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Vitoria Guimaraes v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 01:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes and their boss Luís Miguel Correia Pinto will be hoping for victory against João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and his Casa Pia side on Sunday morning, as the pair go head to head at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques in the Liga NOS. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our expansive database and found the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
58%
--
Draw
24%
--
Casa Pia
18%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
13%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
11%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
7%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
6%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 4-0
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
74%
--
Away DNB
35%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
35%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 26 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 49 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3025414779 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
2
Benfica3122904775 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
3
S. Lisbon2922525571 
l
 
1-4A
May 4
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
4
Braga3016862956 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
5
Famalicao3114981251 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Gil Vicente30121081346 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
7
V. Guimaraes3112613-542 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
8
Moreirense3111614-1139 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
9
Alverca3110813-1538 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
10
Estoril3110714-137 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
11
Arouca3110516-2135 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
12
Rio Ave3181013-1934 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
3-1A
13
Nacional318716-731 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Santa Clara307815-1129 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
15
Estrela Amadora3061014-1628 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
3-5F
l
 
4-0A
16
Casa Pia3051114-2526 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
17
Tondela304917-2921 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 3
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS3011019-4313 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca3 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia0 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia0 - 0Santa Clara
ACasa Pia1 - 3Alverca
HCasa Pia1 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia0 - 4Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia3 - 2Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 0Nacional
HCasa Pia2 - 1Porto
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2022
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
GUI
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 2Casa Pia
0 - 1Casa Pia
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
3 / 4
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Casa Pia on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Casa Pia fans, as should a 8 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

V. Guimaraes 7th Casa Pia 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
V. Guimaraes have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-34
Casa Pia have scored 34% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
GUI
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
GUI
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

V. Guimaraes v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28747
J MendesSamuG NogueiraJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mendes DEF2811
7
-
Beni MID2711
6
-
O. Camara FWD2752
2
-
Samu MID2673
4
-
T Arcanjo FWD261
1
2
N Oliveira FWD263
3
1
R Abascal DEF2512
4
-
A Ndoye FWD2221
2
-
Maga DEF21
5
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID2111
4
-
G Nogueira MID204
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD2052
3
-
T Strata DEF1911
3
-
M. Mitrovic MID182
2
-
Charles GLK16
1
-
O Rivas DEF161
1
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF14
1
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF111
4
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
305813
J LivolantCassianoJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Livolant FWD3038
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF2934
6
-
Cassiano FWD295
5
-
P Sequeira GLK25
3
1
A Geraldes DEF24
6
-
S Pérez MID24
5
-
D Sousa  DEF222
13
-
R Brito MID2221
3
-
J Goulart DEF211
3
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD20
2
-
I Mohamed MID191
4
-
A Conté DEF182
1
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
T Morais FWD18
1
-
J Fonte DEF171
3
-
O Osundina FWD162
1
-
M Sousa MID122
3
-
Claudio FWD111
1
1
D. Bandeira DEF10
5
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
K Nsona  FWD1011
-
K. Prieto Machado MID8
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-