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Heart of Midlothian v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Stuart Kettlewell takes his Motherwell charges to the Tynecastle Park in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, with Steven Naismith's Heart of Midlothian their challengers. Stats for our tip of Hearts to win are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Motherwell's next match is v Aberdeen at 15:00 on Saturday 16th March
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Hearts and Motherwell was on Saturday 17th February 2024
Scottish Premiership
February 17th 2024
Hearts 2
0 Motherwell
 
L. Shankland 67'
K. Vargas 90'
 
HEA
MTW
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
9
7
Possession
71%
29%
Fouls
9
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
HeartsMotherwell
 
Z. Clark
A. Cochrane (Y. Oda 59')
F. Kent
K. Rowles
D. Lembikisa (N. Atkinson 46')
S. Kingsley
C. Nieuwenhof (C. Devlin 77')
A. Forrest
B. Baningime (K. Vargas 46')
S. Fraser (M. Tait 59')
L. Shanklandfootball icon
L. Kelly
(S. O'Donnell 62') G. Gent
B. Mugabi
D. Casey
P. McGinn
A. Devine
(Proctor 79') D. Zdravkovski
H. Paton
(S. Nicholson 74') L. Miller
T. Bair
(J. Obika 79') J. Vale
Best Tip: Hearts to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Hearts. Their latest form statistics show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Motherwell too. The odds point towards Steven Naismith's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hearts are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Hearts
50%
7/10
6%
7/10
2%
8/11
4%
7/10
3%
Draw
26%
11/4
4%
13/511/4
10%
13/5
3%
Motherwell
24%
4/1
15%
4/1
13%
18/5
6%
19/5
9%
Hearts 1-0
13%
6/1
17%
5/1
9%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/26/123/4
Hearts 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
15%
7/113/2
7%
Hearts 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
7/17/1
6%
7/1
6%
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1
18%
17/2
19%
9/1
11%
9/1
18%
Motherwell 1-0
8%
12/1
30%
11/112/1
18%
11/1
4%
Motherwell 2-1
6%
14/114/1
12%
14/113/1
13%
Hearts 3-0
5%
12/1
13%
12/1
8%
12/1
13%
23/2
4%
Hearts 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
14/113/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
21%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
Motherwell 2-0
4%
25/1
24%
25/1
10%
25/1
13%
22/1
8%
Hearts 3-2
2%
25/1
24%
25/1
24%
25/1
10%
24/1
14%
Motherwell 3-1
2%
40/145/1
25%
40/140/1
11%
Hearts 4-0
2%
25/1
10%
28/1
12%
28/1
15%
25/1
4%
Hearts 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
28/1
15%
28/1
15%
28/1
3%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
7%
19/20
9%
10/11
9%
19/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
8%
4/5
11%
4/5
8%
10/13
7%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1/2
2%
8/15
2%
8/15
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2/1
4%
15/8
7%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
18%
17/2
19%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
10/11
5%
20/23
11%
5/6
4%
9/10
8%
BTTS - No
52%
10/11
9%
17/20
11%
5/6
2%
17/20
8%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
11/4
13%
27/10
12%
11/4
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/115/4
5%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
17/28/1
25%
15/2-
Home/draw
76%
1/6
3%
2/13
1%
2/11
2%
1/6
3%
Away/draw
50%
11/10
8%
11/10
5%
11/10
8%
11/10
3%
Home/away
74%
1/4
3%
2/72/7
1%
7/25
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
3/10
7%
3/10
4%
1/3
2%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
5/2
17%
23/10
15%
9/4
8%
23/10
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5/2
13%
23/10
15%
5/2
7%
5/2
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
3/10
4%
3/10
7%
2/7
3%
7/25
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
19%
11/2
24%
11/2
13%
6/1
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
3%
1/10
3%
1/10
3%
1/14
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
14/1
29%
-14/1
17%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/33
1%
-1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/18
1%
1/20
1%
1/40
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
18%
9/1
25%
8/1
13%
9/1
18%
Home DNB
68%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
7/25
4%
Away DNB
42%
5/2
8%
5/2
7%
5/2
8%
27/10
10%
Hearts win to nil
30%
7/417/10
10%
7/4-
Motherwell win to nil
14%
8/1
29%
7/1
6%
7/1
14%
-
Hearts / Hearts
31%
7/4
5%
17/10
2%
13/8
9%
17/10
3%
Hearts / Motherwell
2%
40/150/1
16%
40/145/1
10%
Hearts / Draw
6%
14/114/1
12%
14/114/1
6%
Draw / Hearts
19%
7/23/1
3%
7/218/5
4%
Draw / Motherwell
8%
9/1
11%
17/2
5%
10/1
10%
9/1
9%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
5%
9/2
10%
22/5
6%
Motherwell / Hearts
4%
22/122/1
12%
22/1
12%
22/1
8%
Motherwell / Motherwell
10%
7/1
7%
8/1
10%
7/1
7%
7/1
11%
Motherwell / Draw
6%
14/114/1
12%
14/114/1
6%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 35 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Hearts have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Motherwell are in 7th position in the Premiership on 26 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Motherwell have conceded 16 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Hearts
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Motherwell
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
-
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
 Rangers294870 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
-
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
-
l
 
