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Ceuta v Castellon : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th May, 13:00 BST, Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta

Pablo Hernández Domínguez pays counterpart José Juan Romero Gil a visit on Saturday afternoon in the La Liga 2, as their Castellon and Ceuta charges go head to head at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Statistics drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Ceuta may feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Castellon. The bookies don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's the bet we'd recommend you go with.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Castellon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ceuta 36%	-	27/10
Draw 24%	-	13/5
Castellon 40%	-	3/4
Draw 1-1 11%	-	6/1
Castellon 2-1 9%	-	13/2
Ceuta 2-1 8%	-	10/1
Castellon 1-0 7%	-	15/2
Ceuta 1-0 7%	-	11/1
Draw 2-2 7%	-	9/1
Castellon 2-0 6%	-	8/1
Ceuta 2-0 5%	-	16/1
Castellon 3-1 5%	-	10/1
Draw 0-0 4%	-	11/1
Ceuta 3-1 4%	-	20/1
Castellon 3-2 4%	-	14/1
Ceuta 3-2 3%	-	20/1
Castellon 3-0 3%	-	12/1
Ceuta 3-0 3%	-	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 61%	-	11/20
Under 2.5 Goals 39%	-	6/5
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	29/20
Away 1st Goal 49%	-	8/13
No 1st Goal 2%	-	11/1
BTTS - Yes 63%	-	4/7
BTTS - No 37%	-	5/4
BTTS - Home Win 21%	-	5/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 23%	-	21/10
Home/draw 60%	-	19/20
Away/draw 64%	-	1/4
Home/away 76%	-	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	-	1/6
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	-	16/5
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	-	13/10
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	-	1/2
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	-	3/1
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	-	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	-	6/1
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	-	1/18
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1/80
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	10/1
Home DNB 53%	-	19/10
Away DNB 57%	-	4/11
Ceuta win to nil 16%	-	-
Castellon win to nil 18%	-	-
Ceuta / Ceuta 13%	-	19/4
Ceuta / Castellon 5%	-	16/1
Ceuta / Draw 6%	-	11/1
Draw / Ceuta 9%	-	15/2
Draw / Castellon 15%	-	4/1
Draw / Draw 13%	-	5/1
Castellon / Ceuta 3%	-	25/1
Castellon / Castellon 29%	-	17/10
Castellon / Draw 6%	-	11/1

Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

Ceuta have played 38 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Ceuta have conceded 33 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ceuta have played 18 games at home, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Castellon lay in 5th place on 64 points in the La Liga 2 league table having played 38 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 9 and losing 7 games. They have scored 54 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Castellon have conceded 39 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Castellon have played 19 away games, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Ceuta Castellon
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	R.Santander	38	22	6	10	22	72	d 0-00-0	l 4-1A	l 1-3A	l 3-1A
2	Deportivo	38	19	11	8	18	68	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	w 1-3A
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	18	67	w 3-2F	l 4-2A	w 2-0F	l 1-0A
4	Las Palmas	38	18	12	8	19	66	d 1-1A	l 4-0A	w 1-0F	d 1-1A
5	Castellon	38	18	10	10	17	64	May 9	d 3-3F	-	-
6	Malaga	38	18	9	11	17	63	May 16	l 2-1F	w 2-1A	w 2-3A
7	Burgos	38	17	11	10	11	62	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	11	61	w 1-0F	l 3-0A	May 31	d 0-00-0
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	-2	57	w 3-2F	l 2-0A	l 1-2A	l 2-1F
10	FC Andorra	38	15	10	13	8	55	w 2-1F	May 24	w 2-0F	w 1-3F
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	-12	54	-	-	d 3-3A	May 9
12	S.Gijon	38	15	7	16	2	52	l 0-1A	w 1-2F	w 3-1F	l 4-1F
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	-2	50	May 31	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	d 1-1A
14	Granada	38	12	12	14	-1	48	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	w 3-2F	d 0-00-0
15	Valladolid	38	11	10	17	-9	43	l 0-3A	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	w 0-4F
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	-5	42	l 1-2A	l 5-2F	w 2-0F	w 0-1F
17	R.Sociedad B	38	11	9	18	-8	42	d 0-00-0	w 1-3A	w 5-4F	l 4-2A
18	Cadiz	38	10	9	19	-19	39	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0	May 15	l 2-0A
19	Huesca	38	9	9	20	-20	36	w 2-1F	l 2-0A	w 4-1F	May 24
20	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	-20	36	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	w 3-1F	d 2-2F
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	-18	35	w 1-0F	d 2-2F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	-27	33	w 3-1A	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	w 1-3F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 18

