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
23%
better
MTL
POG
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first8
11
Goals conceded28
32
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+23%

Motor Lublin v MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181035
B. WolskiK. CzubakB. WolskiI Rodrigues
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B. Wolski MID1813
2
-
M Krol FWD1812
-
M Scalet MID172
2
-
B Hoeven FWD172
-
I Brkić GLK16
2
-
F. Luberecki DEF16
2
-
I Rodrigues MID1622
5
-
K. Czubak FWD16102
-
P Stolarski DEF15
2
-
F. Wójcik DEF15
2
-
S Samper MID151
2
-
J Labojko MID151
4
1
M. Bartoš DEF131
3
-
H Matthys DEF12
-
F Ronaldo FWD123
1
-
R Dadashov FWD11
3
-
M. Ndiaye FWD921
2
-
A. Najemski DEF8
2
-
K Palacz DEF61
1
-
K Karasek MID6
1
B. Ede DEF5
4
-
F. Haxha FWD5
-
G. Tratnik GLK2
-
P. Meyer DEF2
1
-
F. Lewandowski MID1
-
MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18655
K GrosickiK GrosickiK GrosickiD Loncar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Koutris DEF181
3
-
P Mukairu FWD1841
1
-
K Grosicki FWD1865
2
-
L Wahlqvist DEF171
4
-
A Przyborek MID1722
-
V Cojocaru GLK16
1
-
F Ulvestad MID1622
1
-
M Juwara FWD1611
4
-
M. Huja DEF1521
4
-
D Loncar DEF141
5
-
M Ndiaye MID131
3
-
D Keramitsis DEF121
1
-
J Pozo MID121
2
-
R. Molnár FWD103
-
S Greenwood FWD1023
3
-
J Bieganski MID9
1
-
K Smoliński MID9
-
H Ali DEF7
2
-
L Borges DEF61
-
K Kaminski GLK3
-
J Lis DEF3
-
B Mendy  DEF3
1
-
M. Wojciechowski MID3
-
P. Paryzek FWD3
-