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Vitoria Guimaraes v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Arouca, led by manager Vasco César Freire De Seabra, visit Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and his Vitoria Guimaraes side at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Saturday evening in the Liga NOS. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.

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Vitoria Guimaraes's next match is v Nacional at 15:30 on Sunday 23rd August
Arouca's next match is v Porto at 20:30 on Sunday 23rd August
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between V. Guimaraes and Arouca was on Saturday 8th August 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
August 8th 2026
V. Guimaraes 0
1 Arouca
 
53' I. Martínez Gonzálvez
 
GUI
ARO
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
14
1
Corners
5
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
9
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/1
 
V. GuimaraesArouca
 
M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães (T. Strata 69')
O. Rivas Viondi
João Mendes
G. Teixeira Nogueira (M. Mitrovic 78')
B. Mambuene Mukendi
O. Camara (T. Gomes Arcanjo 70')
G. da Silva Cunha (L. Doucet 90')
O. Zych
F. Amorim Silva
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
A. Ndoye (J. Costa Nogueira 78')
I. De Arruabarrena Fernández
J. Fontán Mondragón
(P. Carvalho Santos 70') E. van Ee
T. Fukui
(P. Gozalbez Gilabert 70') H. Lee
N. Djouahra
(D. Pinheiro Monteiro 73') J. Sánchez de Felipe
T. Sousa Esgaio
(O. Lebedenko 65') M. Flores Lozano
(D. Nandín Berrutti 65') football iconI. Martínez Gonzálvez
A. Trezza Hernández

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither V. Guimaraes or Arouca are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
51%
43/5010/11
Draw
24%
12/513/5
3%
Arouca
25%
3/1
5%
29/10
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
13/211/2
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
15/213/2
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
17/2
5%
7/1
Arouca 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Arouca 2-1
6%
12/110/1
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/19/1
5%
V. Guimaraes 3-1
6%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
16/112/1
Arouca 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
25/120/1
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Arouca 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
V. Guimaraes 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/205/6
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/68/13
2%
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5
1%
6/4
No 1st Goal
3%
9/19/1
5%
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4
3%
4/5
BTTS - No
45%
1/1
3%
19/20
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/114/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/317/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/2
7%
6/1
Home/draw
75%
2/9
2%
1/4
Away/draw
49%
5/6
4%
17/20
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/42/7
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2/1
4%
11/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11
2%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/15/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/81/10
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
5%
Home DNB
68%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Away DNB
41%
7/4
9%
9/5
V. Guimaraes win to nil
27%
12/5-
Arouca win to nil
12%
6/1
8%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
27%
21/10
3%
15/8
V. Guimaraes / Arouca
3%
33/125/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Arouca
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
5%
Arouca / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/118/1
Arouca / Arouca
13%
11/25/1
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arouca220056 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
-
-
2
Porto220046 
Nov 8
Apr 4
Jan 31
Aug 23
3
Maratimo220026 
Oct 25
Mar 14
Aug 29
Feb 7
4
Benfica211074 
Mar 7
Oct 11
Jan 10
May 16
5
Nacional211024 
Aug 23
Jan 31
Nov 1
Mar 21
6
S. Lisbon211014 
Jan 24
l
 
3-2A
Feb 28
Sep 20
7
Santa Clara211014 
May 2
Dec 20
Sep 13
Feb 21
8
Gil Vicente110013 
Mar 21
Nov 1
May 9
Dec 27
9
Estrela Amadora202002 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Oct 11
Mar 7
10
Braga101001 
Feb 7
Aug 31
Apr 18
Dec 6
11
Famalicao2011-11 
May 16
Jan 10
Apr 4
Nov 8
12
Academico Viseu2011-11 
Feb 21
Sep 13
Apr 25
Dec 13
13
Alverca2011-21 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Mar 14
Oct 25
14
Estoril2011-21 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Feb 14
Sep 6
15
Moreirense2011-41 
Sep 20
Feb 28
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
16
V. Guimaraes2002-20 
-
-
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Rio Ave2002-30 
Dec 27
May 9
Nov 29
Apr 11
18
Casa Pia2002-80 
Sep 6
Feb 14
Dec 20
May 2
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 16TH
league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Arouca 1ST
league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
GUI
2
D
3
ARO
2
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
10
13
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
GUI
3
D
3
ARO
1
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Arouca on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, T. Carvalho Margarido's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Arouca makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 16th Arouca 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
0%
better
GUI
ARO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
GUI
ARO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

V. Guimaraes v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
O ZychSamuJ. Costa NogueiraT. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Zych GLK2
-
Maga DEF2
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF2
1
-
O Rivas DEF2
1
-
J Mendes DEF2
-
G Nogueira MID2
-
Beni MID2
-
Samu MID21
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD2
1
-
O. Camara FWD2
1
-
A Ndoye FWD21
-
Subs
A. Sidibé
-
M. Mitrovic1
1
-
J. Costa Nogueira21
1
-
T Arcanjo1
-
J. Castillo Reyes
-
T Strata21
-
L Doucet2
-
S. Verdi Oliveira Silva1
-
F. Lagos Dias
-
L Santos
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2232
I ArruabarrenaBarberoN Djouahra D Monteiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Arruabarrena GLK2
1
-
T Esgaio DEF2
-
J Sánchez DEF2
1
-
J Fontán DEF21
-
M. Flores Lozano DEF2
-
T Fukui MID2
-
E. van Ee MID2
-
H. Lee MID21
1
-
A Trezza FWD2
-
N Djouahra  FWD23
-
Barbero FWD22
1
-
Subs
D Monteiro1
1
1
B Popovic
-
F Mayulu
-
P Gozálbez2
-
D Nandin21
1
-
B Mansilla1
-
M. da Silva Duarte
-
P Santos2
-
O Lebedenko2
1
-
M. Climent Plá
-
J. Vinarčík
-