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Alverca v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 22nd Dec, 18:45 BST, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca masses welcome FC Porto's supporters on Monday evening, as Custódio André Gune's Alverca go head to head with Francesco Farioli's side in the Liga NOS. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our 20+ year database and found the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Porto to win

The turnout should be good at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca on Monday evening but, unfortunately, we predict a high percentage of those in attendance will be gutted come full time. The statistics below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Porto getting the better of hosts Alverca. It will be a tough one to take for home gaffer Custódio André Gune but, in the meantime, we'd suggest making the most of best bookie odds of 1.27 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 70% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
10%
10.00
9%
8.00
6%
Draw
20%
4.755.00
4%
Porto
70%
1.30
2%
1.36
Porto 1-0
15%
6.005.50
Porto 2-0
15%
5.505.50
4%
Porto 3-0
10%
8.00
7%
7.50
Draw 1-1
9%
9.00
5%
8.50
Porto 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 0-0
8%
10.00
9%
10.00
5%
Porto 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
Porto 4-0
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
8%
Alverca 1-0
5%
19.00
10%
13.00
Porto 4-1
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
Alverca 2-1
3%
29.0019.00
10%
Draw 2-2
3%
26.0021.00
Porto 5-0
2%
29.00
12%
21.00
9%
Porto 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Alverca 2-0
1%
41.00
20%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
1.95
5%
1.85
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.85
5%
1.85
Home 1st Goal
32%
3.754.00
Away 1st Goal
63%
1.33
2%
1.33
No 1st Goal
5%
10.00
9%
10.00
5%
BTTS - Yes
39%
2.252.38
3%
BTTS - No
61%
1.571.53
3%
BTTS - Home Win
4%
21.0015.00
BTTS - Draw
12%
7.006.50
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3.75
7%
3.70
6%
Home/draw
30%
3.25
4%
3.10
Away/draw
90%
1.06
1%
1.07
Home/away
80%
1.181.17
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.29
3%
1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.50
7%
3.40
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.40
13%
3.20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.30
4%
1.30
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6.50
8%
6.00
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.11
2%
1.11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03
1%
1.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.00
9%
10.00
5%
Home DNB
24%
8.00
11%
6.00
Away DNB
84%
1.08
1%
1.10
Alverca win to nil
6%
15.00
12%
-
Porto win to nil
47%
1.91
4%
-
Alverca / Alverca
6%
17.00
11%
11.00
8%
Alverca / Porto
4%
23.0019.00
Alverca / Draw
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
Draw / Alverca
5%
19.0013.00
Draw / Porto
21%
3.754.00
5%
Draw / Draw
12%
6.50
7%
6.50
8%
Porto / Alverca
2%
51.0041.00
Porto / Porto
41%
1.95
2%
1.95
3%
Porto / Draw
4%
19.0017.00
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn zero and won 1. Alverca have conceded 13 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Alverca have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 40 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 14 matches. Porto are unbeaten in 14 games against teams below them in the league and kept 10 clean sheets out of 14 games. Porto have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 5 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 7 away games, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
Dec 22
May 3
-
-
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica149502232 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Braga147431425 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
6
Famalicao14653923 
Jan 4
May 17
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
8
Moreirense14626-320 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
9
Alverca14527-517 
-
-
May 3
Dec 22
10
Rio Ave14374-516 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
11
Nacional14437-415 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
12
Santa Clara14437-415 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
May 17
Jan 4
13
Estoril14356-314 
May 10
Dec 27
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
15
Arouca14338-2212 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
17
Tondela14239-179 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS140311-283 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Dec 29
May 10
Win / draw / win form
8
Porto have won 8 consecutive away league games
8
Porto have not lost in 8 consecutive away league games
Alverca 9TH
7 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
6
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
Conceded
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
Failed to score
2 / 7
Won
3
D
1
Lost
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
10 / 14
Conceded
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
Failed to score
4 / 14
Won
5
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Famalicao1 - 1Porto
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.6, Alverca look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that FC Porto haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long evening for C. Gune's men.

FC Porto have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Alverca on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Alverca 9th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.6
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
55%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 55% probability that Alverca will fail to score
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
7 home / away league games
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.6
1.9
Attack rating
PTO
42%
better
view stats
Games scored10
13
Failed to score4
1
Scored first5
12
Goals scored15
30
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
PTO
65%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
4
Clean sheets4
10
Conceded first9
1
Goals conceded20
4
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
21
Conversion rate against15%
5%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.6
KickOff rating
+65%

Alverca v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14525
A FilhoM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF141
3
-
A Filho MID141
3
-
M Milovanovic FWD145
3
-
A Gomes GLK13
2
-
K Naves DEF13
4
1
C. Nuozzi FWD131
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF12
3
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF12
3
-
D. Gui MID1211
2
-
S Gómez DEF11
1
-
Lincoln MID1122
2
-
S Abdulai MID11
3
1
L Figueiredo FWD811
-
I. James DEF71
1
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF6
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
S Baseya DEF5
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
Chiquinho FWD4
2
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
M Mendes GLK1
-
S Lima FWD1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14955
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK14
1
-
J Bednarek DEF14
5
-
V. Froholdt MID1423
1
-
B Sainz FWD1432
4
-
A Varela MID13
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD1391
2
-
F Moura DEF1221
3
-
A Baio DEF125
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID121
-
G Veiga MID1214
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD114
2
-
Pepê FWD1122
1
-
J Kiwior DEF101
-
P Rosario MID101
4
-
D Gül FWD102
1
-
Zaidu  DEF811
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF7
2
1
S Eustaquio MID6
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-