Conceded

12 / 18

Clean sheets

6 / 18

Failed to score

4 / 18

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Santander
Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Sociedad B
Ceuta	2 - 1	Cadiz
Ceuta	1 - 2	Deportivo
Ceuta	3 - 2	Cordoba
Ceuta	2 - 1	Granada
Ceuta	3 - 1	Cultural Leonesa
Ceuta	0 - 3	Valladolid
Ceuta	2 - 1	FC Andorra
Ceuta	1 - 1	Las Palmas
Ceuta	1 - 0	Burgos
Ceuta	1 - 1	Almeria
Ceuta	1 - 2	Leganes
Ceuta	2 - 0	Mirandes
Ceuta	1 - 0	Eibar
Ceuta	1 - 0	Zaragoza
Ceuta	2 - 1	Huesca
Ceuta	0 - 1	S.Gijon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ceuta	2 - 1	S.Gijon
H	Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Santander
A	Ceuta	2 - 2	Zaragoza
H	Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Sociedad B
A	Ceuta	0 - 3	Eibar
A	Ceuta	1 - 1	Burgos
H	Ceuta	2 - 1	Cadiz
A	Ceuta	2 - 5	Leganes
H	Ceuta	1 - 2	Deportivo
A	Ceuta	0 - 4	Las Palmas
A	Ceuta	1 - 0	Mirandes
H	Ceuta	3 - 2	Cordoba
H	Ceuta	2 - 1	Granada
A	Ceuta	0 - 2	Huesca
A	Ceuta	2 - 4	Almeria
H	Ceuta	3 - 1	Cultural Leonesa
H	Ceuta	0 - 3	Valladolid
A	Ceuta	1 - 2	Malaga
H	Ceuta	2 - 1	FC Andorra
A	Ceuta	3 - 1	R.Sociedad B

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Malaga	2 - 3	Castellon
Mirandes	2 - 2	Castellon
Albacete	1 - 1	Castellon
S.Gijon	4 - 1	Castellon
R.Sociedad B	4 - 2	Castellon
Las Palmas	1 - 1	Castellon
Valladolid	0 - 4	Castellon
Zaragoza	0 - 0	Castellon
Granada	0 - 0	Castellon
Cadiz	2 - 0	Castellon
Deportivo	1 - 3	Castellon
FC Andorra	1 - 3	Castellon
Burgos	0 - 0	Castellon
Almeria	1 - 0	Castellon
Eibar	0 - 0	Castellon
Leganes	0 - 1	Castellon
Cultural Leonesa	1 - 3	Castellon
Cordoba	2 - 1	Castellon
R.Santander	3 - 1	Castellon
Granada	2 - 1	Castellon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Castellon	1 - 2	Cordoba
A	Castellon	3 - 2	Malaga
H	Castellon	3 - 1	Burgos
A	Castellon	2 - 2	Mirandes
H	Castellon	3 - 2	Granada
H	Castellon	2 - 0	Almeria
A	Castellon	1 - 1	Albacete
H	Castellon	1 - 1	Cultural Leonesa
A	Castellon	1 - 4	S.Gijon
A	Castellon	2 - 4	R.Sociedad B
H	Castellon	1 - 3	R.Santander
A	Castellon	1 - 1	Las Palmas
H	Castellon	2 - 0	Deportivo
A	Castellon	4 - 0	Valladolid
H	Castellon	2 - 0	FC Andorra
A	Castellon	0 - 0	Zaragoza
H	Castellon	2 - 0	Leganes
A	Castellon	0 - 0	Granada
H	Castellon	4 - 1	Huesca
A	Castellon	0 - 2	Cadiz

