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Vitoria Guimaraes v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd Jan, 20:45 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and Luís Miguel Correia Pinto’s Vitoria Guimaraes will have the luxury of it on Friday night. Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido’s CD Nacional are their visitors to the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
43%
--
Draw
29%
--
Nacional
28%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
Nacional 1-0
10%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
--
Nacional 2-1
6%
--
Nacional 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
--
Nacional 3-1
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
--
Nacional 3-0
2%
--
Nacional 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
44%
--
BTTS - No
56%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
57%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
27%
--
Nacional win to nil
17%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Both V. Guimaraes and CD Nacional have scored 15 goals this season.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Nacional are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 15 points having played 14 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 14 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1413102640 
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon1411213135 
Dec 23
May 3
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
3
Benfica149502232 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
4
Braga147431425 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
5
Gil Vicente147431025 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
6
Famalicao14653923 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
V. Guimaraes14635-221 
-
-
May 17
Jan 2
8
Moreirense14626-320 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
9
Alverca14527-517 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
10
Rio Ave14374-516 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
11
Nacional14437-415 
Jan 2
May 17
-
-
12
Santa Clara14437-415 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
Jan 11
May 10
13
Estoril14356-314 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
14
Estrela Amadora14356-514 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
15
Arouca14338-2212 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
16
Casa Pia14248-1410 
May 10
Dec 28
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela14239-179 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
18
AVS140311-283 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
May 3
Dec 21
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
V. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
HV. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Nacional
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
GUI
2
D
2
NAC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
0 - 1Nacional
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
GUI
2
NAC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 0
Nacional1 - 0
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for CD Nacional makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 7th Nacional 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
V. Guimaraes have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Nacional have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.3
1
Attack rating
%
better
GUI
NAC
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
GUI
NAC
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

V. Guimaraes v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14324
MagaN OliveiraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Maga DEF14
3
-
N Oliveira FWD143
3
-
R Abascal DEF132
2
-
J Mendes DEF13
4
-
Beni MID131
4
-
A Ndoye FWD122
1
-
T Arcanjo FWD12
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID111
1
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK10
1
-
O. Camara FWD1031
1
-
Samu MID911
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
F Blanco FWD7
2
1
O Lebedenko DEF6
-
G Nogueira MID61
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD611
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF51
-
Charles GLK4
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID4
1
-
T Strata DEF3
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14835
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Santos DEF142
5
-
Liziero  MID143
4
-
Chuchu FWD148
4
-
P Bóia FWD1421
3
-
Witi FWD14
2
-
M Dias MID13
1
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1213
1
-
Z Vitor DEF122
3
1
C. Abidi MID12
3
-
J Aurélio DEF11
1
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
K Azarias GLK8
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD8
1
1
L João FWD8
-
J Silva MID7
-
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
M. Nourani FWD5
1
-
A Duarte DEF4
-
L Vallier DEF4
-
A Sousa MID41
1
-
M Baeza MID3
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF2
1
-