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Kilmarnock v Dundee : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Saturday afternoon sees Derek McInnes’s Kilmarnock and Tony Docherty’s Dundee go head to head in a Premiership battle at the Rugby Park. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Kilmarnock and Dundee was on Saturday 10th May 2025
Scottish Premiership
May 10th 2025
Kilmarnock 3
2 Dundee
 
D. Armstrong 31'76' L. Cameron
B. Anderson 77'90' L. Cameron
R. Deas 90'
 
KIL
DDE
Shots On
7
5
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
7
2
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
14
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
KilmarnockDundee
 
K. O'Hara
C. Ndaba
L. Mayo
R. Deasfootball icon
S. Findlay
L. Donnelly (R. McKenzie 81')
F. Murray
D. Watson (L. Polworth 86')
D. Armstrongfootball icon
B. Andersonfootball icon (M. Watkins 86')
B. Wales (K. Vassell 65')
T. Carson
J. Portales Villarreal
Z. Larkeche
A. Donnelly
J. Shaughnessy
R. Astley
football iconfootball iconL. Cameron
J. Mulligan
(O. Adewumi 57') S. Tiffoney
(F. Robertson 74') S. Palmer-Houlden
S. Murray

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner here, but good reason to think Kilmarnock and Dundee will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Derek McInnes or Tony Docherty has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Kilmarnock are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Kilmarnock
59%
10/11
6%
-
Draw
22%
13/5
3%
-
Dundee
19%
3/1
8%
-
Kilmarnock 1-0
11%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2
7%
-
Kilmarnock 2-0
10%
17/2-
Kilmarnock 2-1
10%
15/2-
Kilmarnock 3-0
6%
16/1
13%
-
Kilmarnock 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
8%
-
Dundee 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Dundee 2-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Kilmarnock 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Kilmarnock 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Kilmarnock 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Dundee 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
-
Dundee 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/6-
BTTS - No
46%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
11/4
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
6/1
7%
-
Home/draw
81%
2/9
2%
-
Away/draw
41%
5/6
6%
-
Home/away
78%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1
8%
-
Home DNB
74%
2/5
5%
-
Away DNB
35%
7/4
15%
-
Kilmarnock win to nil
31%
5/2
3%
-
Dundee win to nil
9%
6/1
13%
-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
30%
2/1
4%
-
Kilmarnock / Dundee
2%
28/1
15%
-
Kilmarnock / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Kilmarnock
17%
4/1-
Draw / Dundee
9%
15/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Dundee / Kilmarnock
4%
20/1-
Dundee / Dundee
12%
5/1
8%
-
Dundee / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Relegation Group table

Kilmarnock have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 50 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Kilmarnock have played 17 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Dundee are in 11th position in the Premiership on 34 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 6 and won 9. Dundee have conceded 69 goals, scored 47, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS Date HOME AWAY HOME AWAY Date
1
Hearts33-140 
-
-
w
 
