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Benfica v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd Jan, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Saturday evening at the Estádio da Luz, and it’s a Liga NOS showdown between Benfica and Estoril. José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho and Ian Cathro will be doing all they can to ensure the win. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
60%
--
Draw
20%
--
Estoril
20%
--
Benfica 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Benfica 2-0
8%
--
Benfica 1-0
8%
--
Benfica 3-1
7%
--
Benfica 3-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Estoril 2-1
5%
--
Estoril 1-0
4%
--
Benfica 3-2
4%
--
Benfica 4-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Benfica 4-0
3%
--
Estoril 2-0
2%
--
Estoril 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
33%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
40%
--
Home/away
80%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
74%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Benfica win to nil
27%
--
Estoril win to nil
8%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 12 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Estoril are in 9th position in the Liga NOS on 17 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Estoril have conceded 14 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
3
Benfica149502232 
-
-
May 17
Jan 3
4
Braga157441325 
May 10
Dec 28
w
 
1-0F
May 3
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao14653923 
Dec 22
May 3
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
8
Moreirense14626-320 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
9
Estoril15456-217 
Jan 3
May 17
-
-
10
Alverca14527-517 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
Dec 27
May 10
11
Rio Ave14374-516 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
12
Nacional14437-415 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
13
Santa Clara14437-415 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
15
Arouca14338-2212 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
17
Tondela14239-179 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
18
AVS140311-283 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao4 - 0Estoril
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Famalicao3 - 0Estoril
AVS0 - 3Estoril
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 3Estoril
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Braga2 - 2Estoril
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril2 - 3V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HEstoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
HEstoril1 - 2Benfica
AEstoril3 - 1Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 2Braga
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
Estoril
Goals: Scored
18
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
BEF
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica2 - 1
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica2 - 1
Benfica4 - 0
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Benfica
Goals: Scored
5
14
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
BEF
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
1 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 5Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 2Benfica
Goal Statistics
Benfica 3rd Estoril 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 64% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Benfica have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+51
Estoril have scored 51% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
2.2
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
BEF
EST
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BEF
EST
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Benfica v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141335
F AursnesV PavlidisF AursnesN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF141
1
-
F Aursnes MID1423
-
L Barreiro MID142
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD14133
2
-
N Otamendi DEF131
5
-
E Barrenechea MID13
5
-
R Ríos MID13
5
-
A Trubin GLK12
-
F Ivanovic FWD123
1
-
A Dedic DEF1113
2
1
H Sudakov MID114
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1112
-
A Silva DEF10
2
-
T Araújo DEF101
-
G Prestianni FWD1021
3
1
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID61
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
Manu MID2
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15645
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Holsgrove
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK15
1
-
F Bacher DEF15
1
-
J Carvalho MID1534
4
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
Y Begraoui FWD1561
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF142
3
-
K Boma DEF141
4
-
J Holsgrove MID1413
5
-
Ferro DEF12
1
-
T. Parente DEF121
2
-
R Guitane FWD1222
-
P Amaral DEF111
2
-
N Lominadze MID112
3
-
R Sánchez DEF922
5
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
A Marqués FWD9
1
-
Pizzi MID8
-
A Tsoungui DEF6
2
-
J Orellana MID61
1
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD6
1
-
G Costa DEF4
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-