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Sporting Braga v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Dec, 18:00 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

It's an away trip for José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Benfica side on Sunday evening, as they travel to the Estádio Municipal de Braga for a Liga NOS tie with Carlos Vicens's Sporting Braga. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
28%
--
Draw
26%
--
Benfica
46%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Benfica 1-0
11%
--
Benfica 2-1
9%
--
Braga 1-0
9%
--
Benfica 2-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Braga 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Braga 2-0
5%
--
Benfica 3-1
4%
--
Benfica 3-0
4%
--
Braga 3-1
2%
--
Benfica 3-2
2%
--
Braga 3-2
2%
--
Braga 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
13%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
54%
--
Away/draw
72%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
47%
--
Away DNB
64%
--
Braga win to nil
15%
--
Benfica win to nil
26%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Braga are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won zero. Braga have conceded 3 goals, scored 2, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Braga have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Benfica lay in 3rd place on 32 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 14 matches. Benfica are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 12 games. Benfica are unbeaten away after 7 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 7 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
3
Benfica149502232 
Dec 28
May 10
-
-
4
Braga147431425 
-
-
May 10
Dec 28
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 15
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
6
Famalicao14653923 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Dec 22
May 3
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
8
Moreirense14626-320 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
9
Alverca14527-517 
Jan 25
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
10
Rio Ave14374-516 
Feb 8
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
11
Nacional14437-415 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
12
Santa Clara14437-415 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
13
Estoril14356-314 
May 3
Dec 19
Jan 3
May 17
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
May 17
Jan 3
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
15
Arouca14338-2212 
Apr 12
w
 
0-4F
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
17
Tondela14239-179 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
18
AVS140311-283 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Braga have won 3 consecutive home league games
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga1 - 0Santa Clara
Braga2 - 1Moreirense
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga2 - 2AVS
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Santa Clara
Braga4 - 1AVS
Braga2 - 1Arouca
Braga1 - 0Porto
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Braga2 - 0Gil Vicente
Braga3 - 0Boavista
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga3 - 3Famalicao
Braga2 - 2Estoril
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 0Sporting Farense
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBraga1 - 0Santa Clara
ABraga2 - 1Famalicao
ABraga4 - 0Arouca
HBraga2 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga4 - 0Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga0 - 1Nacional
ABraga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HBraga0 - 1Gil Vicente
ABraga2 - 2Rio Ave
HBraga2 - 2AVS
ABraga3 - 0Alverca
HBraga3 - 0Tondela
HBraga1 - 1Benfica
ABraga1 - 2Casa Pia
HBraga1 - 1Santa Clara
ABraga1 - 1Famalicao
ABraga2 - 0Estoril
HBraga4 - 1AVS
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense0 - 4Benfica
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto0 - 0Benfica
AVS0 - 3Benfica
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Braga since 2015
Braga
Benfica
Goals: Scored
9
20
Games: Scored
5 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
5 / 10
BRG
2
D
1
BEF
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
Braga3 - 0
Braga3 - 2
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 4Benfica
1 - 4Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Braga
Goals: Scored
30
13
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
BRG
3
BEF
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica6 - 1
2 - 3Braga
0 - 1Braga
Benfica6 - 2
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica5 - 1
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.5 against Sporting Braga on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Braga 4th Benfica 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Braga will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Braga’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Benfica have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
BRG
BEF
14%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score2
1
Scored first9
10
Goals scored26
30
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
18
Avg. XG for1.8
2.2
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
BRG
BEF
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded12
8
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+28%

Braga v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14645
L HornicekR HortaL LeloR Zalazar 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK14
1
-
L Lelo DEF144
-
V Gómez DEF1412
1
-
Gorby MID14
3
-
G Lagerbielke DEF132
2
-
P Victor FWD132
2
-
R Zalazar  MID1241
5
-
J Moutinho MID12
2
-
R Horta FWD126
1
-
G Martínez FWD123
2
-
F Navarro FWD102
1
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF9
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD92
-
S Niakaté DEF8
1
-
F Grillitsch  MID8
1
-
G Salles MID8
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID811
-
M Dorgeles MID71
-
P Oliveira DEF6
1
-
V Carvalho MID51
2
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD3
-
Y. da Rocha MID1
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141335
F AursnesV PavlidisF AursnesN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF141
1
-
F Aursnes MID1423
-
L Barreiro MID142
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD14133
2
-
N Otamendi DEF131
5
-
R Ríos MID13
5
-
E Barrenechea MID13
5
-
A Trubin GLK12
-
F Ivanovic FWD123
1
-
A Dedic DEF1113
2
1
H Sudakov MID114
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1112
-
A Silva DEF10
2
-
T Araújo DEF101
-
G Prestianni FWD1021
3
1
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID61
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Manu MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-