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Vitoria Guimaraes v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Saturday night at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, and it’s a Liga NOS showdown between Vitoria Guimaraes and Arouca. Massimo Pavanel and Vasco Seabra will be doing all they can to ensure victory. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

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Vitoria Guimaraes's next match is v Estoril at 15:30 on Sunday 26th January
Arouca's next match is v Nacional at 15:30 on Saturday 1st February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between V. Guimaraes and Arouca was on Saturday 18th January 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 18th 2025
V. Guimaraes 2
2 Arouca
 
D. Ndembo-Michel 20'56' T. Sousa Esgaio
N. Valente Santos 40'72' C. Camará Lamba
 
GUI
ARO
Shots On
7
6
Shots Off
5
7
Corners
9
5
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
13
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
V. GuimaraesArouca
 
B. Semedo Varela
M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães
T. Borevković
O. Rivas Viondi
T. Maia da Silva (J. Mendes Neto Saraiva 66')
T. Pereira Santos Händel
F. Amorim Silva (T. Gomes Arcanjo 81')
J. Natário Ferreira (M. Sousa Cruz 81')
N. Valente Santosfootball icon (N. Castro Oliveira 76')
K. Andrade Lima
D. Ndembo-Michelfootball icon
N. Mantl
W. Moreira da Costa
J. Fontán Mondragón
football iconC. Camará Lamba
football iconT. Sousa Esgaio
(T. Fukui 58') P. Carvalho Santos
(H. Pereira Araújo 90') P. Gozalbez Gilabert
D. Martins Simão
(M. Puche García 75') A. Trezza Hernández
(D. Nandín Berrutti 58') G. Yalçın
(M. Sylla 46') D. Remeseiro Salgueiro

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that V. Guimaraes and Arouca will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
56%
7/10
13%
7/10
5%
Draw
22%
5/2
13%
13/5
8%
Arouca
21%
17/4
19%
17/4
5%
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
15/27/1
7%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
5/19/2
8%
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
13/2
15%
6/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0
6%
12/1
30%
10/1
10%
Arouca 2-1
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Arouca 1-0
6%
11/1
20%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw 0-0
5%
15/2
11%
13/2
12%
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
28/122/1
10%
Arouca 2-0
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
10%
V. Guimaraes 4-1
3%
33/1
31%
22/1
10%
V. Guimaraes 4-0
3%
28/1
38%
18/1
12%
Arouca 3-1
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
11/10
5%
11/10
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
7/10
6%
4/6
7%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/9
6%
1/2
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/5
11%
21/10
No 1st Goal
3%
15/2
11%
15/2
BTTS - Yes
56%
1/1
2%
21/20
3%
BTTS - No
44%
3/4
3%
7/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
10/3
15%
29/10
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
17%
4/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/1
15%
17/2
Home/draw
79%
1/6
5%
2/13
1%
Away/draw
44%
11/10
16%
11/10
7%
Home/away
78%
2/7
6%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4/11
5%
4/11
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
2/1
12%
19/10
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
11/4
7%
27/10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/4
3%
1/4
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
7/1
14%
6/1
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/12
2%
1/12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
18/1
27%
14/1
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/40
1%
1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/14
1%
1/14
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
8/1
5%
7/1
11%
Home DNB
72%
1/4
6%
1/4
2%
Away DNB
37%
11/4
17%
13/5
8%
V. Guimaraes win to nil
29%
13/8
16%
-
Arouca win to nil
10%
7/1
20%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
30%
7/4
16%
8/5
6%
V. Guimaraes / Arouca
2%
40/133/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
Draw / Arouca
8%
9/1
17%
17/2
5%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Arouca / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/118/1
Arouca / Arouca
10%
15/2
23%
7/1
Arouca / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Arouca are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 15 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 27 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1814223744 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
2
Benfica1813233141 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
3
Porto1813142740 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga1810441234 
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
5
Santa Clara181017131 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
6
Casa Pia18765027 
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
May 4
l
 
3-1A
7
V. Guimaraes H18684426 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
8
Moreirense19658-423 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
9
Gil Vicente18576-522 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
May 11
10
Estoril18567-921 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
11
Famalicao18486-420 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
12
Rio Ave18558-1320 
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
13
Nacional18549-819 
d
 
2-2A
May 4
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
14
Arouca Away195410-1419 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
15
Estrela Amadora184410-1416 
Mar 16
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
16
Sporting Farense18369-1215 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
17
AVS18297-1315 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
18
Boavista182610-1612 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 9
May 17
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
V. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
V. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 2S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Sporting Farense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Benfica
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Arouca
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Arouca
HV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
AV. Guimaraes1 - 2Rio Ave
Arouca 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boavista1 - 3Arouca
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao0 - 0Arouca
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Moreirense1 - 0Arouca
Chaves1 - 5Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Portimonense1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca3 - 1Boavista
HArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca1 - 0Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 0Famalicao
HArouca1 - 2Braga
AArouca1 - 4Estoril
HArouca1 - 1AVS
AArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca1 - 0Sporting Farense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca0 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
AArouca1 - 3Moreirense
HArouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
V. Guimaraes have beaten Arouca in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
GUI
2
D
1
ARO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
0 - 2Arouca
1 - 3Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
GUI
3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against Arouca on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, Massimo Pavanel's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Arouca makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 7th Arouca 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Arouca have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285216/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
28%
better
GUI
ARO
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score4
6
Scored first8
8
Goals scored26
13
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
6%
better
GUI
ARO
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded22
28
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%

V. Guimaraes v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18344
B VarelaT SilvaT SilvaT Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK18
3
-
Z Carlos DEF7
-
O Rivas DEF81
3
-
T Borevkovic DEF12
2
-
Maga DEF2
-
Samu MID1811
1
-
T Händel  MID171
3
-
T Silva MID1634
3
1
K César FWD1723
4
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD32
-
N Santos FWD1831
2
-
Subs
Charles GLK
-
M Villanueva DEF9
4
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-
J Mendes MID152
1
-
T Arcanjo MID132
3
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID
-
N Oliveira FWD1533
3
-
Chuchu FWD1221
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19516
N MantlJasonC LambaJ Fontán
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK19
4
-
T Esgaio DEF191
2
-
C Lamba DEF1311
3
-
J Fontán DEF16
6
-
Weverson DEF12
4
-
B Pinto MID171
6
-
P Santos MID16
2
-
A Trezza MID1921
3
-
P Gozálbez MID11
1
-
Jason MID1851
4
-
G Yalcin FWD1131
2
1
Subs
J Valido GLK
-
B Popovic DEF9
-
A Pinto DEF4
-
T Fukui MID161
2
-
M Loum MID11
3
-
M Sylla MID191
3
-
D Nandin FWD2
1
-
H Araújo FWD122
1
-
M Puche FWD10
-