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Motherwell v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 17:45 BST, Fir Park, Motherwell

Jens Berthel Askou's Motherwell side are on home soil in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, as Jimmy Thelin's Aberdeen travel to the Fir Park. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are also given.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Motherwell and Aberdeen's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Motherwell 37%	31/20	-
Draw 26%	23/10	-
Aberdeen 36%	17/10	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Motherwell 1-0 10%	15/2	-
Aberdeen 1-0 9%	15/2	-
Motherwell 2-1 8%	9/1	-
Aberdeen 2-1 8%	9/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	17/2	-
Motherwell 2-0 6%	11/1	-
Aberdeen 2-0 6%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
Motherwell 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Aberdeen 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Motherwell 3-0 3%	25/1	-
Aberdeen 3-0 3%	25/1	-
Motherwell 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Aberdeen 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	1/1	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	20/21	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	1/1	-
No 1st Goal 5%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 47%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	9/2	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	-
Home/draw 64%	4/9	-
Away/draw 63%	1/2	-
Home/away 74%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	5/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	6/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	17/2	-
Home DNB 56%	5/6	-
Away DNB 55%	5/6	-
Motherwell win to nil 20%	10/3	-
Aberdeen win to nil 19%	7/2	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 19%	10/3	-
Motherwell / Aberdeen 3%	28/1	-
Motherwell / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Motherwell 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Aberdeen 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	-
Aberdeen / Motherwell 3%	28/1	-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen 19%	10/3	-
Aberdeen / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Motherwell Aberdeen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Celtic	5	7	13	Dec 30	Oct 5	-	Mar 14	l 0-2A	Dec 21	Feb 4	-
2	Hearts	5	6	13	Nov 29	d 3-3F	-	Apr 11	Nov 22	l 2-0A	-	Feb 28
3	Hibernian	4	1	6	Nov 1	Jan 10	Mar 21	-	Oct 26	Dec 30	Apr 11	-
4	St. Mirren	5	0	6	Jan 3	d 0-00-0	-	Feb 21	Dec 3	Oct 18	-	Apr 4
5	Dundee Utd	4	1	5	Oct 29	Dec 13	Feb 28	-	Dec 27	Feb 11	-	-
6	Motherwell	5	0	5	-	-	-	-	Nov 9	Sep 27	-	Feb 14
7	Livingston	5	-2	5	Dec 6	Oct 25	-	Jan 31	d 0-00-0	Nov 30	Jan 24	-
8	Falkirk	4	-2	4	Oct 18	Dec 3	Apr 4	-	l 0-1A	Jan 3	Mar 14	-
9	Kilmarnock	5	-1	4	d 2-2A	Nov 22	Jan 24	-	Dec 14	Oct 29	-	Jan 31
10	Rangers	5	-2	4	d 1-1A	Dec 27	Feb 11	-	Jan 10	Nov 1	-	Mar 21
11	Dundee	5	-3	3	Dec 20	d 1-1F	-	Feb 4	Oct 5	Dec 6	Feb 21	-
12	Aberdeen	4	-5	1	Sep 27	Nov 9	Feb 14	-	-	-	-	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Aberdeen have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Motherwell have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	3 - 2	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee
Motherwell	0 - 3	Ross County
Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 2	Rangers
Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	4 - 3	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	0 - 3	Celtic
Motherwell	0 - 1	Dundee
Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Mirren
Motherwell	3 - 1	Hearts
Motherwell	0 - 0	Ross County

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Dundee
H	Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	3 - 3	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Ross County
H	Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hearts
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee
H	Motherwell	3 - 2	St. Johnstone
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	1 - 4	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Rangers
H	Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Motherwell	0 - 3	Ross County
H	Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	St. Johnstone

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Dundee Utd	2 - 1	Aberdeen
Rangers	4 - 0	Aberdeen
St. Mirren	1 - 0	Aberdeen
Ross County	0 - 1	Aberdeen
St. Johnstone	0 - 0	Aberdeen
Celtic	5 - 1	Aberdeen
Dundee	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Hibernian	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Rangers	3 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Dundee Utd	1 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	4 - 0	Aberdeen
Hearts	1 - 1	Aberdeen
Hibernian	3 - 3	Aberdeen
St. Mirren	2 - 1	Aberdeen
Celtic	2 - 2	Aberdeen
Dundee	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Ross County	0 - 1	Aberdeen
St. Johnstone	1 - 2	Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Aberdeen	0 - 0	Livingston
H	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
H	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Celtic
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Hearts
A	Aberdeen	1 - 2	Dundee Utd
H	Aberdeen	1 - 5	Celtic
A	Aberdeen	0 - 4	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	0 - 1	St. Mirren
H	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hibernian
H	Aberdeen	2 - 2	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Ross County
H	Aberdeen	4 - 1	Motherwell
A	Aberdeen	0 - 0	St. Johnstone
H	Aberdeen	2 - 2	Dundee Utd
A	Aberdeen	1 - 5	Celtic
H	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Kilmarnock
A	Aberdeen	2 - 1	Dundee
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Hibernian
H	Aberdeen	0 - 3	St. Mirren
A	Aberdeen	0 - 3	Rangers

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 17

13 / 17

Clean sheets

4 / 17

6 / 17

MTW

ABD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Motherwell	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
	2 - 4	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Aberdeen
Motherwell	3 - 0
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
	1 - 3	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 21

16 / 21

Clean sheets

5 / 21

6 / 21

MTW

ABD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Aberdeen	4 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Aberdeen	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Motherwell
	0 - 2	Motherwell
Aberdeen	2 - 0
	0 - 3	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
Aberdeen	3 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Motherwell
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	7 - 2
Aberdeen	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Aberdeen of late. It has been 8 Premiership games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Motherwell.

