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Estrela Amadora v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

Sporting Lisbon, led by manager Rui Manuel Gomes Borges, visit João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu and his Estrela Amadora side at the Estádio José Gomes on Saturday night in the Liga NOS. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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Estrela Amadora's next match is v Arouca at 15:30 on Sunday 19th April
Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Benfica at 18:00 on Sunday 19th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estrela Amadora and S. Lisbon was on Saturday 11th April 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 11th 2026
Estrela Amadora 0
1 S. Lisbon
 
59' D. Santos Bragança
 
SCL
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
4
13
Possession
33%
67%
Fouls
14
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
Estrela AmadoraS. Lisbon
 
S. Leković
K. Höög-Jansson
B. Schappo
R. Oliveira Botelho (J. Monteiro Meireles 65')
R. Pereira de Pinho (S. van Hooijdonk 77')
I. Stoica (J. Borges Cabral 62')
M. Scholze
R. Ribeiro
B. Langa (J. Silva Encada 76')
E. Doué (O. Galdino Fernandes 76')
A. Marcus
R. Dantas da Silva
Z. Debast
M. Araújo Vilches
(G. Quenda 67') P. Pereira Gonçalves
(R. Nel 90') G. Cipriano Catamo
(G. Vagiannidis 46') I. Fresneda Corraliza
(O. Diomande 90') F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
(H. Morita 67') football iconD. Santos Bragança
M. Hjulmand
L. Suárez Charris

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

No team in Liga NOS wants to lose in front of their own fans, but the stats below are suggesting that will be Estrela Amadora's fate as they go head-to-head with S. Lisbon at Estádio José Gomes on Saturday night. The UK's top bookmakers agree, with all placing the away win as the most likely outcome at odds of 1.22, and so does our predictive algorithm. Our algorithm suggests the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 64% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 63% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
17%
10/1750/1
Draw
20%
5/133/1
S. Lisbon
63%
2/91/1000
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
8/140/1
S. Lisbon 2-0
9%
13/211/2
Draw 1-1
9%
10/111/1
S. Lisbon 1-0
8%
17/21/6
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
9/1100/1
S. Lisbon 3-0
7%
7/133/1
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1125/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
5%
28/170/1
Estrela Amadora 1-0
4%
28/19/1
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
14/1125/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
22/1125/1
Draw 0-0
4%
20/116/5
S. Lisbon 4-0
4%
11/1100/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
2%
50/128/1
S. Lisbon 4-2
2%
33/1100/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
4/925/1
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
17/101/1000
Home 1st Goal
42%
5/217/4
Away 1st Goal
56%
2/74/9
No 1st Goal
2%
20/116/5
BTTS - Yes
58%
10/1110/1
BTTS - No
42%
10/111/33
BTTS - Home Win
10%
18/170/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/111/1
BTTS - Away Win
32%
8/533/1
Home/draw
37%
11/411/1
Away/draw
83%
1/201/1000
Home/away
80%
1/81/40
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/87/2
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5/12/11
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
1/170/1
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
8/111/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
12/51/50
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
3/101/50
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
5/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/81/50
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/501/5
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/116/5
Home DNB
31%
9/170/1
Away DNB
77%
1/161/1000
Estrela Amadora win to nil
7%
20/1-
S. Lisbon win to nil
30%
6/5-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
5%
18/125/1
Estrela Amadora / S. Lisbon
5%
16/125/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
4%
20/128/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
4%
22/18/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
20%
3/14/5
Draw / Draw
9%
17/210/3
S. Lisbon / Estrela Amadora
2%
50/155/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
48%
8/1117/4
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
18/128/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Estrela Amadora have conceded 39 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 68 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 27 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 25 games against teams below them in the league and kept 13 clean sheets out of 25 games. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 70 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 14 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 14 away games, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
-
-
3
Benfica2920904369 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga2815762852 
d
 
3-3A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
5
Famalicao2913881147 
May 10
w
 
2-3A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
7
Estoril2910712137 
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
May 3
w
 
1-4F
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
10
Alverca299812-1535 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
May 10
12
Arouca299515-2132 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-2A
w
 
1-2A
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Nacional296716-1025 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-5A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela284915-2521 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
-
w
 
0-3F
18
AVS291919-4312 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
S. Lisbon have beaten Estrela Amadora in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
S. Lisbon have not lost to Estrela Amadora in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2024
Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
1
5
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
SCL
2
League games at S. Lisbon since 2023
S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
12
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
SCL
3
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Estrela Amadora 14th S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Estrela Amadora have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
S. Lisbon have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
2.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.1
2.2
Attack rating
SCL
52%
better
view stats
Games scored16
27
Failed to score12
0
Scored first7
21
Goals scored33
72
Avg. goals scored1.2
2.7
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
20
Avg. XG for1.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
SCL
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
14
Clean sheets7
13
Conceded first17
6
Goals conceded47
17
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.7
KickOff rating
+45%

Estrela Amadora v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29555
R RibeiroA MarcusA MarcusB Schappo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK29
3
-
M. Scholze DEF7
1
-
S Lekovic DEF5
-
B Schappo DEF24
5
-
B Langa DEF6
-
E. Doué MID111
4
-
K Jansson MID8
2
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID161
4
-
A Marcus FWD2655
1
1
R Pinho FWD2541
3
-
I Stoica FWD2822
4
-
Subs
D. Allen Grilo GLK
-
J Encada DEF222
5
-
L Patrick DEF27
3
1
O. Galdino Fernandes DEF191
3
-
T. Moustier MID8
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID14
2
-
J Cabral FWD225
5
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD192
-
S Hooijdonk FWD61
1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27241110
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK26
2
-
I Fresneda DEF231
6
-
E Quaresma DEF1112
1
-
Z Debast DEF13
2
-
M Vilches DEF2343
9
1
M Hjulmand MID2524
8
-
D Bragança  MID85
-
G Catamo  MID2363
1
-
F Trincão MID28611
1
-
P Gonçalves MID21136
5
-
L Suárez FWD26244
5
-
Subs
J Virgínia GLK2
-
G Vagiannidis DEF183
4
-
O Diomande DEF13
4
-
R Mangas DEF1321
3
-
H Morita MID253
3
-
G. Quenda MID1414
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
S. Faye FWD5
-
R. Nel FWD411
-