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Malaga v Sporting de Gijon : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

La Rosaleda, Málaga

It's an away trip for Borja Jiménez Sáez's Sporting de Gijon side on Saturday night, as they travel to the La Rosaleda for a La Liga 2 tie with Sergio Pellicer García's Malaga. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Malaga's next match is v Ceuta at 15:15 on Saturday 16th May
Sporting de Gijon's next match is v Zaragoza at 20:15 on Sunday 17th May
The last Spanish La Liga 2 meeting between Malaga and S.Gijon was on Saturday 9th May 2026
Spanish La Liga 2
May 9th 2026
Malaga 2
1 S.Gijon
 
C. Ruiz Rubio 54'11' J. Dubasin
J. Muñoz Benavides 86'
 
MAL
SPG
Shots On
7
2
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
9
1
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
4
11
Yellow/red cards
1/1
5/1
 
MalagaS.Gijon
 
A. Herrero Peinador
C. Puga Medina
E. Galilea Azaceta (R. Enríquez Rodríguez 46')
D. Brašanac (C. Ruiz Rubio 35')
C. Dotor Gonzalez
D. Larrubia Romano (H. Abaida 70')
J. Muñoz Benavidesfootball icon
D. Murillo Dominguez
I. Merino Rodríguez (R. Rodríguez Ruiz 83')
R. Garrido Hierro
A. Niño Heredia (A. Ochoa Moloney 69')
O. Yáñez Alabart
(M. Conde Piñeiro 90') G. Rosas Alonso
L. Perrin
(K. Vázquez Comesaña 76') D. Sánchez Pérez
P. Vázquez Pérez
C. Gelabert Pina
(P. García Carrasco 90') A. Corredera Alardi
(J. Otero Tovar 59') G. Campos Ansó Fernández
football iconJ. Dubasin
(M. Rodríguez Paz 76') A. Cuenca Cejudo
J. Smith

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% probability of Malaga and S.Gijon serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this La Liga 2 clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Malaga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Malaga
56%
4/71/40
Draw
22%
16/59/1
S.Gijon
22%
15/455/1
Draw 1-1
10%
7/18/15
Malaga 2-1
10%
15/21/3
Malaga 1-0
9%
13/25/1
Malaga 2-0
9%
7/16/1
Malaga 3-1
6%
12/14/1
Malaga 3-0
6%
11/110/1
S.Gijon 2-1
6%
14/115/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/17/1
S.Gijon 1-0
5%
14/117/5
Draw 0-0
5%
12/18/1
Malaga 3-2
4%
22/122/1
Malaga 4-1
3%
22/122/1
S.Gijon 2-0
3%
25/17/1
Malaga 4-0
3%
22/116/1
S.Gijon 3-1
2%
40/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/513/10
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
1/18/15
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/151/2
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/82/1
No 1st Goal
3%
12/18/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/54/11
BTTS - No
42%
10/1119/10
BTTS - Home Win
29%
12/51/16
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/17/1
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8/145/1
Home/draw
78%
2/111/1000
Away/draw
44%
5/410/1
Home/away
78%
2/91/33
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/41/6
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
11/410/3
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2/14/1
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/111/8
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
9/225/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/71/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/166/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/251/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/115/2
Home DNB
72%
1/41/1000
Away DNB
37%
11/445/1
Malaga win to nil
28%
7/4-
S.Gijon win to nil
10%
8/1-
Malaga / Malaga
33%
6/428/1
Malaga / S.Gijon
3%
33/11/50
Malaga / Draw
6%
14/190/1
Draw / Malaga
18%
7/213/2
Draw / S.Gijon
8%
10/145/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/220/1
S.Gijon / Malaga
4%
20/15/4
S.Gijon / S.Gijon
10%
15/214/5
S.Gijon / Draw
5%
16/113/5
Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

Malaga have played 38 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the La Liga 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 8 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Malaga have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 51 goals.

