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AVS v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Dec, 15:30 BST, Estadio Do Cd Das Aves, Vila das Aves

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido will be hoping for a precious away win in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his CD Nacional side to the Estadio Do Cd Das Aves to visit AVS and João Pedro Borges de Sousa. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for it all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as AVS and Nacional go head-to-head, with little to choose between the teams in terms of who might win. The stats don't provide any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.62 with the bookmakers, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Nacional coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
AVS 23%	3.05	3.30 10%
Draw 27%	3.30 8%	3.25 5%
Nacional 50%	2.25	2.25 10%
Nacional 1-0 15%	7.00	6.50
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	6.00 4%
Draw 0-0 10%	8.50 6%	7.50 7%
Nacional 2-0 10%	10.00 9%	9.00 10%
AVS 1-0 9%	8.50	8.00 7%
Nacional 2-1 9%	9.50	8.50 6%
AVS 2-1 5%	12.00	10.00 5%
Nacional 3-0 5%	21.00	17.00 11%
Nacional 3-1 4%	21.00	15.00 12%
AVS 2-0 4%	15.00	13.00 8%
Draw 2-2 4%	15.00	13.00
Nacional 3-2 2%	34.00	23.00
Nacional 4-0 2%	41.00 20%	29.00 15%
AVS 3-1 2%	29.00	23.00
Nacional 4-1 1%	41.00	29.00 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	2.15 4%	2.15 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1.67 3%	1.65 3%
Home 1st Goal 40%	2.20	2.30 5%
Away 1st Goal 53%	1.83	1.83 6%
No 1st Goal 7%	8.50 6%	7.50 7%
BTTS - Yes 43%	1.95	1.91 2%
BTTS - No 57%	1.80	1.80
BTTS - Home Win 9%	7.00	6.50 8%
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.50	4.40 2%
BTTS - Away Win 18%	5.00 9%	4.60 12%
Home/draw 50%	1.57	1.65 8%
Away/draw 77%	1.36	1.33 2%
Home/away 73%	1.33 2%	1.33 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1.36 3%	1.36 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	3.00 9%	2.88 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4.00	3.90 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1.22	1.22 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	9.00	7.50 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.07	1.07 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	19.00	15.00 12%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.02	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1.07 1%	1.07 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	8.50 6%	7.50 7%
Home DNB 42%	2.20	2.30 12%
Away DNB 69%	1.62	1.55 9%
AVS win to nil 14%	5.00	-
Nacional win to nil 32%	3.75	-
AVS / AVS 16%	5.00	5.00 9%
AVS / Nacional 3%	29.00	21.00 9%
AVS / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / AVS 11%	7.00 8%	7.00 8%
Draw / Nacional 15%	5.50	5.25 5%
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75	4.50 7%
Nacional / AVS 3%	34.00	26.00
Nacional / Nacional 22%	3.75	3.40 13%
Nacional / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

AVS have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league. AVS are winless in the 14 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won zero. AVS have conceded 37 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 7 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

AVS have played 7 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Nacional lay in 11th place on 15 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Nacional have conceded 5 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Nacional have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	AVS Nacional
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	14	13	1	0	26	40	May 10	Dec 29	Feb 15	l 1-0A
2	S. Lisbon	14	11	2	1	31	35	Apr 26	l 6-0A	l 1-4F	Feb 1
3	Benfica	14	9	5	0	22	32	l 0-3A	Feb 22	l 1-2F	Apr 12
4	Braga	14	7	4	3	14	25	Feb 1	d 2-2A	Mar 1	w 0-1F
5	Gil Vicente	14	7	4	3	10	25	d 1-1A	Apr 4	l 0-2A	Jan 18
6	Famalicao	14	6	5	3	9	23	l 0-1A	Feb 8	l 0-1A	Mar 22
7	V. Guimaraes	14	6	3	5	-2	21	Apr 12	l 4-0A	May 17	Jan 2
8	Moreirense	14	6	2	6	-3	20	Jan 3	May 17	w 3-2A	Mar 8
9	Alverca	14	5	2	7	-5	17	l 1-3F	Mar 8	Apr 19	l 1-0A
10	Rio Ave	14	3	7	4	-5	16	l 1-2A	Apr 19	Jan 25	d 1-1A
11	Nacional	14	4	3	7	-4	15	Dec 21	May 3	-	-
12	Santa Clara	14	4	3	7	-4	15	Mar 15	l 2-0A	Jan 11	May 10
13	Estoril	14	3	5	6	-3	14	Feb 15	l 3-1A	Mar 15	d 1-1F
14	Estrela Amadora	14	3	5	6	-5	14	Mar 1	l 3-0A	Apr 4	d 1-1F
15	Arouca	14	3	3	8	-22	12	Jan 18	l 3-1A	l 1-2F	Feb 22
16	Casa Pia	14	2	4	8	-14	10	l 0-2A	Jan 25	Feb 8	w 0-2F
17	Tondela	14	2	3	9	-17	9	d 2-2A	Mar 22	w 3-1A	Apr 26
18	AVS	14	0	3	11	-28	3	-	-	May 3	Dec 21