	Motherwell 6th	Aberdeen 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Motherwell will score no more than 1 goal	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Aberdeen will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 Motherwell’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-31 Aberdeen have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

57%

better

MTW

ABD

view stats

Games scored	4		0
Failed to score	1		4
Scored first	2		0
Goals scored	7		0
Avg. goals scored	1.4		0
Avg. shots per game	9		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		0
Conversion rate for	16		0
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.2
KickOff rating		+57%

MTW

ABD

better

view stats

Games conceded	4		3
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	2		3
Goals conceded	7		5
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+7%

Motherwell v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	3	3	2
C Ward	E Longelo	E Just	E Watt

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Ward GLK	5			-
E Longelo DEF	5	3	1	1 -
S O'Donnell DEF	5			-
E Watt MID	5		1	2 -
L Fadinger MID	5			-
T Maswanhise FWD	5	3		-
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	5			-
E Just FWD	5		3	-
I Said FWD	5			-
K Balmer DEF	4			-
J. Koutroumbis DEF	4			-
P McGinn DEF	4			1 -
L Gordon DEF	3			1 -
C Slattery MID	3	1		1 -
O. Priestman MID	2			-
T Sparrow MID	2			-
R Charles-Cook FWD	2			-
D Osong FWD	2			-
C Hendry FWD	2			1 -
S Welsh DEF	1			-
A Halliday MID	1			-
L Ross FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	3	3
E Longelo	E Longelo	E Just	E Just

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Longelo DEF	3	4	1	2
T Maswanhise FWD	3	4
C Slattery MID	1	2		2
S O'Donnell DEF		1
E Watt MID			1
L Fadinger MID		1
A Stamatelopoulos FWD		3
E Just FWD			3	3
I Said FWD		3		1
P McGinn DEF		1
L Gordon DEF		1		1
T Sparrow MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
438	11	31
E Watt	E Watt	E Longelo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Watt MID	438	11	24
L Fadinger MID	298	11	27
P McGinn DEF	239	7	23
C Ward GLK	229	1	6
S O'Donnell DEF	229	6	14
E Longelo DEF	210	10	31
L Gordon DEF	182		5
E Just FWD	157	6	28
J. Koutroumbis DEF	129	2	9
C Slattery MID	109	4	15
I Said FWD	106	2	9
T Maswanhise FWD	69	5	21
S Welsh DEF	63		1
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	62	1	20
K Balmer DEF	60	2	4
T Sparrow MID	40	1	3
R Charles-Cook FWD	32		3
O. Priestman MID	28	2	2
C Hendry FWD	12	1	4
D Osong FWD	5		1
L Ross FWD	2		1
A Halliday MID	1

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	0	0	2
D Mitov			N Devlin

Players	Appserances	cards
D Mitov GLK	4	1 -
A Jensen DEF	4	-
A Aouchiche MID	4	1 -
G Shinnie MID	4	-
L Clarkson MID	4	-
D Polvara MID	4	-
T Keskinen FWD	4	1 -
N Devlin DEF	3	1 1
J Milne DEF	3	1 -
M Knoester DEF	3	1 -
S Nilsen MID	3	1 -
N. Milanovic FWD	3	1 -
K Yengi FWD	3	-
A. Dorrington DEF	2	-
A Palaversa MID	2	-
M Lazetić FWD	2	1 -
E. Gyamfi DEF	1	-
G Molloy DEF	1	-
S Armstrong MID	1	1 -
J Karlsson FWD	1	-
K Nisbet FWD	1	1 -
K Bilalovic FWD	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	3	0	1
	T Keskinen		L Clarkson

Players	shots on	big chances
A Jensen DEF	1
A Aouchiche MID	1
L Clarkson MID		1
D Polvara MID	1
T Keskinen FWD	3
N. Milanovic FWD	2	1
A. Dorrington DEF		1
A Palaversa MID	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
163	11	28
M Knoester	A Jensen	A Jensen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Knoester DEF	163	4	20
A Jensen DEF	153	11	28
D Mitov GLK	151		2
L Clarkson MID	114	6	10
G Shinnie MID	112	7	20
A. Dorrington DEF	106	2	5
J Milne DEF	105	1	8
S Nilsen MID	97	3	11
A Aouchiche MID	96	2	17
T Keskinen FWD	47	5	18
A Palaversa MID	45	2	7
N. Milanovic FWD	36	3	15
D Polvara MID	34	4	17
N Devlin DEF	34	3	7
K Yengi FWD	21	1	6
E. Gyamfi DEF	21	1	5
J Karlsson FWD	21		3
S Armstrong MID	17
K Nisbet FWD	13		2
G Molloy DEF	5	3	4
M Lazetić FWD	4		2
K Bilalovic FWD	3