Goal Statistics

Castellon have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive La Liga 2 outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Ceuta on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Ceuta 11th	Castellon 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Ceuta will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Castellon will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
18 home / away league games	-7 Ceuta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+5 Castellon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season

CAS

20%

better

view stats

Games scored	26		30
Failed to score	11		8
Scored first	18		20
Goals scored	42		65
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.7
Avg. shots per game	7		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		16
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+20%

CAS

better

view stats

Games conceded	27		27
Clean sheets	10		11
Conceded first	15		14
Goals conceded	56		48
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		17%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+8%

Ceuta v Castellon La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceuta La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	12	4	10
C Hernández	M. Fernández Sánchez	Kuki	M. Fernández Sánchez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Hernández DEF	36	1	1	6 -
Y Bodiger MID	35	1		4 -
A. Ahmed Ahmed MID	35		2	5 1
Kuki MID	34	6	4	4 -
Y. Didi MID	34	2	2	8 -
J Matos DEF	33	4	2	8 -
K. Kone FWD	33	2	4	4 -
D González DEF	32			1 -
M. Fernández Sánchez FWD	32	12	2	9 1
G Vallejo GLK	30			-
K Fuente FWD	29	3	1	2 -
Jamelli MID	25	5	2	10 -
A. Bassinga MID	23	1		5 -
Anuar FWD	23		2	6 1
S Sánchez FWD	20		2	3 -
Redru DEF	18		1	1 -
C Rodríguez MID	15	1	2	1 -
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF	13	1		2 -
G. Almenara Hernández DEF	11			1 -
Y Cantero DEF	9			2 2
P. López Galisteo GLK	8			2 -
S Obeng FWD	8	1		4 -
Juanto FWD	8			1 -
M. Sánchez García DEF	4	1		-
M Vallejo FWD	4			-
Andy MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	28	4	7
M. Fernández Sánchez	M. Fernández Sánchez	Kuki	K. Kone

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M. Fernández Sánchez FWD	12	28	2	5
Kuki MID	6	15	4	6
Jamelli MID	5	9	2	5
J Matos DEF	4	13	2	2
K Fuente FWD	3	12	1	2
Y. Didi MID	2	6	2	4
K. Kone FWD	2	7	4	7
C Hernández DEF	1	10	1
Y Bodiger MID	1	4
A. Bassinga MID	1	4		1
C Rodríguez MID	1	3	2	6
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF	1	1
S Obeng FWD	1	2
M. Sánchez García DEF	1	2
A. Ahmed Ahmed MID		2	2	1
D González DEF		4		1
Anuar FWD		4	2	2
S Sánchez FWD		2	2	2
Redru DEF		2	1
Juanto FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1521	51	201
Y. Didi	J Matos	C Hernández

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y. Didi MID	1521	48	107
D González DEF	1435	44	98
C Hernández DEF	1095	50	201
Jamelli MID	1088	35	83
Y Bodiger MID	986	48	111
G Vallejo GLK	948	2	18
A. Ahmed Ahmed MID	840	40	93
Kuki MID	830	33	138
J Matos DEF	800	51	142
K. Kone FWD	763	44	163
Anuar FWD	583	33	106
M. Fernández Sánchez FWD	462	25	126
A. Bassinga MID	327	12	41
Y Cantero DEF	301	8	12
Redru DEF	300	13	27
C Rodríguez MID	292	9	19
P. López Galisteo GLK	288		2
K Fuente FWD	267	23	90
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF	193	20	37
G. Almenara Hernández DEF	170	11	20
S Sánchez FWD	154	8	18
Juanto FWD	45	1	7
S Obeng FWD	36	1	13
Andy MID	34		2
M. Sánchez García DEF	28	1	4
M Vallejo FWD	16		1