Home League Performance

Malaga have played 19 games at home winning 11, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 39 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

S.Gijon are in 13th position in the La Liga 2 on 52 points having played 38 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 4. S.Gijon have conceded 35 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Malaga
S.Gijon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
R.Santander39236102375 
May 24
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
2
Almeria39218102071 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
May 24
l
 
2-1F
3
Deportivo39201181971 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Malaga39199111866 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1F
5
Las Palmas39181291566 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
6
Castellon391811101765 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1A
l
 
3-1A
7
Eibar391810111264 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Burgos391712101163 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
9
Cordoba3917913-160 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2F
10
FC Andorra391610131258 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Ceuta39151014-1255 
w
 
2-1A
May 16
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
12
Albacete39141114-153 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
l
 
3-4F
d
 
1-1A
13
S.Gijon3915717152 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
-
-
14
Granada39121215-248 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 31
15
Valladolid39121017-746 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-3F
16
Leganes39101217-642 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
17
R.Sociedad B3811918-842 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Cadiz3910920-2039 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
19
Huesca389920-2036 
w
 
5-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
20
Mirandes399921-2336 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
21
Zaragoza3981120-2035 
d
 
1-1F
May 31
w
 
1-0F
May 17
22
Cultural Leonesa398922-2833 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Malaga 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
S.Gijon 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
1
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Malaga have beaten S.Gijon in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Malaga have not lost to S.Gijon in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Malaga since 2016
Malaga
S.Gijon
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
MAL
4
D
4
League games at S.Gijon since 2015
S.Gijon
Malaga
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
MAL
3
D
2
SPG
4
Goal Statistics

Malaga have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive La Liga 2 games. Their PG of 1.9 against Sporting de Gijon on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Malaga 4th S.Gijon 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Malaga will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that S.Gijon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Malaga have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-4
S.Gijon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season
Malaga
PG (predicted goals)
S.Gijon
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
14%
better
MAL
SPG
view stats
Games scored32
30
Failed to score6
8
Scored first23
18
Goals scored66
51
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
3%
better
MAL
SPG
view stats
Games conceded28
27
Clean sheets10
11
Conceded first14
18
Goals conceded49
49
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+3%

Malaga v S.Gijon La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Malaga La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3920811
A HerreroC. Ruiz RubioJ MuñozD Murillo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK39
-
C. Puga Medina DEF281
8
-
D Murillo DEF342
10
1
E Galilea DEF212
6
1
R. Garrido Hierro DEF251
3
-
D Larrubia MID3694
4
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID312
6
-
D Brasanac MID101
1
J Muñoz MID3548
4
-
A. Niño Heredia FWD28111
-
C Dotor FWD3313
6
1
Subs
C López GLK
-
J Gabilondo DEF9
2
-
V García DEF193
5
1
F Montero DEF241
7
1
Ángel Recio DEF8
1
-
R Enríquez MID51
1
A. Ochoa Moloney MID2114
4
-
R Rodríguez MID3552
5
-
H Abaida FWD91
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD36204
3
-
E Jauregi FWD234
1
-
J Lobete FWD2723
3
-
S.Gijon La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38161212
C GelabertJ DubasinJ OteroÀlex Corredera
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Yáñez GLK37
1
-
G Rosas DEF3828
5
1
L Perrin DEF211
7
-
P Vázquez DEF343
6
-
A. Cuenca Cejudo DEF51
2
-
D Sánchez DEF362
4
-
C Gelabert MID3883
6
-
Àlex Corredera MID362
11
1
J Smith MID31
8
-
G Campos MID3352
3
-
J Dubasin FWD35163
4
2
Subs
C Sanchez GLK3
-
?. Venteo Plaza GLK
-
P García DEF241
2
-
K Vázquez DEF14
1
1
E Curbelo DEF20
3
-
M. Rodríguez Paz MID231
2
-
J Bernal MID14
-
A. Coundoul FWD14
1
-
J Otero FWD331312
5
1
Álex Oyón FWD1
-
M. Conde Piñeiro FWD6
-