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FC Porto v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 3rd May, 01:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Custódio André Gune will be hoping for a precious away win in the Liga NOS on Sunday morning, as he takes his Alverca side to the Estádio do Dragão to visit FC Porto and Francesco Farioli. Liga NOS stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
65%
--
Draw
21%
--
Alverca
14%
--
Porto 1-0
13%
--
Porto 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Porto 2-1
10%
--
Porto 3-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Porto 3-1
6%
--
Alverca 1-0
5%
--
Alverca 2-1
4%
--
Porto 4-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Porto 4-1
3%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Alverca 2-0
2%
--
Porto 5-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Home 1st Goal
59%
--
Away 1st Goal
37%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
7%
--
Home/draw
86%
--
Away/draw
35%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
79%
--
Away DNB
29%
--
Porto win to nil
39%
--
Alverca win to nil
8%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten at home after 15 games and have kept 10 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 25, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 19 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 61 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 15 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Alverca are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 35 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Alverca have conceded 35 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3025414779 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
May 3
2
Benfica3021904472 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
3
S. Lisbon2922525571 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga2915862853 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
5
Famalicao3013981148 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 17
6
Gil Vicente30121081346 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
7
V. Guimaraes3011613-739 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
8
Estoril2910712137 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
May 10
l
 
4-1A
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
10
Alverca309813-1635 
May 3
w
 
0-3F
-
-
11
Arouca3010515-2035 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
12
Rio Ave3081012-1734 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
13
Santa Clara307815-1129 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
Nacional307716-928 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
15
Estrela Amadora3061014-1628 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
16
Casa Pia2951113-2426 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela294916-2721 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
18
AVS3011019-4313 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Alverca 10TH
15 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 15
Conceded
14 / 15
Clean sheets
1 / 15
Failed to score
4 / 15
W
3
Draw
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday morning.

Porto 1st Alverca 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Alverca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
2
0.8
Attack rating
41%
better
PTO
view stats
Games scored28
22
Failed to score1
8
Scored first25
10
Goals scored59
32
Avg. goals scored2
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
60%
better
PTO
view stats
Games conceded11
24
Clean sheets18
6
Conceded first3
19
Goals conceded14
48
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
6
Conversion rate against8%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+60%

Porto v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301378
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaV. FroholdtJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK30
3
-
V. Froholdt MID3067
2
-
J Bednarek DEF291
8
-
G Veiga MID2737
4
-
A Varela MID272
7
-
B Sainz FWD2752
5
-
Pepê FWD2734
1
-
A Baio DEF2517
6
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2581
5
1
D Gül FWD2521
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2411
-
J Kiwior DEF231
2
-
P Rosario MID2021
6
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
F Moura DEF1922
3
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF1811
3
1
Zaidu  DEF1611
2
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28857
K NavesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF2913
5
-
M Milovanovic FWD2982
3
-
K Naves DEF281
6
1
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF27
4
1
S Gómez DEF26
1
-
Lincoln MID2625
5
-
A Gomes GLK25
3
-
D. Gui MID2411
3
-
L Figueiredo FWD2352
2
-
C. Nuozzi FWD231
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF19
3
-
A Filho MID192
3
-
I. James DEF172
3
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
Chiquinho FWD1723
3
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF11
1
-
S Baseya DEF9
1
-
M Mendes GLK5
1
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
S Lima FWD1
-