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Win / draw / win form

AVS have lost 3 consecutive league games

AVS have not won in 15 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS	1 - 2	Rio Ave
AVS	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
AVS	2 - 2	Tondela
AVS	1 - 3	Alverca
AVS	0 - 3	Benfica
AVS	0 - 1	Famalicao
AVS	0 - 2	Casa Pia
AVS	0 - 3	Moreirense
AVS	1 - 2	Boavista
AVS	1 - 1	Casa Pia
AVS	0 - 3	Estoril
AVS	0 - 1	Arouca
AVS	2 - 2	S. Lisbon
AVS	1 - 2	Santa Clara
AVS	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
AVS	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
AVS	1 - 1	Benfica
AVS	0 - 1	Braga
AVS	2 - 3	Famalicao
AVS	0 - 5	Porto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	AVS	0 - 6	S. Lisbon
H	AVS	1 - 2	Rio Ave
A	AVS	0 - 4	V. Guimaraes
H	AVS	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	AVS	2 - 2	Tondela
A	AVS	0 - 2	Santa Clara
H	AVS	1 - 3	Alverca
A	AVS	0 - 3	Estrela Amadora
H	AVS	0 - 3	Benfica
A	AVS	1 - 3	Estoril
H	AVS	0 - 1	Famalicao
A	AVS	2 - 2	Braga
H	AVS	0 - 2	Casa Pia
A	AVS	1 - 3	Arouca
H	AVS	0 - 3	Moreirense
A	AVS	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	AVS	1 - 2	Boavista
A	AVS	0 - 6	Benfica
H	AVS	1 - 1	Casa Pia
A	AVS	1 - 4	Braga

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca	1 - 0	Nacional
Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Nacional
Estoril	1 - 1	Nacional
Braga	0 - 1	Nacional
Porto	1 - 0	Nacional
Casa Pia	0 - 2	Nacional
Rio Ave	1 - 1	Nacional
Porto	3 - 0	Nacional
Moreirense	1 - 1	Nacional
Boavista	0 - 1	Nacional
Santa Clara	1 - 0	Nacional
Benfica	3 - 0	Nacional
Braga	1 - 0	Nacional
Sporting Farense	0 - 2	Nacional
S. Lisbon	2 - 0	Nacional
Rio Ave	2 - 1	Nacional
V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Nacional
Gil Vicente	2 - 1	Nacional
Estrela Amadora	2 - 0	Nacional
Casa Pia	1 - 0	Nacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nacional	3 - 1	Tondela
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Alverca
H	Nacional	1 - 2	Benfica
A	Nacional	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
H	Nacional	0 - 1	Famalicao
A	Nacional	1 - 1	Estoril
H	Nacional	3 - 2	Moreirense
A	Nacional	1 - 0	Braga
H	Nacional	1 - 2	Arouca
A	Nacional	0 - 1	Porto
A	Nacional	2 - 0	Casa Pia
H	Nacional	1 - 4	S. Lisbon
A	Nacional	1 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Nacional	0 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Nacional	0 - 3	Porto
H	Nacional	3 - 3	Rio Ave
H	Nacional	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Nacional	1 - 1	Moreirense
H	Nacional	0 - 3	Gil Vicente
A	Nacional	1 - 0	Boavista

Goal Statistics

	AVS 18th	Nacional 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of AVS scoring 1 goal or less	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 AVS have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	-26 Nacional have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

NAC

39%

better

view stats

Games scored	7		10
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	1		7
Goals scored	9		15
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1.1
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	11		8
Conversion rate for	9		13
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+39%

NAC

44%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		12
Clean sheets	0		2
Conceded first	13		7
Goals conceded	37		19
Avg. goals conceded	2.6		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		8
Conversion rate against	24%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.9
KickOff rating		+44%

AVS v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	2	2	5
C Castro	Nenê	B Akinsola	J Grau