0-1F
-
2
Motherwell33-1939 
-
l
 
1-2F
-
-
3
Kilmarnock H33-2035 
-
-
l
 
3-2A
-
4
Ross County33-2335 
-
d
 
1-1F
-
-
5
Dundee A33-2134 
-
-
-
-
6
St. Johnstone33-2529 
-
-
w
 
0-2F
-
Win / draw / win form
Kilmarnock 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock2 - 0Ross County
Kilmarnock2 - 0Motherwell
Kilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
Kilmarnock2 - 4Rangers
Kilmarnock3 - 1St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock1 - 0Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock0 - 0Motherwell
Kilmarnock0 - 1Ross County
Kilmarnock2 - 0St. Mirren
Kilmarnock4 - 0Aberdeen
Kilmarnock1 - 0Hearts
Kilmarnock1 - 1Dundee
Kilmarnock0 - 2Celtic
Kilmarnock1 - 0Rangers
Kilmarnock3 - 3Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
Kilmarnock0 - 3St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock0 - 5Celtic
Kilmarnock0 - 0Hearts
Kilmarnock1 - 0Ross County
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AKilmarnock2 - 0St. Johnstone
HKilmarnock2 - 0Ross County
AKilmarnock1 - 5Celtic
HKilmarnock2 - 0Motherwell
AKilmarnock1 - 5St. Mirren
HKilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
AKilmarnock0 - 1Ross County
HKilmarnock2 - 4Rangers
AKilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
HKilmarnock3 - 1St. Johnstone
HKilmarnock1 - 0Dundee Utd
AKilmarnock2 - 3Hearts
HKilmarnock0 - 0Motherwell
HKilmarnock0 - 1Ross County
HKilmarnock2 - 0St. Mirren
AKilmarnock0 - 1Hibernian
HKilmarnock4 - 0Aberdeen
AKilmarnock1 - 1Motherwell
HKilmarnock1 - 0Hearts
AKilmarnock1 - 1Dundee Utd
Dundee 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts0 - 1Dundee
Hibernian4 - 0Dundee
Dundee Utd2 - 4Dundee
Motherwell2 - 1Dundee
Ross County3 - 1Dundee
Celtic6 - 0Dundee
St. Johnstone1 - 3Dundee
St. Mirren1 - 2Dundee
Rangers1 - 0Dundee
Hearts2 - 0Dundee
Kilmarnock1 - 1Dundee
Aberdeen4 - 1Dundee
Celtic2 - 0Dundee
Motherwell0 - 1Dundee
Ross County2 - 0Dundee
Hibernian2 - 2Dundee
Dundee Utd2 - 2Dundee
Rangers5 - 2Dundee
Hearts3 - 0Dundee
Aberdeen0 - 0Dundee
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDundee1 - 2Motherwell
ADundee1 - 0Hearts
ADundee0 - 4Hibernian
HDundee2 - 0St. Mirren
HDundee3 - 4Rangers
ADundee4 - 2Dundee Utd
HDundee1 - 1St. Johnstone
ADundee1 - 2Motherwell
ADundee1 - 3Ross County
HDundee1 - 2Aberdeen
ADundee0 - 6Celtic
HDundee0 - 6Hearts
HDundee3 - 3Celtic
HDundee1 - 1Rangers
ADundee3 - 1St. Johnstone
HDundee1 - 2Dundee Utd
ADundee2 - 1St. Mirren
HDundee0 - 3Ross County
ADundee0 - 1Rangers
ADundee0 - 2Hearts
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Kilmarnock since 2014
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Goals: Scored
14
17
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
KIL
3
D
4
DDE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Dundee
Kilmarnock3 - 1
Kilmarnock3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Dundee
Kilmarnock2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 4Dundee
1 - 3Dundee
League games at Dundee since 2014
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
21
21
Games: Scored
14 / 15
13 / 15
Clean sheets
2 / 15
1 / 15
KIL
3
D
9
DDE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dundee
Dundee3 - 2
2 - 3Kilmarnock
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Dundee2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Kilmarnock
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Kilmarnock
Dundee1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Kilmarnock have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Premiership games. Their PG of 1.9 against Dundee on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Kilmarnock 9th Dundee 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Kilmarnock will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Dundee scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Kilmarnock have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Dundee’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/295889/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Kilmarnock
PG (predicted goals)
Dundee
1.9
1
Attack rating
KIL
DDE
19%
better
view stats
Games scored24
27
Failed to score11
8
Scored first12
17
Goals scored42
52
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
20
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
12%
better
KIL
DDE
view stats
Games conceded26
32
Clean sheets9
3
Conceded first22
18
Goals conceded58
73
Avg. goals conceded1.7
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
2
KickOff rating
+12%

Kilmarnock v Dundee Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3611810
L MayoB AndersonD ArmstrongD Armstrong
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K O'Hara GLK19
-
L Mayo DEF371
2
-
R Deas DEF321
5
2
S Findlay DEF17
-
C Ndaba DEF3611
4
-
D Armstrong MID3338
8
2
L Donnelly MID2512
6
2
D Watson MID3541
5
-
F Murray MID3343
4
-
B Anderson FWD31111
1
-
B Wales FWD2832
2
-
Subs
R McCrorie GLK21
-
C Ramsey DEF8
-
R McKenzie MID19
-
G Mackay-Steven  MID101
-
L Polworth MID262
3
-
K Vassell FWD2321
1
-
M Kennedy FWD1941
4
-
I Cameron FWD2111
-
M Watkins FWD3141
3
-
Dundee Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361659
S MurrayS MurrayJ MulliganS Murray
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Carson GLK221
2
-
R Astley DEF263
2
-
J Shaughnessy DEF1111
3
-
A Donnelly DEF111
1
-
Z Larkeche DEF2733
5
-
J Mulligan MID345
5
-
J Villarreal MID2412
4
-
L Cameron MID
-
S Tiffoney FWD3561
2
-
S Murray FWD38163
9
-
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD3352
3
-
Subs
J McCracken GLK161
1
-
C Robertson DEF21
4
-
I Samuels DEF3
1
-
O. Adewumi MID2845
2
-
C. Garza Cantu MID9
3
-
C Reilly MID61
-
F Robertson MID294
-
S Fraser MID5
-
M Sylla MID33
8
1
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