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Sporting Braga v Gil Vicente FC : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 19th Oct, 20:15 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga will have the joy of it on Sunday night. Luís Miguel Correia Pinto’s Gil Vicente FC are their opponents at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head records, will update as you explore each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Braga and Gil Vicente will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.30.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Braga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.56.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Braga 58%	14/25 3%	-
Draw 23%	27/10 1%	-
Gil Vicente 19%	19/4 15%	-
Braga 1-0 12%	5/1 8%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Braga 2-0 11%	6/1 7%	-
Braga 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1 10%	-
Braga 3-0 6%	10/1 8%	-
Gil Vicente 1-0 6%	12/1	-
Braga 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Gil Vicente 2-1 5%	18/1 12%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 12%	-
Braga 4-0 3%	22/1 12%	-
Gil Vicente 2-0 3%	28/1 12%	-
Braga 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Braga 4-1 3%	28/1	-
Gil Vicente 3-1 1%	50/1 24%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	21/20 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	3/4 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	1/2 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	2/1 9%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	8/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	21/20 5%	-
BTTS - No 51%	7/10 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	3/1 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	11/1 20%	-
Home/draw 81%	1/7 3%	-
Away/draw 42%	13/10 5%	-
Home/away 77%	2/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/3 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	9/4 4%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	11/4 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1/4 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	7/1 14%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/12 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1 10%	-
Home DNB 74%	1/5 4%	-
Away DNB 35%	10/3 15%	-
Braga win to nil 34%	6/4 5%	-
Gil Vicente win to nil 10%	9/1 11%	-
Braga / Braga 32%	6/4 4%	-
Braga / Gil Vicente 2%	40/1	-
Braga / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Braga 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Gil Vicente 8%	10/1 10%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Gil Vicente / Braga 4%	22/1	-
Gil Vicente / Gil Vicente 9%	9/1 11%	-
Gil Vicente / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Braga Gil Vicente
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	8	8	0	0	16	24	Jan 10	May 16	Oct 24	Mar 14
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	17	19	Apr 25	Dec 13	Feb 21	l 3-1F
3	S. Lisbon	8	5	3	0	11	18	l 1-3F	Mar 7	Dec 13	Apr 25
4	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	8	18	Feb 28	d 0-00-0	Apr 4	Nov 8
5	Arouca	8	4	2	2	4	14	Dec 6	Apr 18	Dec 27	May 9
6	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	1	14	Dec 20	May 2	l 0-1A	Feb 14
7	Alverca	8	3	2	3	1	11	Feb 14	w 1-2A	May 2	Dec 20
8	Gil Vicente	7	3	2	2	1	11	Oct 19	Jan 24	-	-
9	Braga	7	3	2	2	0	11	-	-	Jan 24	Oct 19
10	Estrela Amadora	8	2	4	2	-1	10	Jan 31	l 2-1F	Apr 18	Dec 6
11	Maratimo	8	2	2	4	-5	8	May 9	Dec 27	d 1-1F	Feb 28
12	Moreirense	8	2	2	4	-7	8	Jan 17	d 2-2F	Mar 7	w 0-1F
13	Famalicao	8	1	4	3	-1	7	Nov 1	Mar 21	Feb 7	d 0-00-0
14	Rio Ave	8	2	1	5	-9	7	Apr 4	Nov 8	w 1-0F	Jan 17
15	V. Guimaraes	8	1	2	5	-5	5	w 1-0F	Feb 7	Nov 2	Mar 21
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	-9	4	Mar 14	Oct 25	May 16	Jan 10
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	-14	4	Apr 11	Nov 30	w 2-0F	Jan 31
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	-8	2	w 1-0F	Feb 21	Nov 29	Apr 11

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
Braga	1 - 0	Estoril
Braga	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Braga	2 - 2	Estrela Amadora
Braga	1 - 1	Estoril
Braga	2 - 2	Famalicao
Braga	1 - 0	Arouca
Braga	1 - 2	Porto
Braga	2 - 2	S. Lisbon
Braga	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Braga	3 - 0	Rio Ave
Braga	5 - 0	Alverca
Braga	2 - 2	Benfica
Braga	1 - 0	Santa Clara
Braga	2 - 1	Moreirense
Braga	4 - 0	Casa Pia
Braga	0 - 1	Nacional
Braga	0 - 1	Gil Vicente
Braga	2 - 2	AVS
Braga	3 - 0	Tondela

