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St. Mirren v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 3rd Feb, 20:00 BST, The Smisa Stadium, Greenhill Road

Heart of Midlothian, led by manager Derek McInnes, visit Stephen Robinson and his St. Mirren side at The Smisa Stadium on Tuesday night in the Premiership. Premiership statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but it's all-but impossible to predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest St. Mirren and Hearts both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Hearts coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Mirren
21%
15/4
19%
-
Draw
27%
13/5
6%
-
Hearts
52%
7/10
8%
-
Hearts 1-0
15%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
-
Hearts 2-0
11%
13/2
12%
-
Draw 0-0
11%
17/2-
Hearts 2-1
9%
15/2-
St. Mirren 1-0
9%
11/1
9%
-
Hearts 3-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
St. Mirren 2-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Hearts 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
St. Mirren 2-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
Hearts 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Hearts 3-2
2%
28/1-
Hearts 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
St. Mirren 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
39%
7/4
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/7
6%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
42%
19/20-
BTTS - No
58%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
3/1
8%
-
Home/draw
48%
11/10
10%
-
Away/draw
79%
2/11
3%
-
Home/away
73%
2/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
17/2-
Home DNB
40%
5/2
17%
-
Away DNB
71%
2/7
5%
-
St. Mirren win to nil
13%
7/1
23%
-
Hearts win to nil
34%
13/8
12%
-
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
10%
15/2
21%
-
St. Mirren / Hearts
4%
22/1-
St. Mirren / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / St. Mirren
9%
17/2
12%
-
Draw / Hearts
19%
7/2
5%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Hearts / St. Mirren
2%
40/1
21%
-
Hearts / Hearts
31%
7/4
8%
-
Hearts / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

St. Mirren have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. St. Mirren have conceded 28 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Mirren have played 11 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Hearts lay in 1st place on 50 points in the Premiership league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hearts have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Hearts have played 11 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Mirren
Hearts
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts222550 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
Feb 3
-
-
-
-
-
2
Celtic221844 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
Apr 11
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
Jan 25
-
3
Rangers221744 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 14
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 15
4
Motherwell221437 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Feb 21
-
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
-
5
Hibernian221335 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
Feb 14
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
Feb 10
-
6
Falkirk22-530 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
Mar 21
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
Feb 21
-
7
Dundee Utd22-625 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
-
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
8
Aberdeen22-825 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Feb 28
-
9
Dundee22-1522 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
Jan 31
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 21
-
10
St. Mirren22-1419 
-
-
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
-
Feb 3
11
Kilmarnock22-1914 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
Mar 14
12
Livingston22-2011 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
Feb 28
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
St. Mirren 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Mirren0 - 2Falkirk
St. Mirren0 - 0Kilmarnock
St. Mirren1 - 0Livingston
St. Mirren2 - 0Dundee Utd
St. Mirren0 - 1Celtic
St. Mirren0 - 3Hibernian
St. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren0 - 1Aberdeen
St. Mirren1 - 0Dundee
St. Mirren1 - 1Rangers
St. Mirren0 - 0Motherwell
St. Mirren2 - 2Hibernian
St. Mirren1 - 0Aberdeen
St. Mirren2 - 2Rangers
St. Mirren3 - 2Ross County
St. Mirren5 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren2 - 5Celtic
St. Mirren0 - 0Hibernian
St. Mirren0 - 1St. Johnstone
St. Mirren0 - 1Dundee Utd
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Livingston
ASt. Mirren0 - 2Hearts
HSt. Mirren0 - 2Falkirk
ASt. Mirren0 - 2Motherwell
ASt. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
HSt. Mirren0 - 0Kilmarnock
HSt. Mirren1 - 0Livingston
HSt. Mirren2 - 0Dundee Utd
ASt. Mirren3 - 3Aberdeen
ASt. Mirren1 - 3Dundee
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Celtic
HSt. Mirren0 - 3Hibernian
HSt. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
ASt. Mirren1 - 3Dundee Utd
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Aberdeen
ASt. Mirren0 - 2Kilmarnock
HSt. Mirren1 - 0Dundee
ASt. Mirren2 - 1Falkirk
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Hibernian
HSt. Mirren1 - 1Rangers
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundee0 - 1Hearts
Hibernian3 - 2Hearts
Falkirk0 - 2Hearts
Celtic1 - 2Hearts
Motherwell0 - 0Hearts
Aberdeen1 - 0Hearts
St. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
Kilmarnock0 - 3Hearts
Rangers0 - 2Hearts
Livingston1 - 2Hearts
Dundee Utd2 - 3Hearts
Kilmarnock0 - 1Hearts
Ross County1 - 3Hearts
Motherwell0 - 0Hearts
Celtic3 - 0Hearts
Hibernian2 - 1Hearts
St. Johnstone1 - 2Hearts
Dundee0 - 6Hearts
Aberdeen0 - 0Hearts
Dundee Utd0 - 1Hearts
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHearts2 - 0St. Mirren
AHearts1 - 0Dundee
HHearts1 - 0Livingston
AHearts2 - 3Hibernian
HHearts2 - 1Rangers
AHearts2 - 0Falkirk
AHearts2 - 1Celtic
HHearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
AHearts0 - 0Motherwell
AHearts0 - 1Aberdeen
HHearts1 - 1Dundee Utd
HHearts4 - 0Dundee
AHearts2 - 2St. Mirren
HHearts3 - 1Celtic
AHearts3 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts1 - 0Hibernian
HHearts3 - 0Falkirk
AHearts2 - 0Rangers
AHearts2 - 1Livingston
HHearts3 - 3Motherwell
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Hearts
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
10 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
2 / 12
MIR
4
D
5
HEA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Mirren
Draw2 - 2Draw
St. Mirren2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Hearts
1 - 2Hearts
St. Mirren1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Mirren2 - 0
League games at Hearts since 2018
Hearts
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
24
7
Games: Scored
9 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
1 / 10
MIR
1
D
1
HEA
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts3 - 1
Hearts4 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
0 - 2St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts4 - 1
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, St. Mirren look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Heart of Midlothian have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Premiership games, and it could be a long night for S. Robinson's men.