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Akinsola FWD	14		2	1 -
Kiki DEF	13			1 -
C Castro DEF	13			3 -
J Grau MID	13			4 1
R Barbosa MID	11	1	2	3 -
D. Spencer Marques DEF	10	1	1	2 -
L Rivas DEF	10		1	2 -
Ángel Algobia MID	10			-
P Barros MID	10	1	1	1 -
T Tómané FWD	10			1 -
D Duarte FWD	10	1		-
S Bane DEF	9	1		1 -
Nenê FWD	9	2		1 -
S Simão GLK	8			1 -
O Perea FWD	8	2		-
T Galletto MID	7			1 -
G Assunção MID	7			3 -
B Lourenço FWD	7			-
J Gonçalves GLK	6			-
A Santos DEF	6			1 -
R Semedo DEF	5			1 -
K Kodisang FWD	4			-
P. Leal Sousa Lima DEF	3			1
G Molina DEF	3		1	-
G. Mendonça MID	3			-
J Escobar FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	8	2	3
Nenê	O Perea	B Akinsola	B Akinsola

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Nenê FWD	2	5
O Perea FWD	2	8
R Barbosa MID	1	3	2	3
D. Spencer Marques DEF	1	2	1	1
P Barros MID	1	5	1	2
D Duarte FWD	1	5
S Bane DEF	1	2
B Akinsola FWD		2	2	3
Kiki DEF				2
J Grau MID		1		1
L Rivas DEF		1	1	2
T Tómané FWD		4
S Simão GLK				1
G Assunção MID		1		1
B Lourenço FWD		1
A Santos DEF		1
G Molina DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
550	26	88
C Castro	J Grau	T Tómané

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Castro DEF	550	11	42
J Grau MID	434	26	50
Kiki DEF	302	25	55
D. Spencer Marques DEF	298	13	42
G Assunção MID	271	12	25
S Simão GLK	243		1
R Semedo DEF	237	4	16
S Bane DEF	231	6	29
R Barbosa MID	221	8	20
A Santos DEF	177	8	28
B Akinsola FWD	171	6	51
J Gonçalves GLK	170		1
Ángel Algobia MID	166	18	25
T Tómané FWD	166	1	88
P Barros MID	156	13	37
P. Leal Sousa Lima DEF	123	7	13
L Rivas DEF	112	6	18
O Perea FWD	90	6	29
B Lourenço FWD	87	5	16
G Molina DEF	69	6	12
T Galletto MID	68	6	11
G. Mendonça MID	43	1	4
Nenê FWD	38	3	10
D Duarte FWD	35	4	17
K Kodisang FWD	24	2	5
J Escobar FWD	16	1	6

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	8	3	5
Liziero	Chuchu	Liziero	L Santos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Santos DEF	14	2		5 -
Liziero MID	14		3	4 -
Witi FWD	14			2 -
Chuchu FWD	14	8		4 -
P Bóia FWD	14	2	1	3 -
M Dias MID	13			1 1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	12	1	3	1 -
Z Vitor DEF	12	2		3 1
C. Abidi MID	12			3 -
J Aurélio DEF	11			1 -
F Soares MID	10			2 -
K Azarias GLK	8			-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD	8			1 1
L João FWD	8			-
J Silva MID	7			-
L França GLK	6			1 -
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD	6			1 -
Ulisses DEF	5			3 1
M. Nourani FWD	5			1 -
A Duarte DEF	4			-
L Vallier DEF	4			-
A Sousa MID	4		1	1 -
M Baeza MID	3			-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	3	4
Chuchu	Chuchu	Liziero	Liziero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Chuchu FWD	8	21
L Santos DEF	2	3
P Bóia FWD	2	7	1	2
Z Vitor DEF	2	3
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	1	3	3	3
Liziero MID		1	3	4
Witi FWD		2		1
M Dias MID		1		1
C. Abidi MID		4
J Aurélio DEF		1		1
P. Messias Cardozo FWD		4		1
L João FWD		1
Ulisses DEF		1
A Duarte DEF				1
L Vallier DEF		1		1
A Sousa MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
507	26	91
L Santos	Liziero	Chuchu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Santos DEF	507	9	60
Liziero MID	487	26	61
Z Vitor DEF	463	19	63
M Dias MID	386	20	50
J Aurélio DEF	279	26	63
K Azarias GLK	268		8
P Bóia FWD	239	22	84
Chuchu FWD	238	7	91
C. Abidi MID	213	23	51
J. Mendes Gomes DEF	199	14	45
L França GLK	149	1	3
Witi FWD	125	7	27
Ulisses DEF	114	3	12
F Soares MID	109	6	19
P. Messias Cardozo FWD	74	3	22
A Duarte DEF	72	5	9
L Vallier DEF	69	4	12
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF	33	1	4
M Baeza MID	32
M. Nourani FWD	27	5	12
L João FWD	24	1	8
J Silva MID	24	7	11
A Sousa MID	14		1
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD	9	2	3