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Sporting Braga v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Sporting Lisbon are away on Saturday evening, as manager Rui Manuel Gomes Borges takes his team to visit Sporting Braga and Carlos Vicens at the Estádio Municipal de Braga in the Liga NOS. We've got bespoke stats for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

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Sporting Braga's next match is v Ferencvaros at 20:00 on Thursday 12th March
Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Tondela at 00:00 on Sunday 15th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Braga and S. Lisbon was on Saturday 7th March 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
March 7th 2026
Braga 2
2 S. Lisbon
 
R. Horta 34'22' G. Inácio
R. Zalazar Martínez 90'45' L. Suárez Charris
 
BRG
SCL
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
6
5
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
17
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
BragaS. Lisbon
 
L. Horníček
V. Gómez Perea (M. Dorgeles 88')
G. Lagerbielke
P. Rodrigues de Oliveira (G. Moscardo de Salles 46')
J. Iria Santos Moutinho (G. Baptiste 69')
R. Zalazar Martínezfootball icon
Pau Victor (F. Navarro Aliaga 78')
B. Arrey-Mbi
F. Grillitsch
D. Oliveira Rodrigues (G. Martínez Aguilera 68')
R. Hortafootball icon
R. Dantas da Silva
(J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões 73') H. Morita
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
(L. Lira dos Santos 73') P. Pereira Gonçalves
(E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões 81') G. Cipriano Catamo
M. Araújo Vilches
I. Fresneda Corraliza
football iconG. Inácio
O. Diomande
M. Hjulmand
football iconL. Suárez Charris

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 80% probability of Braga and S. Lisbon serving up at least two goals in this Liga NOS clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
35%
27/10125/1
Draw
25%
12/520/1
S. Lisbon
41%
24/251/200
Draw 1-1
12%
11/216/5
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
15/22/9
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
7/19/2
Braga 2-1
8%
12/16/1
Braga 1-0
8%
11/115/2
S. Lisbon 2-0
6%
9/117/4
Draw 2-2
6%
12/113/2
Draw 0-0
6%
10/16/1
Braga 2-0
5%
18/114/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
4%
14/113/2
Braga 3-1
4%
28/116/1
S. Lisbon 3-0
3%
16/17/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
25/133/1
Braga 3-2
3%
33/160/1
Braga 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
9/101/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
9/1016/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
13/106/4
Away 1st Goal
49%
8/118/11
No 1st Goal
3%
10/16/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
3/44/6
BTTS - No
42%
1/111/10
BTTS - Home Win
18%
6/150/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/313/2
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3/11/14
Home/draw
59%
4/56/1
Away/draw
65%
2/71/500
Home/away
75%
3/101/14
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/8
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/419/4
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
9/429/10
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/32/9
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/222/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/91/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/170/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/200
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/14
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/113/2
Home DNB
52%
13/850/1
Away DNB
58%
4/91/1000
Braga win to nil
17%
6/1-
S. Lisbon win to nil
20%
5/2-
Braga / Braga
15%
5/118/1
Braga / S. Lisbon
4%
22/133/1
Braga / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / Braga
11%
7/119/5
Draw / S. Lisbon
15%
4/129/20
Draw / Draw
15%
9/27/4
S. Lisbon / Braga
3%
28/145/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
25%
11/59/1
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
12/125/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Braga are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 2 and won zero. Braga have conceded 5 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Braga have played 11 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 61 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 24 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 22 games against teams below them in the league and kept 13 clean sheets out of 22 games. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 12 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 60 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 12 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
3
Benfica2517803759 
d
 
2-2A
May 10
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga2513752746 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1F
6
Famalicao251168939 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
8
Estoril25979434 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
1-4F
10
Alverca257711-1528 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
11
Arouca257513-2126 
Apr 12
w
 
0-4F
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
May 17
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 23
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
May 10
15
Nacional255713-822 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
17
Tondela254714-2019 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
w
 
0-3F
18
AVS251717-3910 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Braga3 - 0Rio Ave
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Braga2 - 2Benfica
Braga1 - 0Santa Clara
Braga2 - 1Moreirense
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga2 - 2AVS
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Santa Clara
Braga4 - 1AVS
Braga2 - 1Arouca
Braga1 - 0Porto
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Braga2 - 0Gil Vicente
Braga3 - 0Boavista
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABraga2 - 1Nacional
HBraga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
ABraga1 - 2Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 0Rio Ave
ABraga4 - 0AVS
HBraga5 - 0Alverca
ABraga1 - 0Tondela
ABraga3 - 3Estrela Amadora
HBraga2 - 2Benfica
ABraga0 - 1Estoril
HBraga1 - 0Santa Clara
ABraga2 - 1Famalicao
ABraga4 - 0Arouca
HBraga2 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga4 - 0Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga0 - 1Nacional
ABraga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HBraga0 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente1 - 1S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Boavista0 - 5S. Lisbon
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
S. Lisbon have not lost to Braga in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
12
18
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
BRG
3
D
2
SCL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
2 - 4S. Lisbon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
Braga1 - 0
Braga1 - 0
Braga1 - 0
2 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 4S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Braga
Goals: Scored
25
10
Games: Scored
10 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
1 / 11
BRG
2
D
3
SCL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
S. Lisbon5 - 0
S. Lisbon5 - 0
1 - 2Braga
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 1
S. Lisbon3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is very strong, R. Gomes Borges's men having conceded 1 or less in 20 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Sporting Braga makes sense in this context.

Sporting Lisbon have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 43 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Sporting Braga on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Braga 4th S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Braga will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Braga have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+15
S. Lisbon have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
BRG
SCL
23%
better
view stats
Games scored21
24
Failed to score3
0
Scored first17
19
Goals scored50
62
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.6
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
19
Avg. XG for2
2.1
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
BRG
SCL
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
11
Clean sheets9
13
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded23
12
Avg. goals conceded1
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1
0.7
KickOff rating
+32%

Braga v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251445
L HornicekR Zalazar R Zalazar G Lagerbielke
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK25
1
-
P Oliveira DEF12
2
-
G Lagerbielke DEF212
4
1
B Arrey-Mbi DEF20
3
-
V Gómez MID2513
1
-
J Moutinho MID2311
3
-
F Grillitsch  MID1711
3
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID1812
2
-
R Zalazar  FWD23144
5
-
R Horta FWD22134
4
1
P Victor FWD2464
3
-
Subs
T Sá GLK
-
L Lelo DEF224
1
-
G Salles MID14
3
-
M Dorgeles MID131
-
Gorby MID20
3
-
D Tıknaz MID4
-
Y. da Rocha MID2
-
F Navarro FWD204
1
-
G Martínez FWD223
2
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24231010
G InácioL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK23
1
-
I Fresneda DEF211
6
-
O Diomande DEF12
4
-
G Inácio DEF2413
3
1
M Vilches DEF2143
9
1
M Hjulmand MID2223
7
-
H Morita MID221
3
-
G Catamo  MID2053
1
-
F Trincão MID25510
-
P Gonçalves MID18106
5
-
L Suárez FWD24234
4
-
Subs
J Virgínia GLK2
-
Z Debast DEF10
2
-
N Santos DEF11
-
G Vagiannidis DEF153
3
-
E Quaresma DEF811
1
-
D Bragança  MID53
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID171
2
-
S. Faye FWD4
-
L Santos FWD8
-