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Livingston v Falkirk : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Feb, 19:45 BST, Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

Livingston are in Premiership action on Wednesday evening, as David Martindale attempts to outsmart John McGlynn and his Falkirk side at the Tony Macaroni Arena. All of the important stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Livingston and Falkirk will score at least two between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookies have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Falkirk coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Livingston
33%
17/10-
Draw
26%
9/4-
Falkirk
41%
31/20-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Falkirk 1-0
10%
15/2-
Livingston 1-0
9%
15/2-
Falkirk 2-1
9%
9/1-
Livingston 2-1
8%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2-
Falkirk 2-0
7%
12/1-
Livingston 2-0
5%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Falkirk 3-1
4%
20/1-
Falkirk 3-0
3%
25/1-
Livingston 3-1
3%
20/1-
Falkirk 3-2
3%
28/1-
Livingston 3-0
2%
25/1-
Livingston 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
46%
1/1-
Away 1st Goal
49%
20/21-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
9/2-
Home/draw
59%
1/2-
Away/draw
67%
4/9-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/2-
Home DNB
51%
5/6-
Away DNB
59%
5/6-
Livingston win to nil
17%
7/2-
Falkirk win to nil
22%
10/3-
Livingston / Livingston
19%
10/3-
Livingston / Falkirk
3%
28/1-
Livingston / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Livingston
14%
5/1-
Draw / Falkirk
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Falkirk / Livingston
3%
28/1-
Falkirk / Falkirk
19%
10/3-
Falkirk / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Livingston have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 1. Livingston have conceded 42 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Livingston have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Falkirk lay in 6th place on 30 points in the Premiership league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Falkirk have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Falkirk have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Livingston
Falkirk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts222550 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 4
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
-
Feb 21
2
Celtic221844 
l
 
2-4F
l
 
3-0A
-
Feb 11
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
-
Feb 1
3
Rangers221744 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 22
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
-
4
Motherwell221437 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
Jan 31
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
5
Hibernian221335 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
-
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
Jan 24
-
6
Falkirk22-530 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 4
-
-
-
-
-
7
Dundee Utd22-625 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
Feb 14
-
8
Aberdeen22-825 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
Jan 24
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
Mar 14
9
Dundee22-1522 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2A
-
Feb 14
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
Feb 11
-
10
St. Mirren22-1419 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
Feb 28
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 21
-
11
Kilmarnock22-1914 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
-
Mar 21
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 28
-
12
Livingston22-2011 
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 4
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Livingston 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Draw
7
Lost
13
Falkirk 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Livingston have beaten Falkirk in 3 consecutive home league meetings
12
Livingston have not lost to Falkirk in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Livingston since 2015
Livingston
Falkirk
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
LIV
3
D
3
FKK
1
League games at Falkirk since 2015
Falkirk
Livingston
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
LIV
4
D
2
FKK
1
Goal Statistics

Falkirk's defensive record is very strong, J. McGlynn's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Premiership matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Livingston makes sense in this context.

Livingston 12th Falkirk 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Livingston will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Falkirk will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Livingston’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Falkirk’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Livingston
PG (predicted goals)
Falkirk
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
3%
better
LIV
FKK
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score7
8
Scored first7
7
Goals scored22
23
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
LIV
FKK
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
15
Clean sheets1
7
Conceded first14
13
Goals conceded42
28
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against2
1.5
KickOff rating
+31%

Livingston v Falkirk Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Livingston Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22536
J PriorJ BokilaM TaitD Finlayson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Prior GLK22
1
-
S Pittman MID2132
4
-
D Finlayson DEF201
6
-
D Wilson DEF201
1
-
S May FWD202
4
-
L Smith MID1921
-
M Sylla MID191
3
-
T Yengi FWD192
1
-
M Tait MID183
6
-
J Bokila FWD185
2
-
M. Susoho MID17
6
-
R Muirhead FWD1721
5
-
C Montano MID1423
5
-
R McGowan DEF13
3
1
C McLennan FWD132
5
-
S. Adeniran Lawal MID12
2
-
J Brenet  DEF111
-
A Winter FWD10
-
A Montgomery DEF81
2
-
G Carey MID711
1
-
A Shinnie MID6
-
S Blaney DEF5
-
J. Robinson DEF1
-
Falkirk Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22446
S BainC MillerC MillerB Spencer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Bain GLK22
2
-
L Henderson DEF221
2
-
C Miller MID2244
4
-
B Spencer MID221
6
-
D Tait MID221
5
-
H. Cartwright MID201
3
-
A. Agyeman FWD20
-
E. Williams FWD1913
1
-
B Graham FWD174
2
-
F. Lissah DEF161
5
-
K. Wilson FWD1611
2
-
C Allan DEF151
3
-
K. Adams DEF151
2
-
S Arfield MID151
1
-
E Ross MID141
3
-
L Mccann DEF131
2
-
R MacIver FWD1031
-
T. Ogunsugi FWD9
-
S Hart DEF7
2
-
L Neilson DEF7
-
F. Yeats DEF61
-
G Oliver MID3
-
A Nesbitt MID3
-
N. Hogarth GLK1
-
C Donaldson DEF1
-