Castellon La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	13	9	12
A. Calatrava Torrado	A. Calatrava Torrado	B. Kibambe Cipenga	A Jiménez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A. Calatrava Torrado MID	37	13	7	5 -
D Barri MID	35	4	3	8 -
R Matthys GLK	34		1	2 -
J Mellot DEF	34		1	5 3
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia MID	33	2	1	7 1
L. Alcázar Moreno DEF	32	1	2	6 1
A Jiménez DEF	32	1		10 2
O Camara FWD	31	11	2	5 -
M Doué MID	29	3		9 1
I. Suero Fernández MID	29	5	6	4 -
A Jakobsen FWD	29	4	3	2 -
P. Santiago López FWD	29	3	5	3 -
F Brignani DEF	28	5		8 -
A Mabil FWD	28	3	6	3 -
B. Kibambe Cipenga FWD	26	5	9	1 -
A Sienra DEF	22	1		4 1
S Ruiz DEF	21			5 -
R. Pompeu da Silva MID	14	1	2	5 1
M Conde DEF	13		1	3 1
K. Mamah FWD	13	1		1 -
N Markanich FWD	11			-
T Nipoti FWD	9			3 -
A Abedzadeh GLK	4			-
S. Sanchís Hernández FWD	3			-
D Aurélio FWD	3	1		1 -
Óscar Gil DEF	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	42	9	20
A. Calatrava Torrado	A. Calatrava Torrado	B. Kibambe Cipenga	A. Calatrava Torrado

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Calatrava Torrado MID	13	42	7	20
O Camara FWD	11	26	2	5
I. Suero Fernández MID	5	14	6	9
F Brignani DEF	5	9		1
B. Kibambe Cipenga FWD	5	19	9	9
D Barri MID	4	6	3	2
A Jakobsen FWD	4	12	3	6
M Doué MID	3	5		1
P. Santiago López FWD	3	11	5	10
A Mabil FWD	3	14	6	11
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia MID	2	6	1	5
L. Alcázar Moreno DEF	1	5	2	5
A Jiménez DEF	1	7		4
A Sienra DEF	1	2		1
R. Pompeu da Silva MID	1	3	2	1
K. Mamah FWD	1	3
D Aurélio FWD	1	1		1
R Matthys GLK			1	1
J Mellot DEF		1	1	5
S Ruiz DEF		2
M Conde DEF		3	1	1
N Markanich FWD		2
T Nipoti FWD		2
S. Sanchís Hernández FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1841	79	227
A Jiménez	D Barri	A Jiménez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Jiménez DEF	1841	69	227
J Mellot DEF	1801	59	161
D Barri MID	1388	79	154
A. Calatrava Torrado MID	1241	68	193
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia MID	1178	66	178
R Matthys GLK	1110	2	12
L. Alcázar Moreno DEF	936	46	105
A Sienra DEF	827	37	86
F Brignani DEF	784	35	97
S Ruiz DEF	636	14	35
A Mabil FWD	594	31	72
B. Kibambe Cipenga FWD	565	45	144
P. Santiago López FWD	500	18	69
I. Suero Fernández MID	499	16	48
M Doué MID	373	24	66
R. Pompeu da Silva MID	368	14	51
O Camara FWD	346	19	87
A Jakobsen FWD	308	20	78
K. Mamah FWD	181	10	26
M Conde DEF	152	13	24
A Abedzadeh GLK	137		2
T Nipoti FWD	67	3	21
Óscar Gil DEF	55	2	7
N Markanich FWD	39	3	13
S. Sanchís Hernández FWD	22	2	5
D Aurélio FWD	9	1	5