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Braga	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Braga	0 - 0	Santa Clara
H	Braga	1 - 0	Estoril
A	Braga	1 - 2	Estrela Amadora
A	Braga	2 - 1	Alverca
H	Braga	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	Braga	2 - 2	Moreirense
H	Braga	2 - 2	Estrela Amadora
A	Braga	2 - 2	Benfica
H	Braga	1 - 1	Estoril
A	Braga	1 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Braga	1 - 0	Casa Pia
H	Braga	2 - 2	Famalicao
H	Braga	1 - 0	Arouca
A	Braga	1 - 0	Moreirense
H	Braga	1 - 2	Porto
H	Braga	2 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	Braga	2 - 1	Nacional
H	Braga	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Braga	1 - 2	Gil Vicente

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense	0 - 1	Gil Vicente
Benfica	3 - 1	Gil Vicente
Famalicao	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon	3 - 0	Gil Vicente
Rio Ave	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
Tondela	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
Santa Clara	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
Estoril	3 - 1	Gil Vicente
Moreirense	1 - 2	Gil Vicente
Porto	3 - 0	Gil Vicente
Arouca	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
AVS	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
Alverca	0 - 4	Gil Vicente
Benfica	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
Braga	0 - 1	Gil Vicente
Famalicao	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
Nacional	0 - 2	Gil Vicente

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gil Vicente	1 - 0	Moreirense
H	Gil Vicente	1 - 1	Maratimo
A	Gil Vicente	1 - 3	Benfica
H	Gil Vicente	0 - 1	Academico Viseu
A	Gil Vicente	0 - 0	Famalicao
H	Gil Vicente	2 - 0	Casa Pia
H	Gil Vicente	1 - 0	Rio Ave
A	Gil Vicente	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	Gil Vicente	1 - 3	Arouca
A	Gil Vicente	0 - 0	Rio Ave
H	Gil Vicente	2 - 1	Casa Pia
H	Gil Vicente	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Gil Vicente	2 - 2	Tondela
H	Gil Vicente	3 - 0	AVS
A	Gil Vicente	0 - 1	Santa Clara
H	Gil Vicente	2 - 2	Alverca
A	Gil Vicente	2 - 2	Estrela Amadora
H	Gil Vicente	1 - 2	Benfica
A	Gil Vicente	1 - 3	Estoril
H	Gil Vicente	2 - 1	Braga

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Braga

Gil Vicente

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

2 / 7

BRG

GIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
	0 - 1	Gil Vicente
Braga	2 - 0
Braga	2 - 1
Braga	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Gil Vicente
Braga	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Gil Vicente

Braga

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

3 / 7

BRG

GIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Braga
	0 - 1	Braga
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 20 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.8 against Gil Vicente FC on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Braga 9th	Gil Vicente 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Gil Vicente scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Braga’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-11 Gil Vicente have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season

21%

better

BRG

GIL

view stats

Games scored	1		1
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	1		1
Goals scored	2		1
Avg. goals scored	2		1
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	22		10
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+21%

BRG

GIL

43%

better

view stats

Games conceded	1		0
Clean sheets	0		1
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	2		0
Avg. goals conceded	2		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		5
Avg. shots/goal conceded	3		0
Conversion rate against	40%		0%
Avg. XG against	0.3		0.2
KickOff rating		+43%

Braga v Gil Vicente Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	2	2
B Fontes	P Victor	D Tıknaz	J Moutinho

