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Dundee v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Dens Park, Dundee

We’ve Premiership action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Tony Docherty and his Dundee side host Stuart Kettlewell’s Motherwell at the Dens Park. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Premiership matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Dundee's next match is v Celtic at 15:00 on Sunday 28th April
Motherwell's next match is v Aberdeen at 15:00 on Saturday 27th April
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Dundee and Motherwell was on Saturday 6th April 2024
Scottish Premiership
April 6th 2024
Dundee 2
3 Motherwell
 
J. McGhee 36'79' G. Gent
L. McCowan 70'81' T. Bair
90' M. Ebiye
 
DDE
MTW
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
2
9
Corners
3
11
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
7
4
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
DundeeMotherwell
 
J. McCracken
J. Shaughnessy
J. McGheefootball icon
J. Portales Villarreal
A. Donnelly
M. Sylla
L. McCowanfootball icon
L. Cameron (Z. Robinson 90')
A. Bakayoko
S. Tiffoney (M. Mellon 68')
D. Costelloe
L. Kelly
football iconG. Gent
(S. O'Donnell 46') A. Devine
S. Blaney
D. Casey
P. McGinn
(M. Ebiye 74') D. Zdravkovski
(L. Miller 74') A. Halliday
football iconT. Bair
(C. Butcher 90') J. Vale
B. Spittal
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Dundee and Motherwell will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dundee are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Dundee
41%
5/4
15%
6/55/4
13%
57/50
7%
Draw
24%
23/10
6%
12/523/10
6%
12/5
Motherwell
35%
23/10
12%
11/59/4
10%
11/5
11%
Draw 1-1
11%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
11/2
7%
11/2
Dundee 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/18/1
6%
15/2
6%
Dundee 1-0
8%
7/16/1
13%
7/113/2
17%
Motherwell 2-1
8%
11/1
8%
9/110/1
8%
10/1
10%
Motherwell 1-0
7%
9/1
17%
15/2
15%
9/1
17%
17/2
5%
Dundee 2-0
6%
10/1
10%
17/2
5%
10/1
10%
9/1
13%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
9%
12/112/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
9/1
9%
9/1
13%
Motherwell 2-0
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
16/1
11%
14/1
7%
Dundee 3-1
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
16/1
13%
15/1
Motherwell 3-1
4%
25/1
10%
18/125/122/1
15%
Dundee 3-0
3%
20/1
24%
16/120/1
24%
17/1
14%
Dundee 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
24%
25/1
13%
24/1
9%
Motherwell 3-2
3%
33/122/1
10%
28/129/1
20%
Motherwell 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/133/1
17%
33/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
19/20
8%
-10/11
6%
23/25
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
17/20
8%
-4/5
6%
4/5
7%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
10%
-4/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/10
8%
-5/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
9%
-17/2
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
3/4
3%
4/5
11%
8/11
4%
3/4
7%
BTTS - No
41%
1/1
2%
19/20
9%
Evs
5%
Evens
8%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/2
13%
16/5
11%
16/5
12%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
3%
16/5
3%
7/2
3%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
11/2
7%
19/4
10%
5/1-
Home/draw
65%
1/3
6%
1/31/3
3%
1/3
4%
Away/draw
59%
8/13
10%
13/208/13
10%
4/6
5%
Home/away
76%
1/3
3%
3/101/3
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
3/10
4%
-1/3
6%
2/7
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
5/2
13%
-9/4
13%
12/5
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
12/5
6%
-9/4
8%
12/5
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/3
2%
-1/3
2%
2/7
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
11/2
18%
-11/2
18%
23/4
16%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/9
3%
-1/10
3%
1/14
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
18%
--14/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
--1.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/16
1%
-1/20
1%
1/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
9/1
9%
-8/1
10%
9/1
9%
Home DNB
58%
4/7
9%
4/74/7
9%
4/7
8%
Away DNB
52%
5/4
14%
5/45/4
14%
11/8
11%
Dundee win to nil
19%
11/4
7%
-11/4
10%
-
Motherwell win to nil
16%
9/2
21%
-9/2
21%
-
Dundee / Dundee
23%
11/4
17%
12/55/2
13%
5/2
8%
Dundee / Motherwell
3%
28/122/133/130/1
7%
Dundee / Draw
6%
12/111/112/113/1
8%
Draw / Dundee
15%
9/2
10%
17/49/2
10%
23/5
7%
Draw / Motherwell
12%
6/1
13%
6/17/1
11%
13/2
7%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
4/1
9%
17/4
3%
Motherwell / Dundee
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
25/1
13%
24/1
Motherwell / Motherwell
16%
4/1
17%
4/19/2
8%
22/5
13%
Motherwell / Draw
6%
14/111/112/113/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Dundee have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Both Dundee and Motherwell have scored 42 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Dundee have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Motherwell are in 8th position in the Premiership on 33 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Motherwell have conceded 26 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Dundee
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Motherwell
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Apr 28
l
 