1-4A
w
 
0-2F
 Celtic294668 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3F
-
-
-
-
-
 Hearts H291055 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
-
l
 
2-0A
-
Apr 6
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 St. Mirren29242 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
-
Mar 30
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
 Kilmarnock29341 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
-
d
 
1-1A
-
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
 Hibernian28-734 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 13
-
-
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Dundee28-1133 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
-
Apr 6
w
 
2-0F
-
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Motherwell A29-532 
-
-
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 St. Johnstone29-1828 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
 Aberdeen28-1527 
l
 
2-4A
d
 
3-3F
Mar 16
-
-
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Ross County28-2423 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
5-0F
-
Apr 13
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Livingston29-2917 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Hearts 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Motherwell 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hearts since 2014
Hearts
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
24
9
Games: Scored
11 / 13
6 / 13
Clean sheets
7 / 13
2 / 13
HEA
8
D
2
MTW
3
All league games since 2013
Hearts
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
43
31
Games: Scored
22 / 28
18 / 28
Clean sheets
10 / 28
6 / 28
HEA
13
D
3
MTW
12
Goal Statistics

Heart of Midlothian have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Premiership games. Their PG of 1.5 against Motherwell on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Hearts 3rd Motherwell 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Motherwell scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Hearts’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Motherwell’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Premiership - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264088/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Motherwell
1.5
1
Attack rating
8%
better
HEA
MTW
view stats
Games scored23
21
Failed to score6
8
Scored first18
9
Goals scored38
41
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
41%
better
HEA
MTW
view stats
Games conceded15
26
Clean sheets14
3
Conceded first10
19
Goals conceded28
46
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate10%
17%
KickOff rating
+41%

Hearts v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
292056
Z ClarkL ShanklandA ForrestL Shankland
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Clark GLK29
-
S Kingsley DEF251
-
F Kent DEF283
3
-
K Rowles DEF24
4
-
D Lembikisa MID61
1
-
C Nieuwenhof MID2512
4
-
S Fraser MID5
-
B Baningime  MID221
3
-
A Cochrane MID223
5
-
L Shankland FWD29201
6
-
A Forrest FWD2635
3
-
Subs
C Gordon  GLK
-
N Atkinson DEF14
5
-
T Sibbick DEF17
2
-
J Grant MID2123
-
C Devlin MID16
6
-
A Denholm MID121
1
-
M Tait MID81
1
-
Y Oda FWD183
2
-
K Vargas FWD2541
6
-
Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291148
L KellyT BairT BairD Casey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kelly GLK29
3
-
P McGinn DEF22
3
-
B Mugabi DEF272
2
-
D Casey DEF2022
8
-
A Devine MID51
-
L Miller MID161
3
1
D Zdravkovski MID19
3
-
G. Gent MID203
3
-
H Paton MID221
4
1
J Vale FWD621
-
T Bair FWD29114
1
-
Subs
A Oxborough GLK
-
J Buyabu DEF
-
C Elliot DEF
-
S O'Donnell DEF292
5
-
S Blaney DEF151
1
-
D. Wells MID
-
S Nicholson MID81
2
-
M Ferrie FWD2
-
J Obika FWD101
-