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CD Santa Clara v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 20:15 BST, Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

We’ve Liga NOS action to look forward to on Monday night, as Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos and his CD Santa Clara side host Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido’s CD Nacional at the Estádio de São Miguel. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Liga NOS match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Santa Clara and Nacional have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Santa Clara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santa Clara
43%
6/56/5
Draw
28%
23/109/4
Nacional
29%
9/423/10
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Santa Clara 1-0
13%
13/211/2
Nacional 1-0
10%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
10%
8/17/1
Santa Clara 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Santa Clara 2-0
8%
9/18/1
Nacional 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Nacional 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
Santa Clara 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Santa Clara 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Nacional 3-1
2%
25/122/1
Santa Clara 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Nacional 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Nacional 3-2
1%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
43/4021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
8/117/10
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/513/10
No 1st Goal
6%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/55/6
BTTS - No
53%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/47/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/25/1
Home/draw
71%
1/33/10
Away/draw
57%
8/1313/20
Home/away
72%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
9/421/10
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
11/413/5
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/141/18
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/115/2
Home DNB
63%
4/711/20
Away DNB
48%
5/413/10
Santa Clara win to nil
26%
11/4-
Nacional win to nil
17%
9/2-
Santa Clara / Santa Clara
23%
13/512/5
Santa Clara / Nacional
3%
28/125/1
Santa Clara / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Santa Clara
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Nacional
12%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Nacional / Santa Clara
3%
25/120/1
Nacional / Nacional
15%
9/217/4
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Santa Clara have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 35 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Santa Clara have played 16 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Nacional are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 31 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 37 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Santa Clara
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3327424785 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon3223725976 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2F
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
3
Benfica32221004776 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga3216972857 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Famalicao32141081252 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
6
Gil Vicente32131181450 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
7
V. Guimaraes3212614-942 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 17
l
 
2-1A
8
Moreirense3212614-1042 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
9
Estoril3310914-139 
l
 
2-4A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
10
Alverca3310914-1639 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
11
Arouca3210616-2136 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
12
Rio Ave3281113-1935 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
13
Santa Clara328915-1033 
-
-
d
 
3-3A
May 11
14
Nacional328717-831 
May 11
d
 
3-3F
-
-
15
Estrela Amadora3261016-1828 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Casa Pia3251116-2726 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela3251017-2825 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS3331119-4020 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
Santa Clara 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara2 - 1Braga
Santa Clara0 - 2Rio Ave
Santa Clara1 - 0Gil Vicente
Santa Clara2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara1 - 2Benfica
Santa Clara2 - 4Estoril
Santa Clara0 - 1Famalicao
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 0Arouca
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Santa Clara2 - 0AVS
Santa Clara1 - 2Tondela
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 1Moreirense
Santa Clara2 - 1Famalicao
Santa Clara2 - 0Arouca
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASanta Clara2 - 2Arouca
HSanta Clara2 - 1Braga
ASanta Clara0 - 0Casa Pia
HSanta Clara0 - 2Rio Ave
ASanta Clara2 - 4S. Lisbon
HSanta Clara1 - 0Gil Vicente
ASanta Clara1 - 0AVS
HSanta Clara2 - 0V. Guimaraes
ASanta Clara2 - 2Tondela
ASanta Clara1 - 1Alverca
HSanta Clara1 - 2Benfica
ASanta Clara0 - 1Estrela Amadora
HSanta Clara2 - 4Estoril
ASanta Clara0 - 1Moreirense
HSanta Clara0 - 1Famalicao
ASanta Clara3 - 3Nacional
HSanta Clara0 - 1Porto
HSanta Clara0 - 0Arouca
ASanta Clara0 - 1Braga
HSanta Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela0 - 2Nacional
Benfica2 - 0Nacional
Famalicao1 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AVS2 - 2Nacional
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional1 - 2AVS
ANacional2 - 0Tondela
HNacional1 - 0Alverca
ANacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Famalicao
HNacional0 - 1Estoril
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional0 - 3Arouca
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Santa Clara have beaten Nacional in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Santa Clara since 2019
Santa Clara
Nacional
Goals: Scored
8
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
SCL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santa Clara
Santa Clara1 - 0
Santa Clara5 - 1
Santa Clara2 - 0
League games at Nacional since 2018
Nacional
Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
SCL
2
D
1
NAC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw3 - 3Draw
Nacional2 - 0
1 - 3Santa Clara
0 - 3Santa Clara
Goal Statistics
Santa Clara 13th Nacional 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Santa Clara will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Santa Clara have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
Nacional have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Santa Clara
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.3
1
Attack rating
SCL
NAC
8%
better
view stats
Games scored20
22
Failed to score12
10
Scored first11
12
Goals scored30
35
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
2%
better
SCL
NAC
view stats
Games conceded23
25
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first18
19
Goals conceded40
43
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+2%

Santa Clara v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Santa Clara Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32639
G BatistaG SilvaS. Lobo AraújoS. Pena De Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Batista GLK321
-
S. Pena De Lima DEF311
8
1
S. Lobo Araújo MID3143
9
-
P Ferreira MID31
4
-
Brenner FWD281
2
-
L Soares MID27
5
1
G Silva FWD276
4
-
V Lopes FWD2661
8
-
F Venâncio DEF2211
6
-
Calila DEF211
4
-
P Victor DEF191
4
1
A Firmino MID18
5
1
L Rocha DEF13
5
-
W. da Silva Costa FWD1312
2
-
E Manoel FWD132
1
-
MT MID121
2
-
M Pereira DEF101
2
-
Luquinhas FWD9
1
-
J. Augusto Mourão Costa FWD71
-
A. Carter FWD51
1
-
P. Pacheco Seabra DEF1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3116512
ChuchuChuchuJ. Mendes GomesL Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Chuchu FWD3116
6
-
P Bóia FWD3142
5
-
L Santos DEF2932
12
-
Z Vitor DEF2941
8
2
M Dias MID291
6
1
Liziero  MID284
6
-
K Azarias GLK26
2
-
C. Abidi MID2611
7
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2515
2
-
Witi FWD241
3
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD21
2
1
A Duarte DEF1912
2
-
J Aurélio DEF19
2
-
J Silva MID18
1
-
L João FWD181
1
-
D Jr MID161
3
-
F Soares MID161
2
-
L Vallier DEF14
5
-
M Baeza MID141
1
-
A Sousa MID112
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF8
2
-
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1