7-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Celtic0078 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3F
-
d
 
0-00-0
May 14
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1F
 Rangers334975 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
-
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-3F
May 11
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
 Hearts0062 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
-
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
-
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
 Kilmarnock0051 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
-
May 4
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
 St. Mirren0043 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
-
-
-
-
-
 Dundee H0041 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
-
w
 
2-3A
-
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Hibernian33-739 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
May 15
l
 
2-3F
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3A
 Motherwell A33-537 
-
-
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Aberdeen33-1435 
l
 
2-4A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
-
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
 St. Johnstone33-2231 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 19
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
 Ross County33-2430 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
5-0F
May 11
-
w
 
1-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Livingston33-3718 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
May 4
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Dundee 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Motherwell 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Dundee have drawn with Motherwell in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Dundee since 2015
Dundee
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
DDE
4
D
2
MTW
4
All league games since 2014
Dundee
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
37
31
Games: Scored
17 / 23
19 / 23
Clean sheets
4 / 23
6 / 23
DDE
8
D
6
MTW
9
Goal Statistics

Dundee have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Premiership games. Their PG of 1.5 against Motherwell on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Dundee 6th Motherwell 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Dundee will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Motherwell will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Dundee’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Motherwell have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Premiership - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264121/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dundee
PG (predicted goals)
Motherwell
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
8%
better
DDE
MTW
view stats
Games scored25
24
Failed to score8
9
Scored first17
9
Goals scored44
46
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate17%
16%
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
19%
better
DDE
MTW
view stats
Games conceded22
30
Clean sheets11
3
Conceded first12
23
Goals conceded54
51
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate16%
17%
KickOff rating
+19%

Dundee v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Dundee Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32956
J ShaughnessyL McCowanL McCowanL McCowan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J McCracken GLK6
-
J Villarreal DEF161
2
-
J Shaughnessy DEF3241
2
-
A Donnelly DEF172
2
-
J McGhee MID274
5
-
L Cameron MID275
1
-
M Sylla MID191
1
-
L McCowan MID3195
6
-
D Costelloe MID102
4
-
S Tiffoney FWD2331
1
-
A Bakayoko FWD3165
6
-
Subs
A Legzdins GLK
-
H Sharp GLK1
-
O Dodgson DEF10
3
-
R Astley DEF1
-
F Robertson MID10
1
-
M Boateng MID261
5
-
Z Robinson FWD213
-
M Mellon FWD1022
3
-
E. Mutale FWD
-
Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331398
L KellyT BairB SpittalD Casey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kelly GLK33
3
-
D Casey DEF2422
8
-
P McGinn DEF26
3
-
S Blaney DEF192
1
-
A Devine MID81
-
A Halliday  MID811
1
-
D Zdravkovski MID22
3
-
G. Gent MID2413
3
-
B Spittal MID3279
5
-
J Vale FWD1022
2
-
T Bair FWD33134
1
-
Subs
A Oxborough GLK
-
B Mugabi DEF292
2
-
S O'Donnell DEF333
6
-
S Nicholson MID111
2
-
L Miller MID203
3
1
C Butcher MID14
8
-
O Shaw FWD182
1
-
M Ebiye FWD21
-
L Ross FWD11
-