Alverca's team badge Estrela Amadora's team badge

Alverca v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

Estrela Amadora pay Liga NOS counterparts Alverca a visit on Saturday night, as João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu leads his men into an away clash with Custódio André Gune & co. at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Alverca's next match is v Tondela at 20:45 on Friday 13th February
Estrela Amadora's next match is v V. Guimaraes at 18:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Alverca and Estrela Amadora was on Saturday 31st January 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 31st 2026
Alverca 1
1 Estrela Amadora
 
F. Garcia Andrade 87'81' S. van Hooijdonk
 
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
1
1
Corners
9
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
17
17
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
AlvercaEstrela Amadora
 
A. Nogueira Gomes
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
K. Marques Naves
S. Gómez Solà
M. Milovanović (M. Clairicia 69')
Chiquinho (C. Nuozzi 69')
N. Meupiyou Menadjou (D. Gui 84')
F. Chissumba Rodrigues
L. Oliveira dos Santos
S. Abdulai (V. Silva Moreira 17')
L. Figueiredo dos Santos (F. Garcia Andrade 84')
R. Ribeiro
B. Schappo
J. Silva Encada
L. Wiedthauper
K. Höög-Jansson
(E. Doué 53') T. Moustier
(S. van Hooijdonk 76') L. Antonetti
(R. Oliveira Botelho 76') R. Pereira de Pinho
(Y. Kalley 62') I. Stoica
O. Galdino Fernandes
P. Valente Moreira

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Alverca and Estrela Amadora will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Alverca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
45%
24/257/1
Draw
26%
9/41/8
Estrela Amadora
30%
27/1014/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/21/8
Alverca 1-0
10%
11/229/10
Alverca 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Estrela Amadora 1-0
8%
17/24/11
Alverca 2-0
8%
8/114/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
12/114/1
Draw 0-0
7%
15/213/20
Draw 2-2
5%
16/155/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
5%
18/18/1
Alverca 3-1
5%
16/155/1
Alverca 3-0
4%
16/145/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
33/1125/1
Alverca 3-2
3%
28/1200/1
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
40/1250/1
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
40/155/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
23/209/2
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/61/8
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/1119/10
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/55/1
No 1st Goal
4%
15/213/20
BTTS - Yes
54%
19/2027/10
BTTS - No
46%
4/51/4
BTTS - Home Win
21%
15/413/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/41/9
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7/112/1
Home/draw
70%
2/71/80
Away/draw
55%
4/51/14
Home/away
74%
1/319/4
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
4/1115/8
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
2/14/11
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3/133/1
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/91/200
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
8/190/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/141/500
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/1423/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/213/20
Home DNB
63%
4/97/20
Away DNB
47%
13/819/10
Alverca win to nil
24%
9/4-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
15%
5/1-
Alverca / Alverca
26%
9/412/1
Alverca / Estrela Amadora
2%
33/155/1
Alverca / Draw
6%
14/133/1
Draw / Alverca
17%
4/16/4
Draw / Estrela Amadora
10%
7/118/5
Draw / Draw
18%
15/47/5
Estrela Amadora / Alverca
3%
25/145/1
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
12%
5/120/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/133/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 23 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Alverca have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 19 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Estrela Amadora have conceded 32 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
l
 
0-3A
May 3
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica2114703249 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2111642639 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
d
 
3-3A
May 17
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao21957732 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
May 10
w
 
2-3A
7
Estoril21867830 
May 10
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
8
Moreirense21939-230 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
l
 
0-2A
Feb 14
10
Alverca217311-1524 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
-
-
12
Arouca216510-2023 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
13
Nacional215610-321 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
w
 
3-5A
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela213513-2114 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 13
Feb 20
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS210516-395 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 28
Win / draw / win form
Alverca 10TH
10 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
7 / 10
Conceded
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Failed to score
3 / 10
Won
5
D
1
Lost
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca2 - 1Moreirense
Alverca1 - 0Famalicao
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 19
Conceded
14 / 19
Clean sheets
5 / 19
Failed to score
6 / 19
Won
7
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Estrela Amadora 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
HEstrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 3Porto
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Estoril
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Estoril
Goal Statistics
Alverca 10th Estrela Amadora 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Alverca will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
10 home / away league games
-8
Alverca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
Estrela Amadora have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
11%
better
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score6
9
Scored first7
3
Goals scored19
23
Avg. goals scored1
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first12
13
Goals conceded33
36
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+8%

Alverca v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20535
K NavesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gomes GLK19
3
-
K Naves DEF20
4
1
S Gómez DEF17
1
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF19
3
-
Zoubdi MID2112
4
-
Lincoln MID1823
5
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
F. Chissumba Rodrigues MID18
3
-
Chiquinho FWD81
3
-
M Milovanovic FWD2051
3
-
L Figueiredo FWD1421
2
-
Subs
M Mendes GLK2
1
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF
-
I. James DEF91
2
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF9
1
-
V. Silva Moreira MID4
1
-
D. Gui MID1811
3
-
M. Clairicia FWD3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD191
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD21
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21226
R RibeiroP. Valente MoreiraJ EncadaP. Valente Moreira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK21
3
-
J Encada DEF172
3
-
B Schappo DEF19
4
-
L Patrick DEF21
2
-
O. Galdino Fernandes DEF121
3
-
K Jansson MID1
1
-
L Antonetti MID7
-
T. Moustier MID3
-
P. Valente Moreira MID1921
5
1
I Stoica MID2022
4
-
R Pinho FWD1711
2
-
Subs
D. Allen Grilo GLK
-
G. Miranda Rodrigues DEF
-
Y Kalley DEF2
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID11
3
-
P. Niang Fuhrer MID
-
E. Doué MID3
1
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID11
1
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD162
-
S Hooijdonk FWD21
-