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Benfica v FC Famalicao : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 22nd Dec, 20:45 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho and Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira take on one another in the Liga NOS on Monday night, as Benfica face FC Famalicao at the Estádio da Luz. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Benfica and Famalicao combined during 90 minutes. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 74% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
55%
1.33
2%
1.36
1%
Draw
24%
4.50
5%
5.00
Famalicao
21%
9.008.50
Benfica 1-0
13%
7.00
13%
6.00
Draw 1-1
12%
8.50
11%
8.50
Benfica 2-0
10%
6.50
7%
6.00
Benfica 2-1
10%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Draw 0-0
7%
12.00
20%
11.00
Famalicao 1-0
7%
21.00
9%
15.00
Benfica 3-0
6%
8.507.50
Benfica 3-1
5%
12.00
9%
11.00
10%
Famalicao 2-1
5%
26.0019.00
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
11%
19.00
Famalicao 2-0
3%
41.0029.00
Benfica 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Benfica 4-0
2%
15.0012.00
Benfica 4-1
2%
21.00
11%
17.00
Famalicao 3-1
2%
67.00
31%
46.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1.75
9%
1.73
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
2.05
11%
2.00
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.36
2%
1.30
2%
Away 1st Goal
41%
3.403.90
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
12.00
20%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
49%
2.05
5%
2.15
BTTS - No
51%
1.70
6%
1.65
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3.25
8%
3.30
2%
BTTS - Draw
17%
6.006.50
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17.00
13%
13.00
Home/draw
79%
1.071.07
Away/draw
45%
3.00
8%
3.10
Home/away
76%
1.181.17
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.22
3%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
4.00
11%
3.80
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
2.75
10%
2.80
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.40
7%
1.40
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5.50
27%
5.00
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.14
5%
1.14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
11.00
22%
9.50
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.05
2%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.04
1%
1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
Home DNB
72%
1.101.10
Away DNB
38%
7.006.00
8%
Benfica win to nil
32%
2.10
5%
-
Famalicao win to nil
11%
15.00
12%
-
Benfica / Benfica
41%
2.00
5%
1.91
2%
Benfica / Famalicao
2%
51.0041.00
11%
Benfica / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
12%
Draw / Benfica
20%
4.004.00
3%
Draw / Famalicao
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
7%
6.50
Famalicao / Benfica
4%
21.00
11%
19.00
Famalicao / Famalicao
6%
15.0011.00
8%
Famalicao / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 12 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Famalicao are in 6th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 14 matches so far this season. Famalicao are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 3 of those games. Famalicao are unbeaten away after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 4 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Famalicao have conceded 5 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Famalicao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
3
Benfica149502232 
-
-
May 3
Dec 22
4
Braga147431425 
May 10
Dec 28
l
 
1-2A
Apr 19
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
6
Famalicao14653923 
Dec 22
May 3
-
-
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
8
Moreirense14626-320 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
9
Alverca14527-517 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
May 17
Jan 4
10
Rio Ave14374-516 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
11
Nacional14437-415 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
Mar 22
w
 
0-1F
12
Santa Clara14437-415 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
13
Estoril14356-314 
Jan 3
May 17
w
 
4-0F
Apr 26
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
Dec 27
May 10
15
Arouca14338-2212 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
17
Tondela14239-179 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS140311-283 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
15
Benfica have not lost in 15 consecutive home league games
6
Famalicao have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
15
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
Famalicao 6TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Benfica have beaten Famalicao in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Benfica have not lost to Famalicao in 6 consecutive home league meetings
6
Benfica have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive home league meetings with Famalicao
League games at Benfica since 2019
Benfica
Famalicao
Goals: Scored
15
0
Games: Scored
5 / 6
0 / 6
Clean sheets
6 / 6
1 / 6
BEF
5
D
1
League games at Famalicao since 2020
Famalicao
Benfica
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
BEF
3
D
1
FAM
2
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.7 against FC Famalicao on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Benfica 3rd Famalicao 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Famalicao scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Benfica have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+5
Famalicao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Famalicao
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
29%
better
BEF
FAM
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score1
3
Scored first10
9
Goals scored30
18
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for2.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
BEF
FAM
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded8
9
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
14
Conversion rate against9%
7%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%

Benfica v Famalicao Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141335
F AursnesV PavlidisF AursnesN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF141
1
-
F Aursnes MID1423
-
L Barreiro MID142
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD14133
2
-
N Otamendi DEF131
5
-
R Ríos MID13
5
-
E Barrenechea MID13
5
-
A Trubin GLK12
-
F Ivanovic FWD123
1
-
A Dedic DEF1113
2
1
H Sudakov MID114
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1112
-
A Silva DEF10
2
-
T Araújo DEF101
-
G Prestianni FWD1021
3
1
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID61
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Manu MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Famalicao Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14434
L CarevicG SáG DiasL Carevic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Carevic GLK14
4
-
R. Pinheiro Ferreira DEF1411
3
-
G Sá MID1441
3
-
G Dias FWD1423
4
-
Sorriso FWD1413
4
-
T Looi MID13
3
-
M. De Amorim MID1311
4
-
S Elisor FWD1311
2
-
L Realpe DEF121
3
1
J Haas DEF122
2
-
P Francisco DEF10
3
-
R Soares DEF81
2
-
U. Abubakar FWD8
-
P. Costa Santos FWD8
1
-
M. Zabiri FWD84
2
-
I. Ba DEF71
1
-
O Mamageishvili MID6
-
M Ocaña MID5
3
-
R Beney FWD3
-
G García DEF2
-
Rochinha FWD1
-