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Vitoria Guimaraes v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 6th Sep, 18:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques masses welcome Casa Pia's travelling contingent on Sunday evening, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's Vitoria Guimaraes take on Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins's troops in the Liga NOS. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


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Best Tip: V. Guimaraes to win

A Liga NOS home win for Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's V. Guimaraes team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A V. Guimaraes win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
64%
23/50-
Draw
22%
14/5-
Casa Pia
15%
11/2-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
13%
5/1-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
12%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
15/2-
V. Guimaraes 3-0
8%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
6%
12/1-
Casa Pia 1-0
5%
14/1-
Casa Pia 2-1
4%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
V. Guimaraes 4-0
4%
20/1-
V. Guimaraes 4-1
3%
25/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
28/1-
Casa Pia 2-0
2%
33/1-
V. Guimaraes 5-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
38%
21/10-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1-
Home/draw
85%
1/9-
Away/draw
36%
6/4-
Home/away
78%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/2-
Home DNB
79%
1/6-
Away DNB
30%
4/1-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
39%
11/8-
Casa Pia win to nil
8%
10/1-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
36%
13/10-
V. Guimaraes / Casa Pia
2%
40/1-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
20%
3/1-
Draw / Casa Pia
6%
12/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Casa Pia / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/1-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
7%
10/1-
Casa Pia / Draw
4%
18/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto4400912 
Nov 8
Apr 4
Sep 13
Feb 21
2
S. Lisbon4310710 
Jan 24
l
 
3-2A
Nov 1
Mar 21
3
Arouca430149 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
May 2
Dec 20
4
Santa Clara422028 
May 2
Dec 20
Oct 11
Mar 7
5
Benfica321087 
Mar 7
Oct 11
l
 
0-7A
Jan 24
6
Gil Vicente321037 
Mar 21
Nov 1
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
7
Maratimo421117 
Oct 25
Mar 14
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
8
Estrela Amadora312015 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Mar 14
Oct 25
9
Braga211014 
Feb 7
l
 
1-0A
Nov 29
Apr 11
10
Nacional411204 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
Dec 13
Apr 25
11
Moreirense3111-34 
Sep 20
Feb 28
l
 
0-1A
Feb 7
12
V. Guimaraes4103-23 
-
-
Feb 14
Sep 6
13
Rio Ave4103-53 
Dec 27
May 9
Apr 18
Dec 6
14
Famalicao4022-22 
May 16
Jan 10
Dec 27
May 9
15
Academico Viseu4022-42 
Feb 21
Sep 13
May 16
Jan 10
16
Alverca4022-42 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Apr 4
Nov 8
17
Estoril4013-51 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Feb 28
Sep 20
18
Casa Pia4004-110 
Sep 6
Feb 14
-
-
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Nacional
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Braga
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Nacional
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Nacional
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Casa Pia
AV. Guimaraes1 - 5S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente2 - 0Casa Pia
Maratimo1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Casa Pia
Gil Vicente2 - 1Casa Pia
Alverca3 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia0 - 2Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia0 - 7Benfica
ACasa Pia0 - 1Maratimo
HCasa Pia1 - 1Rio Ave
ACasa Pia1 - 0V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia0 - 1Tondela
ACasa Pia1 - 2Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia0 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia0 - 0Santa Clara
ACasa Pia1 - 3Alverca
HCasa Pia1 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia0 - 4Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia3 - 2Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 0Nacional
HCasa Pia2 - 1Porto
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2022
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
1
4
Games: Scored
1 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
3 / 4
GUI
1
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
0 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 2Casa Pia
0 - 1Casa Pia
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
3 / 4
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Casa Pia on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Casa Pia, with F. Pinto Martins's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

V. Guimaraes 12th Casa Pia 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Casa Pia have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
55%
better
GUI
view stats
Games scored2
0
Failed to score2
4
Scored first1
0
Goals scored3
0
Avg. goals scored0.8
0
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal17
0
Conversion rate for6
0
Avg. XG for1.7
0.7
KickOff rating
+55%
Defence rating
37%
better
GUI
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded5
11
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2.8
Avg. shots/game conceded4
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
3
Conversion rate against31%
30%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+37%

V. Guimaraes v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4122
O ZychSamuJ. Costa NogueiraO Rivas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Zych GLK4
-
J Mendes DEF4
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF4
1
-
O Rivas DEF4
2
-
T Strata DEF41
1
-
G Nogueira MID4
1
-
Samu MID41
-
L Doucet MID4
-
Beni MID4
-
J. Costa Nogueira FWD42
2
-
O. Camara FWD4
1
-
A Ndoye FWD41
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD41
2
-
T Arcanjo FWD3
-
Maga DEF2
-
M. Mitrovic MID2
1
-
V Ouotro FWD2
-
S. Verdi Oliveira Silva MID1
-
V Andersson FWD1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4002
A GomesS Pérez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gomes GLK4
-
J Goulart DEF4
-
A Geraldes DEF4
-
D Sousa  DEF4
1
-
P. Silva Rosas DEF4
1
-
S Pérez MID4
2
-
L Ofori MID4
-
S. Clua Oya MID4
-
A Jatta FWD4
1
-
H Araújo FWD4
-
Rochinha FWD4
-
A Conté DEF3
-
K. Prieto Machado MID3
-
M. Ferreira Pereira MID3
-
D. Bandeira DEF2
1
1
O Osundina FWD2
-
Cassiano FWD2
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-
B. Pauwels FWD1
-
Claudio FWD1
-