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Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 20:15 BST, Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and Sotiris Silaidopoulos’s Rio Ave will have the luxury of it on Monday night. Rui Manuel Gomes Borges’s Sporting Lisbon are their opponents at the Estadio Dos Arcos. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

Claiming a victory away from home Liga NOS is always an impressive achievement, and we predict Rui Manuel Gomes Borges and his S. Lisbon team will end the game jubilant at Estadio Dos Arcos on Sunday morning. The stats below, including historical head-to-head (H2H) records, show they're more than capable of delivering, and the bookies are expecting exactly that. The best available price is 1.17 on S. Lisbon to win. We think it's well worth backing.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 64% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
15%
11.0010.00
Draw
20%
5.756.00
S. Lisbon
64%
1.221.29
S. Lisbon 2-0
11%
8.007.00
S. Lisbon 1-0
11%
10.008.50
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
9.508.50
Draw 1-1
10%
11.0010.00
S. Lisbon 3-0
8%
8.507.50
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
10.009.50
Draw 0-0
5%
21.0017.00
Rio Ave 1-0
5%
34.0021.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0017.00
Rio Ave 2-1
4%
29.0021.00
S. Lisbon 4-0
4%
12.0011.00
S. Lisbon 4-1
3%
15.0012.00
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
Rio Ave 2-0
2%
51.0034.00
S. Lisbon 5-0
2%
21.0015.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.401.40
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.882.70
Home 1st Goal
39%
3.404.00
Away 1st Goal
58%
1.301.25
No 1st Goal
3%
21.0017.00
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.801.83
BTTS - No
49%
1.951.91
BTTS - Home Win
8%
17.0013.00
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.506.50
BTTS - Away Win
28%
2.502.60
Home/draw
36%
3.753.70
Away/draw
85%
1.051.06
Home/away
80%
1.141.12
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.111.12
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
6.505.75
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2.002.05
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.731.73
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3.403.20
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.301.33
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
6.005.50
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.131.12
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.021.01
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
21.0017.00
Home DNB
30%
10.007.50
Away DNB
79%
1.061.07
Rio Ave win to nil
8%
21.00-
S. Lisbon win to nil
36%
2.20-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
5%
19.0013.00
Rio Ave / S. Lisbon
5%
17.0017.00
Rio Ave / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
Draw / Rio Ave
4%
23.0017.00
Draw / S. Lisbon
20%
4.004.33
Draw / Draw
9%
9.508.50
S. Lisbon / Rio Ave
2%
51.0041.00
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
47%
1.731.73
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
19.0017.00
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 8 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 40 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rio Ave have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 76 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 16 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 80 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 20 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 16 away games, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rio Ave
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3327424785 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
2
S. Lisbon3223725976 
May 11
l
 
4-0A
-
-
3
Benfica32221004776 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga3216972857 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
5
Famalicao32141081252 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
6
Gil Vicente32131181450 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
7
V. Guimaraes3212614-942 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-4F
8
Moreirense3212614-1042 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
9
Estoril3310914-139 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca3310914-1639 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
11
Arouca3210616-2136 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Rio Ave3281113-1935 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
May 11
13
Santa Clara328915-1033 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-2A
w
 
1-2A
14
Nacional328717-831 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
15
Estrela Amadora3261016-1828 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Casa Pia3251116-2726 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela3251017-2825 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-3F
18
AVS3331119-4020 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
6-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
26
S. Lisbon have not lost in 26 consecutive away league games
Rio Ave 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
26
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
S. Lisbon have beaten Rio Ave in 3 consecutive league meetings
10
S. Lisbon have not lost to Rio Ave in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Rio Ave since 2015
Rio Ave
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
9
17
Games: Scored
5 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
4 / 9
RIO
1
D
2
SCL
6
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
21
5
Games: Scored
9 / 10
3 / 10
Clean sheets
7 / 10
1 / 10
RIO
1
D
2
SCL
7
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their meeting with Rio Ave, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 51 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Rio Ave 12th S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Rio Ave have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
S. Lisbon have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
0.9
2
Attack rating
RIO
SCL
51%
better
view stats
Games scored19
32
Failed to score13
0
Scored first11
25
Goals scored33
82
Avg. goals scored1
2.6
Avg. shots per game7
13
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.1
2.1
KickOff rating
+51%
Defence rating
RIO
SCL
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
18
Clean sheets6
14
Conceded first18
7
Goals conceded52
23
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.8
KickOff rating
+42%

Rio Ave v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291059
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizA Ndoj
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF3012
4
1
O Pohlmann MID3011
1
-
A Ndoj DEF2812
9
-
D Spikic FWD2823
1
-
N Abby DEF251
4
-
T. Nikitscher MID2511
5
1
G Liavas MID241
2
-
J Brabec DEF2311
4
-
F. Petrasso DEF22
5
-
C Miszta GLK20
5
-
B Aguilera MID191
4
-
A. Papakanellos MID19
1
-
Clayton FWD19104
7
1
A Luiz FWD1975
3
-
J Tomé DEF17
2
-
N Athanasiou DEF171
1
-
J Panzo DEF14
3
1
O Richards DEF12
2
-
M Gual FWD10
-
J Graça MID8
1
-
J DEF6
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD5
2
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
R. Genuino Lobato FWD2
-
T. Medina FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30261110
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Trincão MID32611
1
-
R Silva GLK30
3
-
L Suárez FWD30266
5
-
H Morita MID2914
3
-
G Inácio DEF2723
4
1
M Vilches DEF2753
9
1
G Catamo  FWD2763
1
-
M Hjulmand MID2624
9
-
P Gonçalves FWD25137
5
-
I Fresneda DEF231
6
-
G Vagiannidis DEF214
4
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID181
3
-
A Santos FWD182
-
G. Quenda FWD1814
-
Z Debast DEF172
2
-
G Kochorashvili MID171
-
O Diomande DEF16
4
-
R Mangas DEF1421
3
-
E Quaresma DEF1412
2
-
D Bragança  MID126
1
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
M Reis DEF92
2
N Santos DEF41
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-