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Kilmarnock v Dundee : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 15:00 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Stuart Kettlewell's Kilmarnock side are on home soil in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, as Steven Pressley's Dundee travel to the Rugby Park. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Kilmarnock and Dundee will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Stuart Kettlewell or Steven Pressley has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Kilmarnock are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kilmarnock 43%	5/4	-
Draw 26%	12/5	-
Dundee 31%	2/1	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Kilmarnock 1-0 10%	8/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Dundee 1-0 8%	10/1	-
Dundee 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-0 7%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	-
Dundee 2-0 5%	16/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-1 4%	16/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Dundee 3-1 3%	22/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Dundee 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Dundee 3-0 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 4%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 46%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	9/2	-
Home/draw 69%	4/11	-
Away/draw 57%	8/13	-
Home/away 74%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	11/1	-
Home DNB 61%	8/13	-
Away DNB 49%	6/5	-
Kilmarnock win to nil 23%	10/3	-
Dundee win to nil 16%	9/2	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 23%	13/5	-
Kilmarnock / Dundee 3%	25/1	-
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Kilmarnock 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Dundee 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Dundee / Kilmarnock 4%	22/1	-
Dundee / Dundee 17%	15/4	-
Dundee / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Kilmarnock have conceded 57 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kilmarnock have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Dundee lay in 8th place on 32 points in the Premiership league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dundee have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Dundee have played 16 away games, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 10 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kilmarnock Dundee
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	31	28	66	l 0-3A	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	-	l 0-1A	l 4-0A	-	l 1-0A
2	Rangers	31	30	63	l 0-3A	l 3-1A	-	l 5-1A	l 0-3A	d 1-1F	-	l 3-0A
3	Celtic	31	22	61	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	l 2-3F	-	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	Apr 5	-
4	Motherwell	31	26	54	l 1-3A	d 2-2F	-	l 4-0A	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	-
5	Hibernian	31	13	48	l 1-3A	d 2-2A	-	Apr 4	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	d 3-3A	-
6	Falkirk	31	-1	43	l 0-1A	l 3-1A	-	l 5-1A	w 1-0F	l 2-1F	-	l 1-0A
7	Dundee Utd	31	-8	37	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	-	d 1-1A	l 0-2A	w 0-1F	d 2-2A	-
8	Dundee	31	-18	32	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	Apr 11	-	-	-	-	-
9	Aberdeen	31	-15	30	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	w 3-0F	-	l 1-3A	l 4-0A	-	w 2-3A
10	St. Mirren	31	-22	27	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	w 4-3A	-	w 3-1A	l 1-0A	-	d 0-00-0
11	Kilmarnock	31	-25	27	-	-	-	-	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	-	Apr 11
12	Livingston	31	-30	15	d 2-2F	d 1-1A	w 2-0F	-	w 3-2F	d 2-2F	d 2-2F	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Ross County
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
H	Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Celtic

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts	1 - 0	Dundee
Aberdeen	2 - 3	Dundee
Falkirk	1 - 0	Dundee
St. Mirren	0 - 0	Dundee
Rangers	3 - 0	Dundee
Dundee Utd	0 - 1	Dundee
Motherwell	1 - 0	Dundee
Livingston	2 - 2	Dundee
Celtic	1 - 0	Dundee
Hibernian	2 - 0	Dundee
Hearts	4 - 0	Dundee
Falkirk	2 - 1	Dundee
Aberdeen	4 - 0	Dundee
St. Mirren	1 - 0	Dundee
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
Rangers	1 - 1	Dundee
St. Johnstone	0 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
Hearts	0 - 1	Dundee
Hibernian	4 - 0	Dundee

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Dundee	0 - 1	Hearts
H	Dundee	2 - 2	Dundee Utd
H	Dundee	2 - 1	Motherwell
H	Dundee	3 - 3	Hibernian
A	Dundee	3 - 2	Aberdeen
H	Dundee	2 - 2	Livingston
A	Dundee	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Dundee	0 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Dundee	0 - 3	Rangers
H	Dundee	0 - 1	Hearts
A	Dundee	1 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Dundee	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
H	Dundee	1 - 0	Falkirk
A	Dundee	0 - 1	Motherwell
A	Dundee	2 - 2	Livingston
H	Dundee	1 - 3	Aberdeen
A	Dundee	0 - 1	Celtic
H	Dundee	3 - 1	St. Mirren
A	Dundee	0 - 2	Hibernian
H	Dundee	0 - 3	Rangers

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kilmarnock

Dundee

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 13

10 / 13

Clean sheets

3 / 13

4 / 13

KIL

DDE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	3 - 1
Kilmarnock	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 4	Dundee
	1 - 3	Dundee

