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CD Nacional v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

CD Nacional and Estoril meet at the Estadio da Madeira on Saturday afternoon, with both Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and Ian Cathro hoping for success in the Liga NOS. Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Nacional and Estoril will score at least a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookies have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
41%
2.25
2%
2.25
10%
Draw
26%
3.20
2%
3.25
4%
Estoril
33%
3.30
3%
3.30
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.006.00
Nacional 1-0
9%
7.006.50
Nacional 2-1
9%
9.50
6%
8.50
6%
Estoril 1-0
8%
9.00
5%
8.00
6%
Estoril 2-1
8%
12.0010.00
9%
Nacional 2-0
7%
10.009.50
12%
Draw 0-0
7%
8.507.50
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0013.00
Estoril 2-0
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Nacional 3-1
4%
19.0015.00
Nacional 3-0
3%
21.0017.00
13%
Estoril 3-1
3%
29.0021.00
9%
Nacional 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
Estoril 3-2
2%
41.0026.00
10%
Estoril 3-0
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
2.102.10
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1.701.67
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.40-
No 1st Goal
4%
8.50-
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.911.85
3%
BTTS - No
45%
1.911.85
3%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5.00
5%
4.60
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.40
4%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7.006.00
14%
Home/draw
67%
1.33
2%
1.33
3%
Away/draw
59%
1.62
3%
1.62
6%
Home/away
74%
1.36
2%
1.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.361.36
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3.002.90
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3.753.70
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.251.25
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
8.007.00
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.081.08
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
19.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.021.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.071.07
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9.00
6%
7.50
6%
Home DNB
59%
1.57
3%
1.57
6%
Away DNB
51%
2.25
5%
2.25
10%
Nacional win to nil
21%
3.50-
Estoril win to nil
17%
5.50-
Nacional / Nacional
22%
3.75
4%
3.50
9%
Nacional / Estoril
3%
34.0026.00
Nacional / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Draw / Nacional
15%
5.50
10%
5.00
4%
Draw / Estoril
12%
7.007.00
7%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.754.40
4%
Estoril / Nacional
3%
26.0021.00
Estoril / Estoril
15%
5.505.25
5%
Estoril / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Nacional have conceded 24 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 10 games at home, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Estoril lay in 8th place on 30 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estoril have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Estoril have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2116324151 
l
 
1-6A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 2
2
Benfica2115243147 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 9
May 4
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto2113442743 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
Mar 30
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2113441843 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
5
Santa Clara211227338 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
6
Casa Pia21966233 
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
7
V. Guimaraes21795530 
May 4
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
Estoril Away21867-630 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
-
-
9
Famalicao215106-225 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Apr 13
10
Rio Ave21678-1225 
May 11
l
 
2-1A
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
11
Moreirense216510-623 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
May 11
12
Arouca216510-1323 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1A
Mar 16
13
Gil Vicente21579-922 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
14
Nacional Home216411-922 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
15
AVS21399-1518 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
16
Estrela Amadora214512-1617 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
May 17
w
 
2-4F
17
Sporting Farense213612-1715 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 9
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista212613-2212 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 13
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
3
Estoril have won 3 consecutive away league games
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
1
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Estoril 8TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Estoril
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
NAC
1
EST
1
League games at Estoril since 2015
Estoril
Nacional
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
NAC
1
D
1
EST
1
Goal Statistics
Nacional 14th Estoril 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+23
Estoril have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285243/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
NAC
EST
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NAC
EST
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Nacional v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21326
L FrançaJ. Mendes GomesG GarcíaZ Vitor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK21
3
-
G García DEF212
2
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2131
3
-
Z Vitor DEF201
6
-
L Esteves MID202
4
-
M Dias MID192
4
-
I Tomich FWD1931
3
-
Ulisses DEF182
5
1
D Penha MID1811
1
-
B Costa MID1621
-
R Macedo FWD151
-
A Appiah FWD15
1
-
Dudu FWD1322
-
D. Soumaré MID1211
6
-
L Santos DEF8
1
-
J Aurélio DEF81
-
C. Abidi MID8
2
-
A Sousa MID8
3
-
D Sousa FWD6
-
M Baeza MID51
-
J Tagueu FWD3
-
F Yamada FWD2
1
1
P Bóia FWD2
-
R Encarnação GLK1
1
-
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20737
J RoblesA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W. Cardoso Pina DEF2123
3
-
Y Begraoui FWD2151
1
-
J Robles GLK20
3
-
A Marqués FWD207
1
-
P Álvaro DEF1911
7
-
V Zanocelo MID19
6
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD18
3
-
K Boma DEF171
4
-
J Carvalho MID175
3
-
P Amaral DEF162
1
-
J Holsgrove MID1612
2
-
J Orellana MID16
2
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD152
1
-
F Bacher DEF111
3
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF10
1
-
G Costa DEF101
1
-
Xeka  MID911
4
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD9
-
E Mangala DEF8
4
-
R Guitane MID81
-