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CD Nacional v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

CD Nacional and Estoril take on one another at the Estadio da Madeira on Sunday afternoon, with both Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and Ian Cathro hoping for success in the Liga NOS. We've got bespoke statistics for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of impressive, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido or Ian Cathro mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, show that doesn't seem likely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
43%
7/529/20
Draw
23%
5/213/5
Estoril
34%
17/1017/10
Draw 1-1
10%
6/111/2
Nacional 2-1
9%
17/27/1
Estoril 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Nacional 1-0
7%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
7%
11/19/1
Estoril 1-0
6%
10/117/2
Nacional 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Nacional 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Estoril 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
4%
12/110/1
Estoril 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Nacional 3-2
4%
22/118/1
Nacional 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Estoril 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Estoril 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/64/6
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
23/2011/10
Home 1st Goal
50%
5/610/11
Away 1st Goal
47%
1/121/20
No 1st Goal
2%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/73/5
BTTS - No
37%
5/45/4
BTTS - Home Win
25%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/417/5
Home/draw
66%
2/54/9
Away/draw
57%
8/1511/20
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/52/9
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
10/33/1
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
13/817/10
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/161/20
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/110/1
Home DNB
60%
8/113/4
Away DNB
50%
1/119/20
Nacional win to nil
19%
4/1-
Estoril win to nil
14%
9/2-
Nacional / Nacional
21%
11/427/10
Nacional / Estoril
4%
22/120/1
Nacional / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Nacional
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Estoril
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Estoril / Nacional
4%
22/118/1
Estoril / Estoril
19%
10/33/1
Estoril / Draw
7%
12/110/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 31 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 12 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Estoril lay in 8th place on 34 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 38 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estoril have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Estoril have played 12 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2517803759 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
May 17
l
 
3-1A
4
Braga2513752746 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 3
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao251168939 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 21
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
8
Estoril25979434 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
-
-
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
10
Alverca257711-1528 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
May 10
11
Arouca257513-2126 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
15
Nacional255713-822 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
17
Tondela254714-2019 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
18
AVS251717-3910 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional0 - 3Arouca
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
Estoril 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AVS3 - 0Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Famalicao4 - 0Estoril
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Famalicao3 - 0Estoril
AVS0 - 3Estoril
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril0 - 0Casa Pia
AEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 3AVS
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Estoril
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
NAC
1
D
1
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Estoril
Nacional4 - 1
League games at Estoril since 2015
Estoril
Nacional
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
NAC
1
D
2
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Draw1 - 1Draw
Estoril1 - 0
0 - 1Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Nacional 15th Estoril 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Nacional have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+37
Estoril have scored 37% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
1.7
1.5
Attack rating
NAC
EST
15%
better
view stats
Games scored18
17
Failed to score7
8
Scored first8
10
Goals scored29
46
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
20
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
4%
better
NAC
EST
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first16
14
Goals conceded37
42
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+4%

Nacional v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2513410
ChuchuChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Chuchu FWD2513
4
-
P Bóia FWD2532
4
-
Liziero  MID244
6
-
M Dias MID241
4
1
L Santos DEF2331
10
-
Z Vitor DEF2241
6
1
Witi FWD211
2
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2014
2
-
C. Abidi MID2011
4
1
K Azarias GLK19
3
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
L João FWD151
-
J Silva MID14
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD14
2
1
A Duarte DEF1212
1
-
M Baeza MID111
1
-
L Vallier DEF10
3
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
D Jr MID9
1
-
A Sousa MID92
1
-
L França GLK6
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF6
2
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2517107
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoR Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK25
2
-
F Bacher DEF251
2
-
Y Begraoui FWD25171
1
-
J Carvalho MID24610
5
-
J Holsgrove MID2416
6
-
R Guitane FWD2235
2
-
Ferro DEF201
2
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF192
4
-
K Boma DEF191
5
-
A Marqués FWD194
1
-
P Amaral DEF182
3
-
R Sánchez DEF1823
7
-
Pizzi MID174
-
A Tsoungui DEF15
5
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
J Orellana MID141
2
-
G Costa DEF11
1
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
Xeka  MID3
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-