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Sporting Braga v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga NOS, and Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal’s Sporting Braga will have the luxury of it on Sunday night. Rui Manuel Gomes Borges’s Vitoria Guimaraes are their opponents at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. This preview has odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.

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Sporting Braga's next match is v M. Tel-Aviv at 20:00 on Thursday 26th September
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Braga and V. Guimaraes was on Sunday 15th September 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
September 15th 2024
Braga 0
2 V. Guimaraes
 
52' J. Mendes Neto Saraiva
59' T. Machado Ribeiro
 
BRG
GUI
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
2
6
Corners
6
4
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
19
17
Yellow/red cards
3/1
3/0
 
BragaV. Guimaraes
 
M. Lima Magalhães
S. Niakate
B. Arrey-Mbi
V. Gómez Perea
A. Marín Gómez (Y. Oliveira Ribeiro 73')
A. Luz Horta (J. Fonseca Ferreira 60')
V. Carvalho Vieira
R. Zalazar Martínez (R. Fernandes 78')
R. Horta
A. El Ouazzani (R. Fernández Jaén 60')
G. Martínez Aguilera (A. Tué Na Bangna 60')
B. Semedo Varela
(T. Machado Ribeiro 46') M. Villanueva Álvarez
B. Boialvo Gaspar
T. Borevković
João Mendes
football iconJ. Mendes Neto Saraiva
T. Maia da Silva
(J. Natário Ferreira 90') T. Pereira Santos Händel
(F. Amorim Silva 67') N. Valente Santos
(G. da Silva Cunha 78') K. Andrade Lima
(J. Ramírez Díaz 67') N. Castro Oliveira
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Braga and V. Guimaraes will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal or Rui Manuel Gomes Borges has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.33 equating to about a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Braga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
46%
21/20
27%
23/20
17%
Draw
25%
13/5
10%
23/10
8%
V. Guimaraes
29%
12/5
32%
12/5
19%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Braga 1-0
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
17%
Braga 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Braga 2-0
8%
17/2
27%
17/2
27%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
8%
9/1
17%
8/1
5%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
Draw 0-0
7%
9/17/1
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
21%
11/1
8%
Braga 3-1
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0
5%
16/1
35%
14/1
12%
Braga 3-0
4%
18/1
58%
14/1
25%
Braga 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
28/1
29%
20/1
19%
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Braga 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
19/2019/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
17/204/5
3%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
16%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
23%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5
8%
4/5
6%
BTTS - No
46%
19/20
8%
19/20
7%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3
15%
16/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
14%
10/3
10%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
35%
5/1
20%
Home/draw
71%
3/10
11%
3/10
7%
Away/draw
54%
8/11
23%
4/6
14%
Home/away
75%
2/7
6%
1/3
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/103/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
12/511/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5
3%
9/4
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/15/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/101/10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/111/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
15/2
Home DNB
64%
1/2
20%
1/2
11%
Away DNB
46%
6/4
33%
11/8
21%
Braga win to nil
25%
5/2
34%
-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
15%
5/1
25%
-
Braga / Braga
24%
12/5
31%
12/5
21%
Braga / V. Guimaraes
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Braga / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Draw / Braga
16%
4/1
15%
4/1
11%
Draw / V. Guimaraes
11%
13/2
25%
6/1
18%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
V. Guimaraes / Braga
4%
22/118/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
14%
5/1
33%
9/2
15%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Braga
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
V. Guimaraes
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 10
Apr 6
 S. Lisbon55001715 
Jan 5
May 17
Mar 9
Oct 6
 Porto5401612 
Sep 21
Feb 23
l
 
0-2A
Feb 16
 V. Guimaraes A5401412 
-
-
May 17
Jan 5
 Benfica5311510 
Apr 19
Dec 8
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Famalicao5311510 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
May 4
Dec 22
 Santa Clara530219 
Apr 6
Nov 10
-
-
 Braga Home522118 
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 2
 Moreirense5212-17 
Nov 3
Mar 30
Apr 13
Dec 1
 AVS5212-17 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
 Gil Vicente5131-16 
Dec 2
Apr 13
Dec 29
May 11
 Casa Pia5203-36 
Mar 2
Sep 28
Sep 29
Mar 2
 Rio Ave5203-36 
Apr 27
Dec 15
Dec 8
Apr 19
 Estoril5122-35 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Jan 26
w
 