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Fontes GLK	7			-
V Carvalho DEF	7		1	1 -
V Gómez DEF	7			-
J Moutinho MID	7			2 -
P Victor FWD	7	3	1	1 -
A Bajrami DEF	6			2 -
G Silva MID	6		1	-
D Tıknaz MID	6		2	1 -
S Barcia DEF	5			1 -
G Lagerbielke DEF	5			1 -
T. Marqués Morera MID	5			-
G Martínez MID	5	1		1 -
M Dorgeles MID	5			-
F Navarro FWD	5	1		-
D. Martins Travassos DEF	4			1 -
R Horta MID	4			-
Gorby MID	4		1	1 -
J Milosevic FWD	4			-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	3	1		-
D Huseinbašić MID	3			-
J Wind FWD	3	1		-
A Barisic DEF	2			-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	3
P Victor	P Victor	D Tıknaz	R Horta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Victor FWD	3	6	1
G Martínez MID	1	3		1
F Navarro FWD	1	2
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	1	2
J Wind FWD	1	2
V Carvalho DEF			1	1
V Gómez DEF				1
J Moutinho MID		1
G Silva MID		3	1	2
D Tıknaz MID		2	2	2
G Lagerbielke DEF		2
M Dorgeles MID		1		1
D. Martins Travassos DEF		2
R Horta MID		1		3
Gorby MID			1	1
J Milosevic FWD		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
469	13	42
J Moutinho	J Moutinho	V Carvalho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Moutinho MID	469	13	27
V Carvalho DEF	438	4	42
D Tıknaz MID	345	10	27
G Lagerbielke DEF	321	6	27
V Gómez DEF	304	9	19
P Victor FWD	224	3	25
Gorby MID	207	5	12
A Bajrami DEF	203	11	17
B Fontes GLK	187	1	5
S Barcia DEF	180	4	12
M Dorgeles MID	156	3	8
G Martínez MID	142		12
R Horta MID	131	5	11
D. Martins Travassos DEF	107	5	15
G Silva MID	106	9	30
J Milosevic FWD	69	2	18
A Barisic DEF	67		5
T. Marqués Morera MID	61	4	9
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	56		4
D Huseinbašić MID	49	4	5
B Arrey-Mbi DEF	43	3	6
F Navarro FWD	38	4	10
J Wind FWD	25		6

Gil Vicente Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	2	3
L Lucão	H Hernández	G. Pinto Martins	R Esgaio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Lucão GLK	7			1 -
R Esgaio DEF	7			3 -
M Gilbert DEF	7			1 -
J Buatu DEF	7			-
A. Sejr Lausen MID	7			1 -
G. Pinto Martins MID	7	1	2	1 -
H Hernández FWD	7	3	1	2 -
M Souza FWD	6	1		-
J Fernandes FWD	6			-
D. Madeira Moreira DEF	5			-
D. Ferreira Prioste MID	5			-
S García MID	5			1 -
Z Carlos MID	5			-
M. Kaba FWD	5			1 -
T. Chabrol Touré FWD	5			-
Weverson DEF	4			1 -
J. Silva DEF	3			-
Espigares DEF	2			-
M Benítez MID	2			-
A. Moreira Morales FWD	2			-
G. Henrique Bernardineli Gomes MID	1			-
W. dos Santos França FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	3
H Hernández	H Hernández	G. Pinto Martins	G. Pinto Martins

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Hernández FWD	3	6	1	1
G. Pinto Martins MID	1	3	2	3
M Souza FWD	1	1		1
W. dos Santos França FWD	1	1
R Esgaio DEF		1		2
A. Sejr Lausen MID		3
J Fernandes FWD		2
D. Madeira Moreira DEF		1
D. Ferreira Prioste MID		1
S García MID		2		2
M. Kaba FWD		1
T. Chabrol Touré FWD		3
Weverson DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
439	18	32
M Gilbert	R Esgaio	M Gilbert

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Gilbert DEF	439	13	32
J Buatu DEF	435	8	26
R Esgaio DEF	331	18	27
D. Ferreira Prioste MID	322	5	12
L Lucão GLK	250		2
A. Sejr Lausen MID	231	4	10
D. Madeira Moreira DEF	206	5	13
G. Pinto Martins MID	160	9	18
M Souza FWD	154	3	23
Z Carlos MID	147	8	17
S García MID	131	3	24
H Hernández FWD	92	4	12
Weverson DEF	78	4	10
J Fernandes FWD	77	8	16
J. Silva DEF	39	4	10
M. Kaba FWD	35	1	10
T. Chabrol Touré FWD	24	1	6
M Benítez MID	14
A. Moreira Morales FWD	13		2
G. Henrique Bernardineli Gomes MID	12
Espigares DEF	5		1
W. dos Santos França FWD	2