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Vitoria Guimaraes v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 23rd Dec, 20:45 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon on Tuesday night, as bosses Luís Miguel Correia Pinto and Rui Manuel Gomes Borges face one another at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. You'll see stats supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 77% chance of V. Guimaraes and S. Lisbon scoring a minimum of 2 goals in this Liga NOS tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.20.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
V. Guimaraes 20%	6/1 7%	6/1
Draw 23%	7/2 7%	18/5
S. Lisbon 57%	37/100 1%	4/9
S. Lisbon 1-0 11%	11/2 13%	5/1
Draw 1-1 11%	15/2	7/1
S. Lisbon 2-0 10%	5/1 14%	5/1
S. Lisbon 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1 15%	9/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0 6%	16/1 11%	12/1
S. Lisbon 3-0 6%	8/1 5%	7/1
S. Lisbon 3-1 6%	11/1	10/1
V. Guimaraes 2-1 5%	22/1 10%	16/1
Draw 2-2 5%	20/1 11%	16/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0 3%	40/1	25/1
S. Lisbon 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	20/1
S. Lisbon 4-0 3%	16/1	12/1
S. Lisbon 4-1 3%	22/1 10%	16/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1 2%	50/1	40/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	17/20 9%	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	19/20 7%	10/11
Home 1st Goal 41%	12/5 10%	13/5
Away 1st Goal 55%	4/11 3%	4/11
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1 15%	9/1
BTTS - Yes 52%	11/10 8%	11/10
BTTS - No 48%	4/6 7%	4/6
BTTS - Home Win 10%	14/1 15%	11/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	11/2 18%	5/1
BTTS - Away Win 25%	5/2 9%	12/5
Home/draw 43%	7/4	9/5
Away/draw 80%	1/10	1/11
Home/away 77%	2/11 3%	2/11
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7 8%	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2 19%	5/2
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	9/4 24%	2/1
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1/3 8%	7/20
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	11/2 30%	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/9 5%	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1 18%	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25 1%	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 15%	9/1
Home DNB 37%	5/1	17/4
Away DNB 73%	1/8	2/15
V. Guimaraes win to nil 10%	12/1	-
S. Lisbon win to nil 32%	11/10 7%	-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes 6%	14/1 15%	9/1
V. Guimaraes / S. Lisbon 4%	20/1	18/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw 4%	20/1 11%	16/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / S. Lisbon 20%	3/1	16/5
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2 7%	5/1
S. Lisbon / V. Guimaraes 2%	40/1	33/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon 40%	21/20 2%	21/20
S. Lisbon / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league. V. Guimaraes are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won zero. V. Guimaraes have conceded 9 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 35 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 14 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 13 games. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 7 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 37 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 5 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 7 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	V. Guimaraes S. Lisbon
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	14	13	1	0	26	40	Jan 18	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	Feb 8
2	S. Lisbon	14	11	2	1	31	35	Dec 23	May 3	-	-
3	Benfica	14	9	5	0	22	32	l 0-3A	Mar 22	Apr 19	d 1-1F
4	Braga	14	7	4	3	14	25	d 1-1A	Feb 22	d 1-1F	Mar 8
5	Gil Vicente	14	7	4	3	10	25	d 0-00-0	Apr 19	May 17	Jan 2
6	Famalicao	14	6	5	3	9	23	Mar 15	l 2-0A	Feb 15	w 1-2A
7	V. Guimaraes	14	6	3	5	-2	21	-	-	May 3	Dec 23
8	Moreirense	14	6	2	6	-3	20	Feb 1	l 2-0A	w 3-0F	Feb 22
9	Alverca	14	5	2	7	-5	17	Mar 1	l 2-0A	w 2-0F	Mar 22
10	Rio Ave	14	3	7	4	-5	16	Apr 26	w 0-1F	Dec 28	May 10
11	Nacional	14	4	3	7	-4	15	Jan 2	May 17	Feb 1	w 1-4A
12	Santa Clara	14	4	3	7	-4	15	w 2-1A	Mar 8	Apr 4	w 1-2A
13	Estoril	14	3	5	6	-3	14	w 3-2A	Jan 25	Mar 1	w 0-1F
14	Estrela Amadora	14	3	5	6	-5	14	Feb 15	w 0-2F	w 4-0F	Apr 12
15	Arouca	14	3	3	8	-22	12	d 1-1F	Feb 8	w 6-0F	Jan 25
16	Casa Pia	14	2	4	8	-14	10	May 10	Dec 28	Jan 18	w 0-2F
17	Tondela	14	2	3	9	-17	9	Apr 4	w 0-1F	Mar 15	w 0-3F
18	AVS	14	0	3	11	-28	3	w 4-0F	Apr 12	w 6-0F	Apr 26