St. Mirren 10th Hearts 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of St. Mirren scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
St. Mirren have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
Hearts have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
St. Mirren
PG (predicted goals)
Hearts
0.8
1.4
Attack rating
MIR
HEA
49%
better
view stats
Games scored12
20
Failed to score10
2
Scored first10
16
Goals scored17
42
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for9
18
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
MIR
HEA
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
11
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first10
5
Goals conceded31
17
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
11%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+39%

St. Mirren v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22448
S GeorgeM MandronD JohnA Gogic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S George GLK221
3
-
K Phillips MID221
6
-
M Mandron FWD2242
1
-
M Freckleton DEF2121
4
-
D John DEF2114
1
-
J Richardson DEF20
1
1
M Fraser  DEF201
4
-
R King DEF191
4
-
A Gogic DEF191
7
1
J Ayunga FWD182
-
C McMenamin FWD1811
-
D N'Lundulu FWD182
2
-
R Idowu MID14
4
-
K Baccus MID131
5
-
S Tanser DEF111
-
E. Mooney FWD11
-
M O'Hara MID10
1
-
F Taylor MID9
2
-
L Donnelly MID9
1
-
M Dijksteel FWD7
-
T Sobowale DEF4
-
R Mullen GLK1
-
J. Calvin FWD1
-
Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221167
S FindlayL ShanklandA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Findlay DEF224
3
-
C Devlin MID221
5
-
A Kyziridis FWD2236
5
-
C. Soares Braga FWD2292
2
-
L Shankland FWD21112
1
-
H Milne DEF2014
6
-
O McEntee DEF1912
3
-
T Magnusson MID192
2
-
M Steinwender DEF18
2
-
C Halkett  DEF184
7
-
A Schwolow GLK17
1
S Kingsley DEF141
-
B Baningime  MID14
2
1
B Spittal MID122
-
F Kent DEF11
1
-
E Kabangu FWD11
-
A Forrest FWD10
1
-
P. Kabore FWD1021
-
S. Kerjota FWD101
-
J McCart DEF8
-
C Borchgrevink DEF5
1
-
J. Wilson FWD5
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
Ageu MID3
-
C Gordon  GLK2
-