0-1F
 Boavista4112-14 
Oct 6
Mar 9
Feb 23
Sep 20
 Nacional5113-54 
Dec 22
May 4
Mar 30
Nov 3
 Arouca5104-63 
Jan 19
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
 Estrela Amadora4013-51 
Mar 16
Oct 27
Oct 27
Mar 16
 Sporting Farense5005-100 
May 11
Dec 29
Win / draw / win form
Braga 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga3 - 1Moreirense
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Braga0 - 1Porto
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Braga2 - 1Vizela
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Braga2 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga2 - 1Sporting Farense
Braga1 - 0Moreirense
Braga1 - 1Chaves
Braga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Braga0 - 1Benfica
Braga3 - 1Estoril
Braga6 - 1Portimonense
Braga2 - 1Rio Ave
Braga4 - 1Boavista
Braga1 - 1S. Lisbon
Braga1 - 2Famalicao
Braga3 - 0P. Ferreira
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABraga0 - 0Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 0Boavista
HBraga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HBraga0 - 1Porto
ABraga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
HBraga4 - 3Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 3Benfica
HBraga2 - 1Vizela
ABraga1 - 0Estoril
HBraga0 - 3Arouca
ABraga5 - 3Portimonense
HBraga2 - 1Gil Vicente
ABraga0 - 0Rio Ave
HBraga3 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABraga4 - 0Boavista
HBraga2 - 1Sporting Farense
ABraga0 - 5S. Lisbon
HBraga1 - 0Moreirense
HBraga1 - 1Chaves
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Chaves1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Portimonense1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Vizela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Braga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Famalicao1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Arouca
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Arouca
HV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
AV. Guimaraes1 - 2Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Chaves
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Portimonense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Vizela
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Gil Vicente
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Braga have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
15
9
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
BRG
5
D
3
GUI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Draw1 - 1Draw
Braga1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Braga3 - 0
Braga3 - 2
Braga1 - 0
Braga2 - 1
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Braga
Goals: Scored
7
16
Games: Scored
4 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
5 / 9
BRG
6
D
1
GUI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
2 - 3Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
0 - 1Braga
0 - 2Braga
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 5Braga
0 - 1Braga
0 - 1Braga
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga's defensive record is very strong, C. Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Vitoria Guimaraes makes sense in this context.

Braga 7th V. Guimaraes 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Braga’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
V. Guimaraes have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285112/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
9%
better
BRG
GUI
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
3
Goals scored5
4
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
16%
better
BRG
GUI
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded2
2
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded14
12
Conversion rate against7%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.4
KickOff rating
+16%

Braga v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4221
B Arrey-MbiR Zalazar R Zalazar V Gómez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Matheus GLK3
-
V Gómez DEF3
1
-
S Niakaté DEF1
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF4
-
A Marín DEF41
-
A Horta MID21
-
V Carvalho MID4
1
-
R Zalazar  MID322
1
-
R Horta MID4
-
G Martínez MID311
-
A Ouazzani FWD41
-
Subs
L Hornicek GLK1
-
Y Ribeiro DEF1
-
J Ferreira DEF
-
P Oliveira DEF1
-
Gorby MID
-
I Gharbi MID
-
R Fernández FWD41
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
R Fernandes FWD4
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4113
B VarelaT Händel T SilvaM Villanueva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK4
-
B Gaspar DEF4
1
-
M Villanueva DEF3
3
-
T Borevkovic DEF4
2
-
J Mendes DEF4
-
T Silva MID31
2
-
T Händel  MID41
-
N Santos MID4
1
-
K César FWD311
1
-
N Oliveira FWD411
-
J Mendes FWD2
-
Subs
Charles GLK
-
T Ribeiro DEF
-
A Baio DEF1
-
Manu MID4
-
T Arcanjo MID3
-
Samu MID4
-
Z Carlos MID1
-
Chuchu FWD411
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1
2
-