Vitoria Guimaraes's team badge Casa Pia's team badge

Vitoria Guimaraes v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Monday night at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, and it’s a Liga NOS clash between Vitoria Guimaraes and Casa Pia. Luís Miguel Correia Pinto and João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira going all-out to guide their side to victory. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Vitoria Guimaraes's next match is v Nacional at 18:00 on Saturday 16th May
Casa Pia's next match is v Rio Ave at 18:00 on Saturday 16th May
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between V. Guimaraes and Casa Pia was on Monday 11th May 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 11th 2026
V. Guimaraes 0
1 Casa Pia
 
86' G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
 
GUI
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
6
4
Possession
71%
29%
Fouls
11
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
V. GuimaraesCasa Pia
 
G. da Silva Cunha (O. Camara 60')
C. da Silva
O. Rivas Viondi
B. Mambuene Mukendi
F. Amorim Silva (A. Ndoye 81')
R. Abascal Barros
T. Strata
F. Lagos Dias
G. Teixeira Nogueira (M. Costa Guedes 60')
J. Costa Nogueira (T. Gomes Arcanjo 60')
N. Jose Saviolo
P. Sequeira Mejías
D. Bandeira
J. Goulart Silva
(C. Mendes Vicente 69') D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario
J. Freitas Silva Marques
(A. Conté 74') K. Prieto Machado
David Sousa
(J. da Rocha Fonte 90') football iconG. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
P. Silva Rosas
S. Pérez Cardona
(O. Osundina 46') L. Ofori

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
59%
69/100125/1
Draw
24%
13/520/1
Casa Pia
17%
4/11/200
V. Guimaraes 1-0
14%
5/117/4
V. Guimaraes 2-0
12%
13/225/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/213/2
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
15/250/1
Draw 0-0
8%
15/24/11
V. Guimaraes 3-0
7%
12/1100/1
Casa Pia 1-0
7%
11/12/13
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
14/1200/1
Casa Pia 2-1
4%
16/150/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1200/1
V. Guimaraes 4-0
3%
28/1200/1
Casa Pia 2-0
3%
22/110/1
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
33/1250/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
28/1200/1
Casa Pia 3-1
1%
40/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
23/2028/1
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/61/1000
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/717/5
Away 1st Goal
38%
7/45/1
No 1st Goal
6%
15/24/11
BTTS - Yes
44%
1/16/1
BTTS - No
56%
3/41/12
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/340/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/113/2
BTTS - Away Win
7%
10/140/1
Home/draw
83%
1/66/1
Away/draw
41%
21/201/1000
Home/away
76%
2/71/14
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/1119/5
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/12/13
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11/490/1
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/41/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/141/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/1415/8
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/12/5
Home DNB
75%
1/440/1
Away DNB
34%
11/41/1000
V. Guimaraes win to nil
37%
13/8-
Casa Pia win to nil
10%
7/1-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
30%
7/410/1
V. Guimaraes / Casa Pia
2%
40/150/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes
18%
7/213/8
Draw / Casa Pia
8%
9/17/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/16/4
Casa Pia / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/140/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
10%
15/218/1
Casa Pia / Draw
5%
16/128/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 26 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 51 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3327424785 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon3324726279 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica33221104777 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
4
Braga33161072858 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
5
Famalicao33141181253 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Gil Vicente33131191250 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
7
V. Guimaraes3312615-1042 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
8
Moreirense3312615-1242 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
9
Estoril3310914-139 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Alverca3310914-1639 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
11
Arouca3311616-1939 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
12
Santa Clara339915-836 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
13
Rio Ave3381114-2235 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 16
l
 
3-1A
14
Nacional338718-1031 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Estrela Amadora3361116-1829 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
3-5F
l
 
4-0A
16
Casa Pia3361116-2629 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
17
Tondela3361017-2628 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS3331119-4020 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Casa Pia have lost 3 consecutive league games
10
Casa Pia have not won in 10 consecutive league games
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes1 - 5S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente2 - 1Casa Pia
Alverca3 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia0 - 1Tondela
ACasa Pia1 - 2Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia0 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia0 - 0Santa Clara
ACasa Pia1 - 3Alverca
HCasa Pia1 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia0 - 4Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia3 - 2Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 0Nacional
HCasa Pia2 - 1Porto
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2022
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
GUI
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 2Casa Pia
0 - 1Casa Pia
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
3 / 4
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Casa Pia on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Casa Pia fans, as should a 10 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

V. Guimaraes 7th Casa Pia 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
V. Guimaraes have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-32
Casa Pia have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
20%
better
GUI
view stats
Games scored22
17
Failed to score10
15
Scored first14
8
Goals scored39
29
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
15%
better
GUI
view stats
Games conceded22
26
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first16
20
Goals conceded48
56
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%

V. Guimaraes v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29747
J MendesSamuG NogueiraBeni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Charles GLK18
1
-
T Strata DEF2111
3
-
R Abascal DEF2612
5
-
O Rivas DEF181
1
-
F. Lagos Dias DEF1
-
Beni MID2911
7
-
G Nogueira MID224
2
-
J. Costa Nogueira MID151
-
Samu MID2873
4
-
N. Jose Saviolo MID2924
3
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD2252
3
-
Subs
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
Maga DEF21
5
-
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
J Mendes DEF2911
7
-
T Arcanjo MID281
1
2
R. Ferreira Rocha MID1
-
O. Camara FWD2952
2
-
A Ndoye FWD2421
2
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
324413
G LarrazabalG LarrazabalG LarrazabalD Sousa 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK28
3
1
D. Bandeira DEF11
5
-
J Goulart DEF241
4
-
D Sousa  DEF252
13
-
K. Prieto Machado MID10
1
-
L Ofori MID11
1
-
S Pérez MID26
5
-
P. Silva Rosas MID8
3
-
G Larrazabal FWD3244
6
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD23
2
-
J Marques FWD1211
1
-
Subs
I Mandic GLK
1
-
A Conté DEF212
1
-
J Fonte DEF181
3
-
K Nsona  FWD1011
-
O Osundina FWD172
1
-
T Morais FWD19
2
-
K Silva FWD1
-
Claudio FWD131
1
1