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Malaga v Sporting de Gijon : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th May, 20:00 BST, La Rosaleda, Málaga

Saturday night at the La Rosaleda, and it’s a La Liga 2 showdown between Malaga and Sporting de Gijon. Sergio Pellicer García and Borja Jiménez Sáez going all-out to claim victory. Statistics for our tip of over 2.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As followers of S.Gijon ready themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After reviewing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a bet worth taking, as both sides know they way to goal and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Malaga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Malaga
56%
-13/20
Draw
22%
-13/5
S.Gijon
23%
-10/3
Draw 1-1
10%
-6/1
Malaga 2-1
10%
-13/2
Malaga 1-0
8%
-6/1
Malaga 2-0
8%
-13/2
Malaga 3-1
6%
-10/1
S.Gijon 2-1
6%
-11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-12/1
Malaga 3-0
5%
-10/1
S.Gijon 1-0
5%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
4%
-9/1
Malaga 3-2
4%
-18/1
Malaga 4-1
3%
-18/1
S.Gijon 2-0
3%
-16/1
Malaga 4-0
3%
-18/1
S.Gijon 3-1
2%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
-3/4
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
-10/11
Home 1st Goal
54%
-8/15
Away 1st Goal
43%
-9/5
No 1st Goal
3%
-9/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
-4/5
BTTS - No
40%
-10/11
BTTS - Home Win
30%
-12/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
-19/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
-13/2
Home/draw
77%
-2/11
Away/draw
44%
-11/10
Home/away
78%
-1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
-2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
-5/2
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
-9/5
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
-7/20
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
-4/1
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
-1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
-17/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
-1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-8/1
Home DNB
71%
-2/7
Away DNB
38%
-12/5
Malaga win to nil
26%
--
S.Gijon win to nil
10%
--
Malaga / Malaga
31%
-6/4
Malaga / S.Gijon
3%
-28/1
Malaga / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Malaga
17%
-7/2
Draw / S.Gijon
8%
-17/2
Draw / Draw
14%
-9/2
S.Gijon / Malaga
5%
-16/1
S.Gijon / S.Gijon
11%
-6/1
S.Gijon / Draw
6%
-12/1
Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

Malaga have played 38 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the La Liga 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 8 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Malaga have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 51 goals.

Home League Performance

Malaga have played 19 games at home winning 11, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 39 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

S.Gijon are in 12th position in the La Liga 2 on 52 points having played 38 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 4. S.Gijon have conceded 30 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Malaga
S.Gijon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
R.Santander38226102272 
May 24
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
2
Deportivo38191181868 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
3
Almeria37207101867 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
May 24
l
 
2-1F
4
Las Palmas38181281966 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
5
Castellon381810101764 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1A
l
 
3-1A
6
Malaga38189111763 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
May 9
7
Burgos381711101162 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
8
Eibar381710111161 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Cordoba3816913-257 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2F
10
FC Andorra38151013855 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Ceuta3815914-1254 
w
 
2-1A
May 16
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
12
S.Gijon3815716252 
May 9
w
 
1-3F
-
-
13
Albacete38131114-250 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
l
 
3-4F
d
 
1-1A
14
Granada38121214-148 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 31
15
Valladolid38111017-943 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-3F
16
Leganes38101216-542 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
17
R.Sociedad B3811918-842 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Cadiz3810919-1939 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
19
Huesca389920-2036 
w
 
5-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
20
Mirandes379919-2036 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
21
Zaragoza3881119-1835 
d
 
1-1F
May 31
w
 
1-0F
May 17
22
Cultural Leonesa388921-2733 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
S.Gijon have lost 5 consecutive away league games
7
S.Gijon have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Malaga 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
S.Gijon 12TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
1
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Malaga have beaten S.Gijon in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Malaga have not lost to S.Gijon in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Malaga since 2016
Malaga
S.Gijon
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
MAL
4
D
4
League games at S.Gijon since 2015
S.Gijon
Malaga
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
MAL
3
D
2
SPG
4
Goal Statistics

Malaga's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive La Liga 2 outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Malaga 6th S.Gijon 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Malaga will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that S.Gijon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Malaga have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-4
S.Gijon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season
Malaga
PG (predicted goals)
S.Gijon
2
1.2
Attack rating
17%
better
MAL
SPG
view stats
Games scored32
29
Failed to score6
8
Scored first23
18
Goals scored66
50
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
MAL
SPG
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
26
Clean sheets10
11
Conceded first14
17
Goals conceded49
47
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+2%

Malaga v S.Gijon La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Malaga La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3819810
A HerreroC. Ruiz RubioJ MuñozD Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK38
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD35194
3
-
D Larrubia FWD3594
4
-
R Rodríguez MID3451
5
-
J Muñoz FWD3438
4
-
D Murillo DEF332
9
1
C Dotor MID3213
6
-
D Lorenzo MID3041
4
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID302
6
-
C. Puga Medina DEF271
8
-
A. Niño Heredia FWD27111
-
J Lobete FWD2723
3
-
F Montero DEF241
7
1
E Jauregi FWD234
1
-
Juanpe MID212
5
-
E Galilea DEF202
6
1
A. Ochoa Moloney MID2014
4
-
V García DEF193
5
1
J Dorrio FWD152
1
-
D. Rodríguez Sánchez DEF141
-
J Gabilondo DEF9
2
-
D Brasanac MID91
1
H Abaida FWD81
-
R Enríquez MID4
1
Álex Pastor DEF2
1
-
L Sánchez MID1
-
S.Gijon La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
37151212
C GelabertJ DubasinJ OteroÀlex Corredera
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rosas DEF3727
5
1
C Gelabert MID3783
5
-
R Yáñez GLK36
-
D Sánchez DEF352
4
-
Àlex Corredera MID352
11
1
J Dubasin FWD34153
4
1
P Vázquez DEF333
6
-
J Otero FWD321312
4
1
G Campos FWD3252
3
-
J Smith MID30
7
-
N Martín MID24
5
-
P García DEF231
2
-
D Queipo FWD221
4
-
L Perrin DEF201
7
-
E Curbelo DEF20
3
-
J Bernal MID14
-
A. Coundoul FWD14
1
-
K Vázquez DEF13
1
1
J Caicedo FWD10
1
-
M Loum MID5
-
O Cortés FWD5
1
-
C Sanchez GLK3
-
Y Diantela DEF1
1
-