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Win / draw / win form

S. Lisbon have not lost in 17 consecutive away league games

V. Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes	4 - 0	AVS
V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Braga
V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Arouca
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril
V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Braga
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	AVS
V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Arouca
V. Guimaraes	4 - 4	S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Nacional
V. Guimaraes	4 - 0	Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Rio Ave
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	V. Guimaraes	4 - 0	AVS
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Tondela
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Famalicao
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Santa Clara
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Alverca
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Braga
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Arouca
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Moreirense
H	V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Porto
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Sporting Farense
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Nacional
H	V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Rio Ave
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Gil Vicente

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
Santa Clara	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
Tondela	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Estoril	0 - 1	S. Lisbon
Famalicao	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
Nacional	1 - 4	S. Lisbon
Casa Pia	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
Benfica	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
Boavista	0 - 5	S. Lisbon
Santa Clara	0 - 1	S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Casa Pia	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
AVS	2 - 2	S. Lisbon
Porto	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
Rio Ave	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes	4 - 4	S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente	0 - 0	S. Lisbon
Moreirense	2 - 1	S. Lisbon
Braga	2 - 4	S. Lisbon
Famalicao	0 - 3	S. Lisbon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	S. Lisbon	6 - 0	AVS
A	S. Lisbon	1 - 1	Benfica
H	S. Lisbon	4 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	S. Lisbon	2 - 1	Santa Clara
H	S. Lisbon	2 - 0	Alverca
A	S. Lisbon	3 - 0	Tondela
H	S. Lisbon	1 - 1	Braga
A	S. Lisbon	1 - 0	Estoril
H	S. Lisbon	3 - 0	Moreirense
A	S. Lisbon	2 - 1	Famalicao
H	S. Lisbon	1 - 2	Porto
A	S. Lisbon	4 - 1	Nacional
H	S. Lisbon	6 - 0	Arouca
A	S. Lisbon	2 - 0	Casa Pia
H	S. Lisbon	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	S. Lisbon	1 - 1	Benfica
H	S. Lisbon	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
A	S. Lisbon	5 - 0	Boavista
H	S. Lisbon	3 - 1	Moreirense
A	S. Lisbon	1 - 0	Santa Clara

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

V. Guimaraes

S. Lisbon

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 10

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

4 / 10

GUI

SCL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2
	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
	0 - 4	S. Lisbon
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0
	0 - 5	S. Lisbon
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

S. Lisbon

V. Guimaraes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 10

3 / 10

Clean sheets

7 / 10

0 / 10

SCL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon	2 - 0
S. Lisbon	3 - 0
S. Lisbon	3 - 0
S. Lisbon	1 - 0
S. Lisbon	1 - 0
S. Lisbon	3 - 1
S. Lisbon	2 - 0
S. Lisbon	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
S. Lisbon	5 - 1

Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is very strong, R. Gomes Borges's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Vitoria Guimaraes makes sense in this context.

Sporting Lisbon have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 33 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Vitoria Guimaraes on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	V. Guimaraes 7th	S. Lisbon 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+18 V. Guimaraes have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted	+11 S. Lisbon have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	2.3 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

GUI

SCL

54%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		14
Failed to score	6		0
Scored first	5		10
Goals scored	15		38
Avg. goals scored	1.1		2.7
Avg. shots per game	9		15
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate for	11		18
Avg. XG for	1.1		2.1
KickOff rating		+54%

GUI

SCL

39%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		6
Clean sheets	5		8
Conceded first	8		4
Goals conceded	17		7
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		11
Conversion rate against	13%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.3		0.7
KickOff rating		+39%

