Heart of Midlothian's team badge Kilmarnock's team badge

Heart of Midlothian v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 3rd Dec, 19:45 BST, Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Heart of Midlothian and Kilmarnock take on one another at the Tynecastle Park on Wednesday evening, with both Derek McInnes and Stuart Kettlewell seeking a win in the Premiership. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hearts
66%
--
Draw
19%
--
Kilmarnock
15%
--
Hearts 2-0
10%
--
Hearts 2-1
10%
--
Hearts 1-0
9%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Hearts 3-0
7%
--
Hearts 3-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Kilmarnock 2-1
4%
--
Hearts 4-0
4%
--
Hearts 4-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Kilmarnock 1-0
4%
--
Hearts 3-2
4%
--
Hearts 4-2
2%
--
Hearts 5-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
33%
--
BTTS - Draw
15%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
85%
--
Away/draw
34%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
79%
--
Away DNB
28%
--
Hearts win to nil
33%
--
Kilmarnock win to nil
6%
--
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premiership league table. Hearts are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 12 games. Hearts are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Hearts have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Hearts have played 7 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Kilmarnock are in 10th position in the Premiership on 10 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Kilmarnock have conceded 20 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts121930 
-
-
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Dec 3
Mar 14
-
2
Celtic111223 
w
 
3-1F
Dec 7
Jan 25
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
Feb 14
-
3
Hibernian12718 
w
 
1-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
Jan 3
d
 
2-2A
-
Apr 4
4
Rangers11518 
Dec 21
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 14
Dec 6
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 4
5
Falkirk12-516 
w
 
3-0F
Dec 13
Feb 21
-
Dec 20
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 28
6
Motherwell11315 
d
 
3-3A
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
Nov 22
d
 
2-2F
-
Jan 24
7
Dundee Utd11114 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
Nov 29
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 21
8
Aberdeen11-411 
w
 
2-0F
Nov 23
Feb 28
-
l
 
0-1A
Dec 14
Jan 31
-
9
St. Mirren11-710 
Jan 14
d
 
2-2A
-
Feb 4
w
 
2-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
10
Kilmarnock12-910 
Dec 3
w
 
0-3F
-
Mar 14
-
-
-
-
11
Dundee12-139 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 11
Mar 21
-
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 30
Apr 11
-
12
Livingston12-98 
Jan 3
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
d
 
