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Sporting Lisbon v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Dec, 20:30 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave on Sunday night, as bosses Rui Manuel Gomes Borges and Sotiris Silaidopoulos battle it out at the Estádio José Alvalade. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
67%
--
Draw
18%
--
Rio Ave
14%
--
S. Lisbon 2-0
10%
--
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
--
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
S. Lisbon 3-0
8%
--
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
S. Lisbon 4-0
4%
--
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Rio Ave 2-1
4%
--
Rio Ave 1-0
4%
--
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
--
S. Lisbon 5-0
2%
--
S. Lisbon 4-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Home 1st Goal
58%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
32%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
86%
--
Away/draw
33%
--
Home/away
82%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
80%
--
Away DNB
27%
--
S. Lisbon win to nil
35%
--
Rio Ave win to nil
6%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 13 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 7 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 23 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 16 points having played 14 matches so far this season. Rio Ave are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Rio Ave have conceded 11 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
-
-
May 10
Dec 28
3
Benfica149502232 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga147431425 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
May 17
Jan 2
May 3
Dec 20
6
Famalicao14653923 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
May 3
Dec 23
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
8
Moreirense14626-320 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
9
Alverca14527-517 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
10
Rio Ave14374-516 
Dec 28
May 10
-
-
11
Nacional14437-415 
Feb 1
w
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
12
Santa Clara14437-415 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
13
Estoril14356-314 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-4A
Mar 22
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
15
Arouca14338-2212 
w
 
6-0F
Jan 25
Feb 1
d
 
3-3A
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
Jan 4
May 17
17
Tondela14239-179 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
18
AVS140311-283 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
S. Lisbon have won 3 consecutive home league games
5
S. Lisbon have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
S. Lisbon have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Rio Ave 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
S. Lisbon have beaten Rio Ave in 3 consecutive home league meetings
9
S. Lisbon have not lost to Rio Ave in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
17
5
Games: Scored
8 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
1 / 9
SCL
6
D
2
RIO
1
League games at Rio Ave since 2015
Rio Ave
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
9
17
Games: Scored
5 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
4 / 9
SCL
6
D
2
RIO
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Sporting Lisbon in their meeting with Rio Ave, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 33 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

S. Lisbon 2nd Rio Ave 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 67% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
S. Lisbon have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Rio Ave have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
43%
better
SCL
RIO
view stats
Games scored14
10
Failed to score0
4
Scored first10
6
Goals scored38
17
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game15
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for2.1
1
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
50%
better
SCL
RIO
view stats
Games conceded6
12
Clean sheets8
2
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded7
22
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate against9%
13%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+50%

S. Lisbon v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141154
G InácioL SuárezF TrincãoP Gonçalves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF142
2
-
F Trincão FWD1435
-
L Suárez FWD14112
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1322
3
-
P Gonçalves FWD1395
4
-
G. Quenda FWD1314
-
R Silva GLK12
-
G Catamo  MID1222
1
-
A Santos FWD121
-
I Fresneda DEF111
4
-
M Vilches DEF1121
3
1
G Kochorashvili MID111
-
H Morita MID111
1
-
G Vagiannidis DEF103
2
-
F Ioannidis FWD92
-
Z Debast DEF8
2
-
R Mangas DEF72
3
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID7
1
-
O Diomande DEF6
1
-
M Reis DEF42
-
E Quaresma DEF31
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141056
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF1411
1
1
N Athanasiou DEF141
1
-
G Liavas MID141
2
-
Clayton FWD14102
5
1
A Luiz FWD1445
3
-
C Miszta GLK13
4
-
B Aguilera MID13
4
-
A Ndoj DEF121
5
-
J Panzo DEF12
2
1
F. Petrasso DEF12
4
-
O Pohlmann MID121
-
D Spikic FWD112
1
-
M Gual FWD10
-
N Abby DEF9
2
-
T. Nikitscher MID81
1
-
J Brabec DEF7
2
-
A. Papakanellos MID7
-
J Graça MID4
-
O Richards DEF3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
J DEF3
1
-
J Tomé DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
K. Zoabi FWD2
1
-
K Chamorro GLK1
-
T. Medina FWD1
-