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Moreirense v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 18:00 BST, Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, Moreira de Conegos

It's an away trip for José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Benfica side on Sunday evening, as they make their way to the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu for a Liga NOS tie with Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa's Moreirense . This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Moreirense and Benfica will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Benfica coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Moreirense
22%
17/215/2
Draw
24%
7/24/1
Benfica
54%
1/34/11
1%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/215/2
Benfica 1-0
11%
11/219/4
4%
Benfica 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Benfica 2-0
10%
5/119/4
Moreirense 1-0
7%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
9%
Moreirense 2-1
6%
25/118/1
Benfica 3-1
6%
11/110/1
10%
Benfica 3-0
6%
15/27/1
7%
Draw 2-2
5%
20/118/1
Moreirense 2-0
3%
40/133/1
17%
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/120/1
9%
Benfica 4-1
2%
20/116/1
Benfica 4-0
2%
14/111/1
Moreirense 3-1
2%
66/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/54/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/119/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
42%
5/229/10
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/11
2%
1/3
2%
No 1st Goal
4%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
21/20
2%
23/20
BTTS - No
48%
7/10
2%
13/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
16/1
11%
12/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
8%
11/2
BTTS - Away Win
24%
12/523/10
Home/draw
46%
2/121/10
Away/draw
78%
1/141/14
Home/away
76%
2/111/6
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
2%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
6%
13/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2/119/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/8
1%
2/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
Home DNB
39%
6/1
13%
11/2
Away DNB
71%
1/10
2%
1/11
Moreirense win to nil
11%
14/1-
Benfica win to nil
30%
11/10-
Moreirense / Moreirense
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
Moreirense / Benfica
4%
20/118/1
Moreirense / Draw
4%
20/116/1
Draw / Moreirense
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Benfica
21%
3/1
7%
14/5
3%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
11/2
Benfica / Moreirense
2%
50/140/1
Benfica / Benfica
41%
1/1
3%
1/1
3%
Benfica / Draw
5%
16/116/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Moreirense have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league. Moreirense are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Moreirense have conceded 11 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Moreirense have played 6 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Benfica lay in 3rd place on 29 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 13 matches. Benfica are unbeaten in 11 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 11 games. Benfica are unbeaten away after 6 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 6 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Moreirense
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1312102437 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
2
S. Lisbon1310212532 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
3
Benfica138501829 
Dec 14
Apr 25
-
-
4
Gil Vicente137331024 
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
5
Braga136431322 
Apr 3
l
 
2-1A
May 9
Dec 28
6
Famalicao13553520 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
Dec 22
May 2
7
Moreirense13625120 
-
-
Apr 25
Dec 14
8
V. Guimaraes13535-318 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
9
Alverca13526-417 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
10
Rio Ave13373-416 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
11
Santa Clara13436-315 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
12
Estoril13355114 
Apr 18
d
 
3-3F
Jan 3
May 16
13
Estrela Amadora13355-314 
May 2
Dec 20
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
14
Nacional13337-612 
Mar 8
l
 
3-2F
Apr 11
w
 
1-2A
15
Casa Pia13238-149 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
d
 
2-2F
Apr 3
16
Tondela13238-159 
Dec 28
May 9
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
17
Arouca13238-239 
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
18
AVS130310-223 
May 16
Jan 3
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
28
Benfica have not lost in 28 consecutive league games
Moreirense 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense2 - 2Famalicao
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense1 - 0Boavista
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Moreirense1 - 2Braga
Moreirense0 - 0Sporting Farense
Moreirense1 - 1AVS
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Moreirense3 - 2Gil Vicente
Moreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMoreirense3 - 3Estoril
HMoreirense2 - 2Famalicao
AMoreirense1 - 2Braga
AMoreirense2 - 0Arouca
HMoreirense1 - 2Porto
AMoreirense2 - 3Nacional
HMoreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
AMoreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
HMoreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
AMoreirense0 - 2Gil Vicente
HMoreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AMoreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
HMoreirense2 - 1Alverca
AMoreirense3 - 0AVS
HMoreirense2 - 2Estoril
AMoreirense1 - 3Porto
HMoreirense1 - 1Nacional
AMoreirense1 - 3S. Lisbon
HMoreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
AMoreirense1 - 0Gil Vicente
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
28
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto0 - 0Benfica
AVS0 - 3Benfica
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Benfica have not lost to Moreirense in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Moreirense since 2016
Moreirense
Benfica
Goals: Scored
5
17
Games: Scored
5 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
4 / 9
D
3
BEF
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Benfica
0 - 4Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 4Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
18
9
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
MOR
1
D
2
BEF
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica3 - 2
Benfica3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Moreirense
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Moreirense on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Moreirense 7th Benfica 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Moreirense have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Moreirense
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1
1.7
Attack rating
MOR
BEF
18%
better
view stats
Games scored10
12
Failed to score2
1
Scored first7
9
Goals scored18
26
Avg. goals scored1.4
2
Avg. shots per game6
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for22
16
Avg. XG for1.1
2.3
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
MOR
BEF
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded17
8
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+36%

Moreirense v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13866
D PintoG SchettineD PintoM Maracás
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Pinto DEF1316
3
-
Alanzinho MID1324
5
-
M Stjepanovic MID13
2
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF1211
3
-
G Schettine FWD1281
1
-
Marcelo DEF111
5
-
M Maracás DEF111
5
1
Bernardo MID1011
1
-
K Bondoso FWD102
-
C Teguia FWD10
1
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF92
1
-
G Batista DEF9
1
-
V Sousa MID81
1
1
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD811
2
-
C Secco GLK7
1
-
A Ferreira GLK6
1
-
A. Cunha Almeida MID61
2
-
R Alonso MID61
1
-
?. Martínez Navarro DEF5
1
-
L Ofori MID41
-
L Semedo FWD41
-
J Jorquera FWD4
-
Michel DEF2
-
J. Gower MID1
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131035
F AursnesV PavlidisV PavlidisN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF131
1
-
L Barreiro MID132
1
-
F Aursnes MID1311
-
V Pavlidis FWD13103
2
-
N Otamendi DEF121
5
-
R Ríos MID12
5
-
E Barrenechea MID12
5
-
A Trubin GLK11
-
F Ivanovic FWD113
1
-
A Dedic DEF1013
2
1
A Silva DEF10
2
-
H Sudakov MID104
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1012
-
G Prestianni FWD1021
3
1
T Araújo DEF91
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID61
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Manu MID1
-