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AVS v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd Jan, 20:30 BST, Estadio Do Cd Das Aves, Vila das Aves

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga NOS, and João Pedro Borges de Sousa’s AVS will have the luxury of it on Saturday night. Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa’s Moreirense are their visitors to the Estadio Do Cd Das Aves. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AVS
30%
--
Draw
24%
--
Moreirense
46%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Moreirense 2-1
9%
--
Moreirense 1-0
9%
--
Moreirense 2-0
7%
--
AVS 2-1
7%
--
AVS 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Moreirense 3-1
5%
--
AVS 2-0
4%
--
Moreirense 3-0
4%
--
Moreirense 3-2
3%
--
AVS 3-1
3%
--
AVS 3-2
2%
--
Moreirense 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
54%
--
Away/draw
70%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
47%
--
Away DNB
63%
--
AVS win to nil
14%
--
Moreirense win to nil
23%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

AVS have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league. AVS are winless in the 14 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won zero. AVS have conceded 37 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 7 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

AVS have played 7 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Moreirense lay in 8th place on 20 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Moreirense have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Moreirense have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AVS
Moreirense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
May 10
Dec 29
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
Apr 26
l
 
6-0A
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica149502232 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
l
 
0-4A
Apr 26
4
Braga157441325 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao14653923 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 8
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
8
Moreirense14626-320 
Jan 3
May 17
-
-
9
Estoril15456-217 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
Apr 19
d
 
3-3F
10
Alverca14527-517 
l
 
1-3F
Mar 8
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
11
Rio Ave14374-516 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 19
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
12
Nacional14437-415 
Dec 21
May 3
Mar 8
l
 
3-2F
13
Santa Clara14437-415 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
May 3
Dec 20
15
Arouca14338-2212 
Jan 18
l
 
3-1A
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 25
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
17
Tondela14239-179 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 22
Jan 11
May 10
18
AVS140311-283 
-
-
May 17
Jan 3
Win / draw / win form
AVS 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
53
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
Moreirense 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

Moreirense 's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because AVS have conceded in each of their last 15 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.6 for V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa's side suggests that run should continue.

AVS 18th Moreirense 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that AVS will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Moreirense will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
AVS have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
+16
Moreirense have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
AVS
PG (predicted goals)
Moreirense
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
MOR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MOR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

AVS v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13225
C CastroNenêB AkinsolaJ Grau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Akinsola FWD142
1
-
Kiki DEF13
1
-
C Castro DEF13
3
-
J Grau MID13
4
1
R Barbosa MID1112
3
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF1011
2
-
L Rivas DEF101
2
-
P Barros MID1011
1
-
Ángel Algobia MID10
-
T Tómané FWD10
1
-
D Duarte FWD101
-
S Bane DEF91
1
-
Nenê FWD92
1
-
S Simão GLK8
1
-
O Perea FWD82
-
T Galletto MID7
1
-
G Assunção MID7
3
-
B Lourenço FWD7
-
J Gonçalves GLK6
-
A Santos DEF6
1
-
R Semedo DEF5
1
-
K Kodisang FWD4
-
P. Leal Sousa Lima DEF3
1
G Molina DEF31
-
G. Mendonça MID3
-
J Escobar FWD3
-
Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14866
D PintoG SchettineD PintoM Maracás
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Pinto DEF1416
3
-
M Stjepanovic MID14
3
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF1311
3
-
Alanzinho MID1324
5
-
G Schettine FWD1381
1
-
M Maracás DEF121
5
1
Marcelo DEF111
5
-
Bernardo MID1111
1
-
K Bondoso FWD112
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF102
1
-
G Batista DEF10
1
-
C Teguia FWD10
1
-
V Sousa MID91
2
1
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD811
2
-
A Ferreira GLK7
1
-
C Secco GLK7
1
-
A. Cunha Almeida MID71
2
-
R Alonso MID71
1
-
?. Martínez Navarro DEF6
1
-
L Semedo FWD51
-
L Ofori MID41
-
J Jorquera FWD4
-
Michel DEF2
-
J. Gower MID1
-