Dundee

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 16

14 / 16

Clean sheets

2 / 16

1 / 16

KIL

DDE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dundee
Dundee	2 - 1
Dundee	3 - 2
	2 - 3	Kilmarnock
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Dundee	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Dundee	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Kilmarnock have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Premiership games. Their PG of 1.5 against Dundee on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Kilmarnock 11th	Dundee 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Kilmarnock will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Dundee will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-25 Dundee have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

better

KIL

DDE

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

KIL

DDE

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Kilmarnock v Dundee Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	8	4	9
R Deas	T John-Jules	G Kiltie	R Deas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Thompson DEF	30		1	4 1
R Deas DEF	29	1	1	9 -
B Anderson FWD	29	4	2	2 -
D Watson MID	28	3	1	8 1
L Polworth MID	27	1	1	3 -
B Lyons MID	27	1	1	8 -
G Kiltie FWD	27	4	4	4 -
L Mayo DEF	21			2 -
T John-Jules FWD	18	8	2	2 -
E. Brown DEF	17			1 -
T Lowery MID	15			2 1
J Thomson MID	14			2 1
R McKenzie FWD	14			-
G Stanger DEF	13	2		3 1
S Tiffoney FWD	12	1	1	-
M Watkins FWD	12	1	1	-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	11	1		1 -
K Roos GLK	9			-
J Brandon DEF	9			1 -
J Hugill FWD	8	2	2	1 -
M Stryjek GLK	7			-
Z Williams DEF	7			-
A Tshibola MID	7			1 -
F. Curtis FWD	7	1	1	-
D. Daniels FWD	7	2		2 -
K Magennis MID	3			1 -
N Clescenco FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	20	4	8
T John-Jules	T John-Jules	G Kiltie	G Kiltie

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T John-Jules FWD	8	20	2	3
B Anderson FWD	4	14	2	1
G Kiltie FWD	4	11	4	8
D Watson MID	3	11	1	2
G Stanger DEF	2	3
J Hugill FWD	2	5	2	2
D. Daniels FWD	2	3
R Deas DEF	1	5	1	1
L Polworth MID	1	4	1	3
B Lyons MID	1	9	1	2
S Tiffoney FWD	1	3	1	2
M Watkins FWD	1	4	1	1
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	1	4		1
F. Curtis FWD	1	7	1	3
D Thompson DEF		3	1	4
L Mayo DEF		3
E. Brown DEF		3		1
R McKenzie FWD				1
Z Williams DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1087	53	150
R Deas	D Watson	R Deas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Deas DEF	1087	37	150
B Lyons MID	827	35	136
L Polworth MID	772	39	80
D Thompson DEF	709	36	89
L Mayo DEF	704	27	78
D Watson MID	614	53	142
E. Brown DEF	558	18	71
G Kiltie FWD	417	27	98
T John-Jules FWD	330	12	92
G Stanger DEF	317	10	45
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	287	9	31
T Lowery MID	274	8	22
K Roos GLK	271		2
B Anderson FWD	263	9	63
M Stryjek GLK	201	1	4
J Thomson MID	197	22	29
J Brandon DEF	194	28	50
A Tshibola MID	178	12	22
F. Curtis FWD	149	18	43
Z Williams DEF	145	10	21
R McKenzie FWD	126	7	15
S Tiffoney FWD	114	7	28
J Hugill FWD	76	3	13
M Watkins FWD	60	4	24
D. Daniels FWD	54	7	17
K Magennis MID	8	1	2
N Clescenco FWD	3

Dundee Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	5	7	8
J McCracken	S Murray	C Congreve	E Hamilton

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J McCracken GLK	31			1 -
L. Graham DEF	30	2	1	3 -
R Astley DEF	30	2	1	2 -
D Wright MID	30	1	2	2 -
T. Yogane FWD	29	1	4	1 -
C Congreve MID	28	2	7	3 -
I Samuels DEF	27			1 -
E Hamilton MID	27	1		8 -
S Murray FWD	26	5		3 1
C Jones MID	25	1		2 -
Y Dhanda MID	23	2		4 1
A. Hay FWD	23	3	1	-
F Robertson MID	20	2		5 -
J. Westley FWD	17	2	1	2 -
C Reilly MID	16	1	1	2 -
B Koumetio DEF	14			-
C Robertson DEF	14	2	1	3 -
P Digby MID	14		1	1 -
J Cotterill MID	9	1		-
B Halliday DEF	5			-
S Wright FWD	4			1 -
J. Bevan FWD	3			-
A Donnelly DEF	2			-
F. Valenzuela López FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	7	10
S Murray	C Congreve	C Congreve	C Congreve

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Murray FWD	5	10		2
A. Hay FWD	3	7	1	1
L. Graham DEF	2	2	1	2
R Astley DEF	2	3	1	1
C Congreve MID	2	17	7	10
Y Dhanda MID	2	10		1
F Robertson MID	2	4		1
J. Westley FWD	2	5	1	1
C Robertson DEF	2	3	1	1
D Wright MID	1	5	2	2
T. Yogane FWD	1	3	4	3
E Hamilton MID	1	13		1
C Jones MID	1	4		2
C Reilly MID	1	2	1	1
J Cotterill MID	1	3
I Samuels DEF				1
B Koumetio DEF		3
P Digby MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1365	65	232
L. Graham	E Hamilton	L. Graham

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Graham DEF	1365	47	232
J McCracken GLK	1145	1	18
R Astley DEF	1116	48	171
D Wright MID	1022	41	119
E Hamilton MID	842	65	164
Y Dhanda MID	780	29	64
I Samuels DEF	604	29	77
C Robertson DEF	555	9	41
C Congreve MID	490	26	104
B Koumetio DEF	421	9	80
C Jones MID	411	23	57
F Robertson MID	351	24	51
T. Yogane FWD	347	15	130
S Murray FWD	220	18	48
P Digby MID	210	21	42
A. Hay FWD	198	9	112
B Halliday DEF	183	8	19
J Cotterill MID	163	8	21
J. Westley FWD	154	14	42
C Reilly MID	64	1	23
S Wright FWD	26		1
J. Bevan FWD	21		2
A Donnelly DEF	11		1
F. Valenzuela López FWD	1