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Casa Pia v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Dec, 15:30 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira’s Casa Pia will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Luís Miguel Correia Pinto’s Vitoria Guimaraes are their visitors to the Estádio Pina Manique. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
34%
--
Draw
27%
--
V. Guimaraes
39%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
11%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
8%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
7%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
53%
--
Away DNB
58%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
19%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
22%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league. Casa Pia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 28 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 7 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 7th place on 21 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
Dec 23
May 3
3
Benfica149502232 
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Braga147431425 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
6
Famalicao14653923 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
Dec 28
May 10
-
-
8
Moreirense14626-320 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
9
Alverca14527-517 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
10
Rio Ave14374-516 
May 17
Jan 4
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
11
Nacional14437-415 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
Jan 2
May 17
12
Santa Clara14437-415 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
13
Estoril14356-314 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
15
Arouca14338-2212 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
-
-
May 10
Dec 28
17
Tondela14239-179 
May 3
Dec 21
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS140311-283 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
7
Casa Pia have not won in 7 consecutive home league games
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia2 - 1Braga
ACasa Pia0 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
HV. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Casa Pia have drawn with V. Guimaraes in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2022
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
2
GUI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 2Casa Pia
0 - 1Casa Pia
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Casa Pia makes sense in this context.

Casa Pia 16th V. Guimaraes 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
V. Guimaraes have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
1%
better
GUI
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score6
6
Scored first4
5
Goals scored14
15
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
11
Avg. XG for0.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
GUI
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
9
Clean sheets2
5
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded28
17
Avg. goals conceded2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against21%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+33%

Casa Pia v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14336
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Geraldes DEF14
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF142
3
-
Cassiano FWD142
3
-
J Livolant FWD1433
2
-
S Pérez MID13
4
-
R. Nhaga MID131
3
-
J Fonte DEF121
2
-
P Sequeira GLK10
2
1
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD10
1
-
T Morais FWD10
1
-
D Sousa  DEF91
6
-
M Sousa MID91
2
-
I Mohamed MID81
3
-
J Goulart DEF7
2
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
R Brito MID6
2
-
O Osundina FWD61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
K Nsona  FWD611
-
A Conté DEF51
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
Y Oukili MID5
-
R Batista GLK3
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
K. Prieto Machado MID3
-
X Severina FWD3
1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14324
MagaN OliveiraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Maga DEF14
3
-
N Oliveira FWD143
3
-
R Abascal DEF132
2
-
J Mendes DEF13
4
-
Beni MID131
4
-
A Ndoye FWD122
1
-
T Arcanjo FWD12
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID111
1
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK10
1
-
O. Camara FWD1031
1
-
Samu MID911
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
F Blanco FWD7
2
1
O Lebedenko DEF6
-
G Nogueira MID61
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD611
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF51
-
Charles GLK4
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID4
1
-
T Strata DEF3
-