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Tondela v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Dec, 18:00 BST, Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela

Sunday evening sees Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira’s Tondela and João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira’s Casa Pia go up against one another in a Liga NOS battle at the Estadio Joao Cardoso. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Liga NOS clash.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Tondela and Casa Pia have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tondela are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tondela
35%
2.20
5%
2.20
4%
Draw
28%
3.25
7%
3.25
5%
Casa Pia
37%
3.403.40
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
Casa Pia 1-0
11%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Tondela 1-0
11%
7.00
8%
6.50
8%
Draw 0-0
9%
8.00
7%
7.50
15%
Casa Pia 2-1
8%
12.00
8%
11.00
Tondela 2-1
8%
9.508.00
6%
Casa Pia 2-0
7%
15.00
12%
13.00
Tondela 2-0
6%
10.00
5%
9.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
Tondela 3-1
3%
19.00
10%
17.00
Casa Pia 3-0
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Tondela 3-0
3%
21.0017.00
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
12%
Tondela 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
2.25
2%
2.15
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.62
1%
1.62
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
1.83
2%
1.80
3%
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.302.38
3%
No 1st Goal
6%
8.00
7%
7.50
15%
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.95
3%
1.91
5%
BTTS - No
51%
1.80
3%
1.80
3%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5.004.60
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.40
BTTS - Away Win
15%
7.50
6%
6.50
Home/draw
63%
1.301.30
2%
Away/draw
65%
1.62
3%
1.65
3%
Home/away
72%
1.33
2%
1.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.36
3%
1.40
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.00
9%
2.88
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.00
8%
3.90
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.22
2%
1.22
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9.00
10%
8.00
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.07
1%
1.06
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.081.07
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8.00
7%
7.50
15%
Home DNB
55%
1.57
3%
1.53
4%
Away DNB
56%
2.25
5%
2.30
5%
Tondela win to nil
21%
3.50
3%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
22%
5.50-
Tondela / Tondela
23%
3.603.40
6%
Tondela / Casa Pia
3%
34.0026.00
Tondela / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Tondela
15%
5.50
10%
5.25
Draw / Casa Pia
12%
7.007.00
Draw / Draw
18%
4.75
6%
4.40
5%
Casa Pia / Tondela
3%
29.0021.00
9%
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
15%
5.505.25
5%
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Tondela have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Tondela are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Tondela have conceded 23 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tondela have played 6 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Casa Pia lay in 16th place on 10 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 14 matches. Casa Pia have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 2 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Casa Pia have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Casa Pia have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tondela
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 15
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
3
Benfica149502232 
Feb 1
l
 
3-0A
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
4
Braga147431425 
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
6
Famalicao14653923 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
Dec 28
May 10
8
Moreirense14626-320 
May 10
Jan 11
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
9
Alverca14527-517 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
10
Rio Ave14374-516 
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
May 17
Jan 4
11
Nacional14437-415 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
12
Santa Clara14437-415 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
13
Estoril14356-314 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 8
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
15
Arouca14338-2212 
Jan 3
May 17
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
Dec 21
May 3
-
-
17
Tondela14239-179 
-
-
May 3
Dec 21
18
AVS140311-283 
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Tondela have lost 3 consecutive home league games
6
Tondela have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
9
Casa Pia have not won in 9 consecutive league games
4
Tondela have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
Tondela0 - 1Famalicao
Tondela2 - 2Boavista
Tondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela2 - 2Arouca
Tondela1 - 1Belenenses
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Tondela1 - 3Benfica
Tondela2 - 3Vizela
Tondela2 - 1Moreirense
Tondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
Tondela0 - 1P. Ferreira
Tondela4 - 2Maratimo
Tondela1 - 3Porto
Tondela3 - 2Famalicao
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATondela1 - 3Nacional
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
ATondela0 - 3Benfica
HTondela0 - 1Famalicao
ATondela0 - 3Braga
HTondela2 - 2Boavista
ATondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
ATondela1 - 1P. Ferreira
HTondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela0 - 2Moreirense
HTondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia2 - 1Braga
ACasa Pia0 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
Goal Statistics
Tondela 17th Casa Pia 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Tondela have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Casa Pia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Tondela
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
CDT
30%
better
view stats
Games scored5
8
Failed to score9
6
Scored first4
4
Goals scored8
14
Avg. goals scored0.6
1
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal16
6
Conversion rate for6
16
Avg. XG for1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
7%
better
CDT
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded25
28
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
21%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%

Tondela v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14327
B FontesP HenryqueR LopesB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK14
1
-
T. Silva Manso DEF141
3
-
J. Rodríguez López MID14
3
-
P Henryque FWD1431
4
-
E Maviram DEF121
2
-
C Marques DEF12
2
-
B Medina DEF12
5
2
S Sithole MID121
3
-
I Cavaleiro FWD111
1
-
Y. Augusto FWD11
-
H Tavares MID10
1
1
Jordan FWD10
2
-
J. Rodriguez FWD10
1
-
Bebeto DEF9
3
-
H. Sequeira MID9
1
-
J Hodge MID7
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD7
-
R Lopes FWD612
1
-
J Afonso DEF5
1
-
C. Alves Santana MID5
2
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
Xabi Huarte MID4
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID4
-
A Rodrigues FWD3
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14336
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Geraldes DEF14
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF142
3
-
J Livolant FWD1433
2
-
Cassiano FWD142
3
-
S Pérez MID13
4
-
R. Nhaga MID131
3
-
J Fonte DEF121
2
-
P Sequeira GLK10
2
1
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD10
1
-
T Morais FWD10
1
-
D Sousa  DEF91
6
-
M Sousa MID91
2
-
I Mohamed MID81
3
-
J Goulart DEF7
2
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
R Brito MID6
2
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
K Nsona  FWD611
-
O Osundina FWD61
-
A Conté DEF51
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
Y Oukili MID5
-
R Batista GLK3
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
K. Prieto Machado MID3
-
X Severina FWD3
1
-