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St. Mirren v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 29th Oct, 19:45 BST, The Smisa Stadium, Greenhill Road

Heart of Midlothian, led by manager Derek McInnes, visit Stephen Robinson and his St. Mirren side at The Smisa Stadium on Wednesday evening in the Premiership. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premiership match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Stephen Robinson and Derek McInnes to park the bus here, but we do not expect a flood of goals as St. Mirren and Hearts go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.73 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Mirren
20%
3.50-
Draw
26%
3.60-
Hearts
54%
2.05-
Hearts 1-0
15%
7.00-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
Hearts 2-0
11%
9.00-
Draw 0-0
10%
9.50-
Hearts 2-1
9%
9.00-
St. Mirren 1-0
8%
9.50-
Hearts 3-0
6%
17.00-
St. Mirren 2-1
5%
12.00-
Hearts 3-1
4%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00-
St. Mirren 2-0
3%
17.00-
Hearts 4-0
2%
41.00-
Hearts 3-2
2%
29.00-
Hearts 4-1
2%
41.00-
St. Mirren 3-1
1%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2.10-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.73-
Home 1st Goal
38%
2.30-
Away 1st Goal
55%
1.73-
No 1st Goal
7%
9.50-
BTTS - Yes
42%
1.95-
BTTS - No
58%
1.80-
BTTS - Home Win
7%
7.00-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4.50-
Home/draw
46%
1.73-
Away/draw
80%
1.29-
Home/away
74%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.36-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
3.20-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.25-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.08-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
17.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.06-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9.50-
Home DNB
38%
2.50-
Away DNB
73%
1.50-
St. Mirren win to nil
12%
6.00-
Hearts win to nil
36%
3.40-
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
14%
6.00-
St. Mirren / Hearts
3%
26.00-
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / St. Mirren
11%
7.50-
Draw / Hearts
17%
5.00-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00-
Hearts / St. Mirren
2%
34.00-
Hearts / Hearts
25%
3.25-
Hearts / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premiership table

St. Mirren have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league. St. Mirren are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won zero. St. Mirren have conceded 5 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Mirren have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 2 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Hearts lay in 1st place on 22 points in the Premiership league table having played 8 matches. Hearts are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 8 games. Hearts have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hearts have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Hearts have played 4 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Mirren
Hearts
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts81322 
Oct 29
Dec 13
Feb 4
-
-
-
-
-
2
Celtic8617 
Nov 22
l
 
1-0A
-
Apr 11
Oct 26
Dec 6
Jan 25
-
3
Hibernian8411 
Nov 8
d
 
1-1F
-
Feb 14
w
 
1-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
4
Dundee Utd8110 
Dec 6
Oct 25
-
Jan 24
Nov 9
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
5
Kilmarnock8010 
Dec 27
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 11
Dec 3
w
 
0-3F
-
Mar 14
6
Rangers8-19 
d
 
1-1F
Dec 30
Mar 14
-
Dec 20
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 14
7
St. Mirren8-29 
-
-
-
-
Dec 13
Oct 29
-
Feb 4
8
Falkirk8-49 
Jan 10
w
 
1-2F
-
Mar 21
w
 
3-0F
Dec 30
Feb 21
-
9
Dundee9-59 
w
 
1-0F
Nov 29
Jan 31
-
Nov 1
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
10
Motherwell808 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 3
Feb 21
-
d
 
3-3A
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
11
Aberdeen8-47 
l
 
0-1A
Dec 3
Apr 4
-
w
 
2-0F
Nov 23
Feb 28
-
12
Livingston9-86 
Dec 20
Nov 1
-
Jan 6
Jan 3
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
St. Mirren 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Hearts
Goals: Scored
13
12
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
MIR
4
D
4
HEA
3
League games at Hearts since 2018
Hearts
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
22
7
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
MIR
1
D
1
HEA
7
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, St. Mirren look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Heart of Midlothian haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Premiership games, and it could be a long evening for Stephen Robinson's men.

Heart of Midlothian have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Premiership matches. Their PG of 1.5 against St. Mirren on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

St. Mirren 7th Hearts 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of St. Mirren scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
St. Mirren have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+18
Hearts have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
St. Mirren
PG (predicted goals)
Hearts
0.8
1.5
Attack rating
MIR
HEA
58%
better
view stats
Games scored4
8
Failed to score4
0
Scored first4
6
Goals scored5
19
Avg. goals scored0.6
2.4
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for9
22
Avg. XG for0.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+58%
Defence rating
MIR
HEA
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
3
Clean sheets2
5
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded7
6
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
9
Conversion rate against9%
12%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.8
KickOff rating
+21%

St. Mirren v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8124
S GeorgeD JohnD JohnA Gogic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S George GLK8
2
-
J Richardson DEF8
1
1
D John DEF812
-
K Phillips MID81
3
-
A Gogic MID8
4
-
J Ayunga FWD81
-
M Mandron FWD812
-
M Freckleton DEF71
1
-
R King DEF6
1
-
M Fraser  DEF6
1
-
K Baccus MID6
3
-
R Idowu MID6
1
-
M O'Hara MID6
1
-
E. Mooney FWD5
-
S Tanser DEF4
-
D N'Lundulu FWD4
-
C McMenamin FWD4
-
T Sobowale DEF2
-
F Taylor MID2
-
L Donnelly MID2
1
-
M Dijksteel FWD2
-
Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8543
S FindlayC. Soares BragaA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Findlay DEF83
2
-
O McEntee DEF8
2
-
C Halkett  DEF83
3
-
H Milne DEF812
3
-
C Devlin MID8
2
-
C. Soares Braga FWD851
1
-
A Kyziridis FWD824
1
-
L Shankland FWD841
-
M Steinwender DEF7
-
B Baningime  MID6
1
-
B Spittal MID61
-
A Forrest FWD6
1
-
S Kingsley DEF5
-
E Kabangu FWD5
-
A Schwolow GLK4
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
F Kent DEF4
1
-
T Magnusson MID4
-
S. Kerjota FWD41
-
J. Wilson FWD3
-
C Borchgrevink DEF1
-
J McCart DEF1
-
Ageu MID1
-
P. Kabore FWD1
-