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Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th May, 18:00 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon are in Liga NOS action on Saturday evening, as Piero Braglia attempts to outsmart Massimo Pavanel and his Vitoria Guimaraes side at the Estádio José Alvalade. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

After looking at the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this Liga NOS match, a bet on win / draw / win for S. Lisbon to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they'll be too strong for V. Guimaraes, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It may not all be plain sailing, but S. Lisbon claiming victory is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
60%
27/100
5%
-
Draw
22%
9/2
10%
-
V. Guimaraes
18%
11/1
33%
-
S. Lisbon 1-0
11%
13/2-
S. Lisbon 2-0
10%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
9/1
5%
-
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
8/1-
S. Lisbon 3-0
7%
13/2
6%
-
S. Lisbon 3-1
6%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
5%
25/1
24%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
5%
33/1
48%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
22/1
10%
-
S. Lisbon 4-0
3%
11/1
8%
-
S. Lisbon 4-1
3%
16/1
11%
-
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
28/1-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
3%
50/1
24%
-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
2%
80/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
3/5
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
13/10
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/11
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
4/1
11%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
21/20-
BTTS - No
47%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
2/1
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
20/1
24%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/20
2%
-
Away/draw
40%
11/4
15%
-
Home/away
78%
1/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/11
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
7/2
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
6/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1/2
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/3
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
-
Home DNB
75%
1/16
4%
-
Away DNB
33%
9/1
43%
-
S. Lisbon win to nil
33%
1/1
5%
-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
9%
18/1
27%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
47%
8/11
9%
-
S. Lisbon / V. Guimaraes
2%
50/1
24%
-
S. Lisbon / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Draw / S. Lisbon
22%
11/4
6%
-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/1
35%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
13%
-
V. Guimaraes / S. Lisbon
4%
18/1
10%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
4%
20/1
24%
-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 7 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 86 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 16 games at home winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 38 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

V. Guimaraes are in 5th position in the Liga NOS on 54 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Home3324725979 
-
-
d
 
4-4A
May 17
2
Benfica3325445679 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
3
Porto3321573268 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga3319862565 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-4A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
5
V. Guimaraes A33141271254 
May 17
d
 
4-4F
-
-
6
Santa Clara3316611354 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
Casa Pia3312912-445 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
8
Famalicao33111111444 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Estoril33111012-943 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Moreirense3391014-1137 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Rio Ave3391014-1637 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
12
Arouca3381114-1735 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
13
Nacional339717-1534 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
14
Gil Vicente338916-1333 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Estrela Amadora337818-2229 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
16
Sporting Farense336918-2027 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
17
AVS3351216-3227 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista336621-3224 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-5F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
10
S. Lisbon have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
6
V. Guimaraes have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
S. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
S. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
S. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
S. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 0Chaves
S. Lisbon3 - 0Portimonense
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Boavista
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
AS. Lisbon3 - 1Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
AS. Lisbon2 - 2AVS
HS. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 4V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Braga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AVS1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
HV. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Boavista
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Estoril
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
HV. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Sporting Farense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
S. Lisbon have beaten V. Guimaraes in 7 consecutive home league meetings
9
S. Lisbon have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 9 consecutive home league meetings
4
S. Lisbon have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with V. Guimaraes
League games at S. Lisbon since 2015
S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
20
3
Games: Scored
9 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
0 / 9
SCL
8
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
S. Lisbon5 - 1
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
14
25
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
SCL
4
D
4
GUI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
Draw4 - 4Draw
V. Guimaraes3 - 2
0 - 2S. Lisbon
1 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 4S. Lisbon
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 5S. Lisbon
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is to be admired, Piero Braglia's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Vitoria Guimaraes makes sense in this context.

S. Lisbon 1st V. Guimaraes 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285344/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
2
1
Attack rating
38%
better
SCL
GUI
view stats
Games scored31
25
Failed to score2
8
Scored first28
16
Goals scored86
47
Avg. goals scored2.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for2.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
16%
better
SCL
GUI
view stats
Games conceded19
20
Clean sheets14
13
Conceded first4
15
Goals conceded27
35
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against0.7
1
KickOff rating
+16%

S. Lisbon v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33381410
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoM Hjulmand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Quenda FWD3324
3
-
F Trincão FWD33914
1
-
V Gyökeres FWD32387
3
-
O Diomande DEF302
6
2
Z Debast DEF303
2
-
M Reis DEF292
5
1
G Catamo  FWD2952
2
-
M Hjulmand MID2822
9
1
G Inácio DEF2732
6
-
M Vilches MID2733
8
1
C Harder FWD2755
1
H Morita MID2223
1
-
E Quaresma DEF191
2
-
D Bragança  MID1834
3
-
I Fresneda DEF173
2
-
R Silva GLK16
2
-
J Juste DEF13
3
-
P Gonçalves FWD1344
3
-
F Israel GLK11
1
-
R Esgaio DEF9
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID91
-
N Santos MID7
-
Biel  FWD3
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
337410
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaN SantosJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK33
4
-
T Händel  MID3221
5
-
N Santos MID3234
5
-
J Mendes DEF312
10
-
J Mendes MID3142
3
-
Samu MID3121
3
-
N Oliveira FWD3034
4
-
T Silva MID2954
5
1
T Arcanjo MID2752
7
-
T Borevkovic DEF26
6
-
Chuchu FWD2432
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD207
4
-
M Villanueva DEF18
7
-
Maga DEF172
2
-
V. Félix FWD15
2
-
B Gaspar DEF12
2
-
F Relvas DEF11
2
-
O Rivas DEF101
4
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD92
-
U Embaló FWD721
-
Hevertton DEF6
-
Beni MID6
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-