V. Guimaraes v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	3	2	4
Maga	N Oliveira	R Abascal	J Mendes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Maga DEF	14			3 -
N Oliveira FWD	14	3		3 -
R Abascal DEF	13		2	2 -
J Mendes DEF	13			4 -
Beni MID	13	1		4 -
A Ndoye FWD	12	2		1 -
T Arcanjo FWD	12			-
O Rivas DEF	11	1		1 -
M. Mitrovic MID	11	1		1 -
J. Castillo Reyes GLK	10			1 -
O. Camara FWD	10	3	1	1 -
Samu MID	9	1	1	-
V. Félix FWD	8			3 -
F Blanco FWD	7			2 1
O Lebedenko DEF	6			-
G Nogueira MID	6		1	1 -
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	6	1	1	1 -
M Nóbrega DEF	5	1		-
Charles GLK	4			-
D. Lobão Sousa MID	4			1 -
T Strata DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	3
N Oliveira	N Oliveira	R Abascal	T Arcanjo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Oliveira FWD	3	7
O. Camara FWD	3	5	1
A Ndoye FWD	2	6
Beni MID	1	1		1
O Rivas DEF	1	3		1
M. Mitrovic MID	1	2		1
Samu MID	1	2	1	1
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	1	5	1
M Nóbrega DEF	1	1
Maga DEF				2
R Abascal DEF		1	2	1
J Mendes DEF		2		1
T Arcanjo FWD		4		3
F Blanco FWD		3		1
O Lebedenko DEF		1
G Nogueira MID			1	1
D. Lobão Sousa MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
701	26	67
R Abascal	J Mendes	Beni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Abascal DEF	701	19	48
O Rivas DEF	622	6	34
J Mendes DEF	439	26	45
Maga DEF	428	24	46
Beni MID	405	25	67
J. Castillo Reyes GLK	253	1	4
M. Mitrovic MID	218	5	20
Samu MID	194	6	26
T Arcanjo FWD	180	12	40
M Nóbrega DEF	145	2	13
O. Camara FWD	142	2	16
Charles GLK	133		1
G Nogueira MID	132	9	37
N Oliveira FWD	124	2	34
V. Félix FWD	109	11	31
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	107	11	36
F Blanco FWD	73	3	19
O Lebedenko DEF	70	6	12
D. Lobão Sousa MID	48	3	8
A Ndoye FWD	40	2	28
T Strata DEF	40		5

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	11	5	4
G Inácio	L Suárez	F Trincão	P Gonçalves

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Inácio DEF	14		2	2 -
F Trincão FWD	14	3	5	-
L Suárez FWD	14	11	2	2 -
M Hjulmand MID	13	2	2	3 -
P Gonçalves FWD	13	9	5	4 -
G. Quenda FWD	13	1	4	-
R Silva GLK	12			-
G Catamo MID	12	2	2	1 -
A Santos FWD	12		1	-
I Fresneda DEF	11	1		4 -
M Vilches DEF	11	2	1	3 1
G Kochorashvili MID	11		1	-
H Morita MID	11		1	1 -
G Vagiannidis DEF	10		3	2 -
F Ioannidis FWD	9	2		-
Z Debast DEF	8			2 -
R Mangas DEF	7	2		3 -
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID	7			1 -
O Diomande DEF	6			1 -
M Reis DEF	4		2	-
E Quaresma DEF	3	1		-
J Virgínia GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	30	5	7
L Suárez	L Suárez	F Trincão	F Trincão

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Suárez FWD	11	30	2	5
P Gonçalves FWD	9	25	5	7
F Trincão FWD	3	11	5	7
M Hjulmand MID	2	2	2	1
G Catamo MID	2	8	2	3
M Vilches DEF	2	4	1	1
F Ioannidis FWD	2	3
R Mangas DEF	2	2		3
G. Quenda FWD	1	5	4	3
I Fresneda DEF	1	1
E Quaresma DEF	1	1
G Inácio DEF		1	2	1
A Santos FWD		1	1	1
G Kochorashvili MID		2	1
H Morita MID			1	1
G Vagiannidis DEF		3	3	4
Z Debast DEF		1		1
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID		1		1
O Diomande DEF		1
M Reis DEF			2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1250	25	72
G Inácio	G Inácio	G Inácio

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Inácio DEF	1250	25	72
M Hjulmand MID	866	24	67
Z Debast DEF	579	8	21
F Trincão FWD	557	18	57
P Gonçalves FWD	466	7	37
O Diomande DEF	415	4	26
H Morita MID	400	17	31
G Vagiannidis DEF	369	17	37
G Kochorashvili MID	341	9	24
I Fresneda DEF	322	20	35
M Vilches DEF	321	21	55
G. Quenda FWD	300	12	40
G Catamo MID	276	9	46
R Silva GLK	267		1
L Suárez FWD	252	10	65
R Mangas DEF	176	8	26
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID	156	6	19
E Quaresma DEF	118	3	8
M Reis DEF	65	3	7
A Santos FWD	60	3	21
J Virgínia GLK	45		1
F Ioannidis FWD	42	3	17