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Estrela Amadora v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jan, 18:00 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal guides his Sporting Braga team to the Estádio José Gomes in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, with Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins's Estrela Amadora their challengers. Liga NOS statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Estrela Amadora and Braga's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Braga coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
23%
4/1
9%
19/5
Draw
25%
14/5
1%
14/5
Braga
53%
4/6
2%
7/10
Braga 1-0
12%
13/211/2
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
6/1
Braga 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Braga 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
7%
10/117/2
Estrela Amadora 1-0
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
14/112/1
Braga 3-0
5%
12/110/1
Braga 3-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
Braga 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Braga 4-0
2%
25/118/1
Braga 4-1
2%
25/118/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
19/2019/20
Home 1st Goal
42%
2/1
4%
9/5
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/98/15
No 1st Goal
5%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
50%
19/2019/20
BTTS - Home Win
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
22%
13/512/5
Home/draw
47%
23/20
2%
23/20
Away/draw
77%
1/6
1%
2/11
Home/away
75%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/413/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
2/119/10
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/82/15
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/117/2
Home DNB
40%
11/4
7%
5/2
Away DNB
70%
1/4
3%
1/4
Estrela Amadora win to nil
12%
8/1
13%
-
Braga win to nil
30%
7/4
8%
-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
10%
7/113/2
Estrela Amadora / Braga
4%
20/116/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
8%
9/1
5%
17/2
Draw / Braga
18%
7/210/3
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
Braga / Estrela Amadora
3%
33/128/1
Braga / Braga
31%
13/8
5%
8/5
Braga / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Estrela Amadora have conceded 24 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Braga lay in 4th place on 31 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Braga have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Braga have played 8 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Braga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1713223441 
Mar 30
l
 
5-1A
l
 
2-4F
Apr 6
2
Porto1713132940 
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
Mar 9
l
 
2-1A
3
Benfica1712232738 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
May 17
w
 
1-2F
4
Braga Away179441131 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
-
-
5
Santa Clara171016231 
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
May 4
w
 
0-2F
6
V. Guimaraes17674425 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 16
l
 
0-2A
Feb 16
7
Casa Pia17665-124 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
l
 
1-2A
May 11
8
Moreirense17647-322 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
w
 
3-1F
Feb 2
9
Famalicao17485020 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
Apr 27
10
Rio Ave17557-1020 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
11
Gil Vicente17476-719 
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
12
Estoril17467-1018 
l
 
2-4A
May 17
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
13
Nacional17449-1016 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
14
Estrela Amadora H17449-1316 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
15
AVS17296-1115 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
w
 
0-1F
16
Arouca174310-1515 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
Mar 30
w
 
1-2F
17
Sporting Farense17359-1214 
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
18
Boavista17269-1512 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 16
Jan 26
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
4
Braga have won 4 consecutive away league games
Estrela Amadora 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Estrela Amadora on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Estrela Amadora 14th Braga 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Estrela Amadora have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+10
Braga’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285213/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Braga
1
1.6
Attack rating
BRG
43%
better
view stats
Games scored10
15
Failed to score7
2
Scored first4
12
Goals scored16
30
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for0.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
BRG
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
10
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first13
4
Goals conceded29
19
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+37%

Estrela Amadora v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17425
B BrígidoR PinhoNiltonD Veiga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Brígido GLK17
-
Nilton DEF172
2
-
L Cordeiro MID1711
2
-
R Pinho FWD174
1
-
Kikas FWD174
2
-
L Bucca MID1621
4
-
D Veiga DEF142
4
1
A Ruiz MID142
5
-
I Jesus MID13
4
-
J Cabral FWD131
1
-
R Lima DEF12
1
-
P. Valente Moreira MID121
2
-
A Luiz FWD1111
1
-
I Dramé DEF10
-
M Keliano MID10
4
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF91
1
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF9
1
-
M Lopes DEF7
2
-
Ferro DEF7
3
-
C. dos Santos Santana FWD6
1
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-
Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16745
V CarvalhoBruma Bruma J Ferreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Carvalho MID17
3
-
R Horta FWD1743
-
R Fernandes FWD1712
1
-
Matheus GLK16
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD1651
1
-
G Martínez FWD1532
2
-
Bruma  FWD1574
1
-
S Niakaté DEF1411
3
-
J Ferreira DEF131
5
-
V Gómez DEF121
1
-
A Horta MID113
-
R Zalazar  MID1024
3
-
A Marín DEF92
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF9
2
1
I Gharbi FWD92
-
Y Ribeiro DEF8
2
-
P Oliveira DEF71
2
-
J Moutinho MID7
2
-
R Bambu DEF51
2
-
Gorby MID4
-
L Hornicek GLK1
-
T. Helguera Merello Volante MID1
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID1
-
F Navarro FWD11
-