2-2F
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
3
Kilmarnock have lost 3 consecutive away league games
9
Hearts have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts1 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts4 - 0Dundee
Hearts3 - 1Celtic
Hearts1 - 0Hibernian
Hearts3 - 0Falkirk
Hearts3 - 3Motherwell
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts3 - 0Motherwell
Hearts0 - 1Dundee
Hearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts2 - 0Ross County
Hearts3 - 1St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 3Rangers
Hearts3 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts1 - 0Motherwell
Hearts1 - 2Hibernian
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts2 - 0Dundee
Hearts1 - 1Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHearts1 - 1Dundee Utd
HHearts4 - 0Dundee
AHearts2 - 2St. Mirren
HHearts3 - 1Celtic
AHearts3 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts1 - 0Hibernian
HHearts3 - 0Falkirk
AHearts2 - 0Rangers
AHearts2 - 1Livingston
HHearts3 - 3Motherwell
AHearts3 - 2Dundee Utd
HHearts2 - 0Aberdeen
AHearts1 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
HHearts3 - 0Motherwell
AHearts3 - 1Ross County
HHearts0 - 1Dundee
AHearts0 - 0Motherwell
HHearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
AHearts0 - 3Celtic
Kilmarnock 10TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock
Falkirk3 - 1Kilmarnock
Rangers3 - 1Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd0 - 2Kilmarnock
Motherwell2 - 2Kilmarnock
Hibernian2 - 2Kilmarnock
Motherwell3 - 0Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone0 - 2Kilmarnock
Celtic5 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren5 - 1Kilmarnock
Ross County1 - 0Kilmarnock
Aberdeen1 - 0Kilmarnock
Hearts3 - 2Kilmarnock
Hibernian1 - 0Kilmarnock
Motherwell1 - 1Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd1 - 1Kilmarnock
Rangers6 - 0Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone1 - 0Kilmarnock
Dundee3 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts1 - 2Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AKilmarnock0 - 4Celtic
AKilmarnock1 - 3Falkirk
HKilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
AKilmarnock1 - 3Rangers
HKilmarnock0 - 3Hearts
HKilmarnock2 - 0St. Mirren
AKilmarnock2 - 0Dundee Utd
HKilmarnock1 - 2Celtic
AKilmarnock2 - 2Motherwell
HKilmarnock0 - 0Dundee
AKilmarnock2 - 2Hibernian
HKilmarnock2 - 2Livingston
HKilmarnock0 - 1Hearts
AKilmarnock0 - 3Motherwell
HKilmarnock3 - 2Dundee
AKilmarnock2 - 0St. Johnstone
HKilmarnock2 - 0Ross County
AKilmarnock1 - 5Celtic
HKilmarnock2 - 0Motherwell
AKilmarnock1 - 5St. Mirren
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Hearts have beaten Kilmarnock in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Hearts since 2013
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
23
20
Games: Scored
11 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
5 / 16
HEA
5
D
4
KIL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
Hearts3 - 2
1 - 2Kilmarnock
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Hearts3 - 1
2 - 3Kilmarnock
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 1Kilmarnock
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts4 - 0
Hearts1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts5 - 0
0 - 4Kilmarnock
League games at Kilmarnock since 2013
Kilmarnock
Hearts
Goals: Scored
20
16
Games: Scored
10 / 17
10 / 17
Clean sheets
7 / 17
7 / 17
HEA
6
D
4
KIL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
0 - 3Hearts
0 - 1Hearts
Kilmarnock1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Hearts
Kilmarnock2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Kilmarnock3 - 0
1 - 2Hearts
0 - 1Hearts
Kilmarnock1 - 0
0 - 1Hearts
Draw0 - 0Draw
Kilmarnock2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Kilmarnock4 - 2
Kilmarnock2 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Heart of Midlothian in their meeting with Kilmarnock, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 17 consecutive Premiership games.

Goals have been a problem for Kilmarnock of late. It has been 5 Premiership games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday evening against Heart of Midlothian.

Hearts 1st Kilmarnock 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Hearts will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Kilmarnock scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Hearts’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Kilmarnock have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Kilmarnock
2.3
1
Attack rating
46%
better
HEA
KIL
view stats
Games scored12
8
Failed to score0
4
Scored first9
4
Goals scored29
13
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
44%
better
HEA
KIL
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded10
22
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
19%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.8
KickOff rating
+44%

Hearts v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12746
S FindlayL ShanklandA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Findlay DEF123
3
-
O McEntee DEF121
2
-
H Milne DEF1213
5
-
C Devlin MID12
2
-
C. Soares Braga FWD1261
1
-
A Kyziridis FWD1234
3
-
L Shankland FWD1271
-
C Halkett  DEF113
6
-
M Steinwender DEF10
-
S Kingsley DEF9
-
B Baningime  MID9
1
-
A Schwolow GLK8
-
T Magnusson MID81
-
E Kabangu FWD8
-
B Spittal MID71
-
A Forrest FWD6
1
-
S. Kerjota FWD61
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
F Kent DEF4
1
-
P. Kabore FWD42
-
Ageu MID3
-
J. Wilson FWD3
-
J McCart DEF2
-
C Borchgrevink DEF1
-
Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12325
D WatsonD WatsonG KiltieB Lyons
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Thompson DEF121
1
-
D Watson MID1231
3
-
B Anderson FWD121
1
-
M Dackers FWD121
3
-
R Deas DEF111
3
-
G Stanger DEF102
2
1
L Polworth MID1011
-
B Lyons MID101
5
-
G Kiltie FWD102
3
-
L Mayo DEF9
1
-
B. Brannan MID81
1
-
R McKenzie FWD8
-
M Stryjek GLK7
-
J Brown DEF71
-
D. Daniels FWD72
2
-
Z Williams DEF5
-
J Brandon DEF5
1
-
S Tiffoney FWD51
-
T Lowery MID4
-
M Watkins FWD4
-
E. Beach GLK3
-
E. Brown DEF3
-
K Magennis MID3
1
-
T John-Jules  FWD31
1
-
J Thomson MID1
-