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Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 3rd May, 01:00 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

It's an away trip for Luís Miguel Correia Pinto's Vitoria Guimaraes side on Sunday morning, as they travel to the Estádio José Alvalade for a Liga NOS clash with Rui Manuel Gomes Borges's Sporting Lisbon. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
71%
--
Draw
18%
--
V. Guimaraes
11%
--
S. Lisbon 2-0
12%
--
S. Lisbon 1-0
11%
--
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
--
S. Lisbon 3-0
9%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
--
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
--
S. Lisbon 4-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
3%
--
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
--
S. Lisbon 5-0
2%
--
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Home 1st Goal
61%
--
Away 1st Goal
36%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
48%
--
BTTS - No
52%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
13%
--
BTTS - Away Win
6%
--
Home/draw
89%
--
Away/draw
29%
--
Home/away
82%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
83%
--
Away DNB
24%
--
S. Lisbon win to nil
42%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
6%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 25 games against teams below them in the league and kept 14 clean sheets out of 25 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 74 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 14 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 41 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

V. Guimaraes are in 7th position in the Liga NOS on 39 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 22 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3025414779 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Benfica3021904472 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
3
S. Lisbon2922525571 
-
-
l
 
1-4A
May 3
4
Braga2915862853 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
5
Famalicao3013981148 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Gil Vicente30121081346 
May 17
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
7
V. Guimaraes3011613-739 
May 3
w
 
1-4F
-
-
8
Estoril2910712137 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
10
Alverca309813-1635 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
11
Arouca3010515-2035 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
12
Rio Ave3081012-1734 
w
 
4-0F
May 10
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
13
Santa Clara307815-1129 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
14
Nacional307716-928 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
w
 
2-1F
May 17
15
Estrela Amadora3061014-1628 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia2951113-2426 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela294916-2721 
-
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS3011019-4313 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon1 - 2Benfica
S. Lisbon4 - 2Santa Clara
S. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
S. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Benfica
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon4 - 2Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Alverca
AS. Lisbon2 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
AVS1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Benfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Braga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
S. Lisbon have beaten V. Guimaraes in 8 consecutive home league meetings
10
S. Lisbon have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 10 consecutive home league meetings
5
S. Lisbon have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive home league meetings with V. Guimaraes
League games at S. Lisbon since 2015
S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
22
3
Games: Scored
10 / 10
3 / 10
Clean sheets
7 / 10
0 / 10
SCL
9
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
S. Lisbon5 - 1
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
15
29
Games: Scored
7 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
4 / 11
SCL
5
D
4
GUI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
1 - 4S. Lisbon
Draw4 - 4Draw
V. Guimaraes3 - 2
0 - 2S. Lisbon
1 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 4S. Lisbon
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 5S. Lisbon
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their meeting with Vitoria Guimaraes, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 47 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

S. Lisbon 3rd V. Guimaraes 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
S. Lisbon have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-16
V. Guimaraes have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
2.3
0.8
Attack rating
46%
better
SCL
GUI
view stats
Games scored28
20
Failed to score0
10
Scored first22
13
Goals scored73
36
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for2.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
43%
better
SCL
GUI
view stats
Games conceded14
21
Clean sheets14
9
Conceded first6
15
Goals conceded17
43
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+43%

S. Lisbon v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28241110
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Trincão MID29611
1
-
R Silva GLK27
3
-
L Suárez FWD27244
5
-
G Inácio DEF2613
4
1
H Morita MID2613
3
-
M Hjulmand MID2624
9
-
M Vilches DEF2443
9
1
G Catamo  FWD2463
1
-
I Fresneda DEF231
6
-
P Gonçalves FWD22136
5
-
G Vagiannidis DEF193
4
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID181
3
-
A Santos FWD182
-
G. Quenda FWD1514
-
O Diomande DEF14
4
-
Z Debast DEF141
2
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
R Mangas DEF1321
3
-
E Quaresma DEF1212
1
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
M Reis DEF92
2
D Bragança  MID95
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
N Santos DEF21
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27647
J MendesSamuG NogueiraJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mendes DEF2711
7
-
Beni MID261
6
-
O. Camara FWD2652
2
-
R Abascal DEF2512
4
-
Samu MID2563
3
-
T Arcanjo FWD251
1
2
N Oliveira FWD253
3
1
A Ndoye FWD2221
2
-
Maga DEF20
5
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID2011
4
-
G Nogueira MID194
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1951
2
-
T Strata DEF181
2
-
M. Mitrovic MID182
2
-
Charles GLK15
1
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
O Rivas DEF151
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF14
1
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF101
3
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-