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Sporting Lisbon v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

CD Nacional are on the road on Sunday evening, as manager Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido takes his team to visit Sporting Lisbon and Rui Manuel Gomes Borges at the Estádio José Alvalade in the Liga NOS. Below you'll find unique stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Famalicao at 20:30 on Sunday 15th February
CD Nacional's next match is v Porto at 15:30 on Sunday 15th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between S. Lisbon and Nacional was on Sunday 1st February 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 1st 2026
S. Lisbon 2
1 Nacional
 
P. Pereira Gonçalves 72'76' A. Núñez Duarte
L. Suárez Charris 90'
 
SCL
NAC
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
6
1
Corners
11
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
12
15
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
S. LisbonNacional
 
R. Dantas da Silva
M. Araújo Vilches
H. Morita
G. Cipriano Catamo (A. de Almeida Santos 80')
P. Pereira Gonçalvesfootball icon (G. Kochorashvili 80')
I. Fresneda Corraliza
O. Diomande
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões (F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão 64')
L. Lira dos Santos (S. Faye 64')
L. Suárez Charrisfootball icon
K. Pereira Azarias
J. Mendes Gomes
football iconA. Núñez Duarte
Matheus Dias
(L. Santos João 90') J. Ramírez Díaz
(W. Quembo 65') P. Pereira da Silva
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
J. Lima Cardoso
(C. Abidi 80') J. Organista da Silva
(A. Carreira Sousa 90') I. Liziero Pereira
(D. de Melo Araujo Junior 80') G. Fonseca de Souza

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

A Liga NOS home win for Rui Manuel Gomes Borges's S. Lisbon side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for the opposition. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A S. Lisbon win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
76%
7/501/1000
Draw
16%
11/225/1
Nacional
9%
14/1150/1
S. Lisbon 2-0
13%
6/119/10
S. Lisbon 1-0
11%
17/27/5
S. Lisbon 3-0
11%
13/25/1
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
9/112/5
Draw 1-1
7%
12/110/21
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
10/114/1
S. Lisbon 4-0
6%
9/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
20/12/1
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
14/160/1
Draw 2-2
3%
22/125/1
S. Lisbon 5-0
3%
16/140/1
Nacional 1-0
3%
33/112/1
Nacional 2-1
3%
40/112/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
25/170/1
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
22/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
2/53/1
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
15/82/9
Home 1st Goal
63%
1/41/2
Away 1st Goal
34%
11/47/1
No 1st Goal
3%
20/12/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
1/19/2
BTTS - No
55%
3/41/8
BTTS - Home Win
30%
13/82/1
BTTS - Draw
11%
7/14/9
BTTS - Away Win
4%
22/111/1
Home/draw
91%
1/331/150
Away/draw
24%
4/12/13
Home/away
84%
1/93/1
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/91/2
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
11/229/20
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
1/122/1
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
8/111/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
9/470/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/31/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
5/190/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/81/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/501/3
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/121/10
Home DNB
87%
1/251/8
Away DNB
20%
12/19/2
S. Lisbon win to nil
46%
10/11-
Nacional win to nil
4%
22/1-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
52%
4/719/4
S. Lisbon / Nacional
2%
50/166/1
S. Lisbon / Draw
4%
20/133/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
19%
3/18/13
Draw / Nacional
3%
28/19/1
Draw / Draw
7%
10/118/5
Nacional / S. Lisbon
5%
16/128/1
Nacional / Nacional
4%
25/128/1
Nacional / Draw
4%
25/140/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 18 games against teams below them in the league and kept 10 clean sheets out of 18 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 9 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 30 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Nacional are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 20 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 18 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
-
-
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
3
Benfica2114703249 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
4
Braga2111642639 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Feb 28
w
 
0-1F
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
May 17
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
6
Famalicao21957732 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
Estoril21867830 
Feb 27
w
 
0-1F
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
8
Moreirense21939-230 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 21
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
May 3
w
 
1-4F
May 17
l
 
2-1A
10
Alverca217311-1524 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
12
Arouca216510-2023 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
13
Nacional215610-321 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
-
-
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
w
 
4-0F
May 10
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
d
 
3-3A
May 10
17
Tondela213513-2114 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
18
AVS210516-395 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
May 3
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
S. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
S. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AVS2 - 2Nacional
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
S. Lisbon have beaten Nacional in 8 consecutive league meetings
11
S. Lisbon have not lost to Nacional in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at S. Lisbon since 2015
S. Lisbon
Nacional
Goals: Scored
12
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
SCL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon5 - 2
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
2
17
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
SCL
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 4S. Lisbon
1 - 6S. Lisbon
0 - 2S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 4S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their clash with CD Nacional, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 38 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

S. Lisbon 2nd Nacional 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Nacional will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
S. Lisbon have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-13
Nacional have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
2.4
0.7
Attack rating
43%
better
SCL
NAC
view stats
Games scored19
15
Failed to score0
4
Scored first15
8
Goals scored52
26
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for2.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
52%
better
SCL
NAC
view stats
Games conceded9
16
Clean sheets10
3
Conceded first4
11
Goals conceded10
28
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
7
Conversion rate against9%
14%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+52%

S. Lisbon v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211977
L SuárezL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK19
1
-
I Fresneda DEF171
5
-
E Quaresma DEF711
1
-
O Diomande DEF8
2
-
M Vilches DEF1742
6
1
H Morita MID181
2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID131
2
-
G Catamo  MID1643
1
-
P Gonçalves MID16105
4
-
L Santos MID4
-
L Suárez FWD21194
5
-
Subs
J Virgínia GLK2
-
G Vagiannidis DEF123
2
-
G Inácio DEF203
3
1
R Mangas DEF1021
3
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
D Bragança  MID21
-
S. Faye FWD2
-
F Trincão FWD2147
-
A Santos FWD182
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211349
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Azarias GLK15
2
-
L Santos DEF2031
9
-
M Dias DEF201
3
1
Z Vitor DEF1941
5
1
A Duarte MID811
1
-
J Silva MID11
-
Liziero  MID214
4
-
J. Mendes Gomes MID1914
2
-
G Veron FWD41
-
Chuchu FWD2113
4
-
P Bóia FWD2122
4
-
Subs
K. Medeiros de Freitas GLK
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF4
1
-
M Baeza MID8
1
-
D Jr MID6
1
-
C. Abidi MID1811
3
-
A Sousa MID81
1
-
Deivison Souza Brito MID3
1
1
Witi FWD181
2
-
L João FWD131
-