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Ceuta v Malaga : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 15:15 BST, Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta

Saturday afternoon sees José Juan Romero Gil’s Ceuta and Sergio Pellicer García’s Malaga go up against one another in a La Liga 2 battle at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Analysing both clubs' last 20 La Liga 2 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ceuta
36%
--
Draw
25%
--
Malaga
39%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Malaga 2-1
9%
--
Malaga 1-0
8%
--
Ceuta 2-1
8%
--
Ceuta 1-0
8%
--
Malaga 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Ceuta 2-0
6%
--
Malaga 3-1
4%
--
Ceuta 3-1
4%
--
Malaga 3-0
3%
--
Malaga 3-2
3%
--
Ceuta 3-2
3%
--
Ceuta 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
64%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Ceuta win to nil
18%
--
Malaga win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

Ceuta have played 38 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Ceuta have conceded 33 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ceuta have played 18 games at home, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Malaga lay in 6th place on 63 points in the La Liga 2 league table having played 38 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 8 and losing 7 games. They have scored 52 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Malaga have conceded 36 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Malaga have played 19 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ceuta
Malaga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
R.Santander38226102272 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1A
May 24
l
 
3-0A
2
Deportivo38191181868 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
3
Almeria37207101867 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
4
Las Palmas38181281966 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
5
Castellon381810101764 
May 9
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
6
Malaga38189111763 
May 16
l
 
2-1F
-
-
7
Burgos381711101162 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
8
Eibar381710111161 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-4F
9
Cordoba3816913-257 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
10
FC Andorra38151013855 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
w
 
4-1F
d
 
3-3F
11
Ceuta3815914-1254 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
May 16
12
S.Gijon3815716252 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 9
w
 
1-3F
13
Albacete38131114-250 
May 31
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
14
Granada38121214-148 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
15
Valladolid38111017-943 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1A
16
Leganes38101216-542 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
17
R.Sociedad B3811918-842 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
18
Cadiz3810919-1939 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
19
Huesca389920-2036 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-3A
l
 
1-0A
20
Mirandes379919-2036 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
21
Zaragoza3881119-1835 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 31
22
Cultural Leonesa388921-2733 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ceuta 11TH
18 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 18
Conceded
12 / 18
Clean sheets
6 / 18
Failed to score
4 / 18
Won
10
Draw
4
Lost
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceuta0 - 0R.Santander
Ceuta0 - 0R.Sociedad B
Ceuta2 - 1Cadiz
Ceuta1 - 2Deportivo
Ceuta3 - 2Cordoba
Ceuta2 - 1Granada
Ceuta3 - 1Cultural Leonesa
Ceuta0 - 3Valladolid
Ceuta2 - 1FC Andorra
Ceuta1 - 1Las Palmas
Ceuta1 - 0Burgos
Ceuta1 - 1Almeria
Ceuta1 - 2Leganes
Ceuta2 - 0Mirandes
Ceuta1 - 0Eibar
Ceuta1 - 0Zaragoza
Ceuta2 - 1Huesca
Ceuta0 - 1S.Gijon
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACeuta2 - 1S.Gijon
HCeuta0 - 0R.Santander
ACeuta2 - 2Zaragoza
HCeuta0 - 0R.Sociedad B
ACeuta0 - 3Eibar
ACeuta1 - 1Burgos
HCeuta2 - 1Cadiz
ACeuta2 - 5Leganes
HCeuta1 - 2Deportivo
ACeuta0 - 4Las Palmas
ACeuta1 - 0Mirandes
HCeuta3 - 2Cordoba
HCeuta2 - 1Granada
ACeuta0 - 2Huesca
ACeuta2 - 4Almeria
HCeuta3 - 1Cultural Leonesa
HCeuta0 - 3Valladolid
ACeuta1 - 2Malaga
HCeuta2 - 1FC Andorra
ACeuta3 - 1R.Sociedad B
Malaga 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Eibar2 - 4Malaga
Almeria3 - 2Malaga
Deportivo1 - 1Malaga
FC Andorra3 - 3Malaga
Cadiz0 - 3Malaga
Granada0 - 1Malaga
R.Sociedad B2 - 1Malaga
Mirandes2 - 1Malaga
Cordoba0 - 1Malaga
S.Gijon1 - 3Malaga
Albacete1 - 3Malaga
Valladolid1 - 1Malaga
Cultural Leonesa1 - 0Malaga
Castellon2 - 1Malaga
Leganes2 - 0Malaga
R.Santander3 - 0Malaga
Burgos2 - 1Malaga
Huesca1 - 0Malaga
Las Palmas0 - 1Malaga
Elche2 - 0Malaga
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMalaga4 - 2Eibar
HMalaga2 - 3Castellon
AMalaga2 - 3Almeria
HMalaga2 - 0Las Palmas
AMalaga1 - 1Deportivo
AMalaga3 - 3FC Andorra
HMalaga0 - 0Leganes
AMalaga3 - 0Cadiz
HMalaga5 - 3Huesca
HMalaga3 - 3Valladolid
AMalaga1 - 0Granada
HMalaga1 - 0Albacete
AMalaga1 - 2R.Sociedad B
HMalaga2 - 1Cultural Leonesa
AMalaga1 - 2Mirandes
HMalaga3 - 0Burgos
AMalaga1 - 0Cordoba
HMalaga2 - 1Ceuta
AMalaga3 - 1S.Gijon
HMalaga2 - 1Almeria
Goal Statistics
Ceuta 11th Malaga 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Ceuta will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Malaga will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
18 home / away league games
-7
Ceuta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Malaga have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season
Ceuta
PG (predicted goals)
Malaga
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
MAL
25%
better
view stats
Games scored26
32
Failed to score11
6
Scored first18
23
Goals scored42
66
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
MAL
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
28
Clean sheets10
10
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded56
49
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+9%

Ceuta v Malaga La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceuta La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3612410
C HernándezM. Fernández SánchezKukiM. Fernández Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Hernández DEF3611
6
-
Y Bodiger MID351
4
-
A. Ahmed Ahmed MID352
5
1
Kuki MID3464
4
-
Y. Didi MID3422
8
-
J Matos DEF3342
8
-
K. Kone FWD3324
4
-
D González DEF32
1
-
M. Fernández Sánchez FWD32122
9
1
G Vallejo GLK30
-
K Fuente FWD2931
2
-
Jamelli MID2552
10
-
A. Bassinga MID231
5
-
Anuar  FWD232
6
1
S Sánchez FWD202
3
-
Redru DEF181
1
-
C Rodríguez MID1512
1
-
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF131
2
-
G. Almenara Hernández DEF11
1
-
Y Cantero DEF9
2
2
P. López Galisteo GLK8
2
-
S Obeng FWD81
4
-
Juanto FWD8
1
-
M. Sánchez García DEF41
-
M Vallejo FWD4
-
Andy MID2
-
Malaga La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3819810
A HerreroC. Ruiz RubioJ MuñozD Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK38
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD35194
3
-
D Larrubia FWD3594
4
-
R Rodríguez MID3451
5
-
J Muñoz FWD3438
4
-
D Murillo DEF332
9
1
C Dotor MID3213
6
-
D Lorenzo MID3041
4
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID302
6
-
C. Puga Medina DEF271
8
-
A. Niño Heredia FWD27111
-
J Lobete FWD2723
3
-
F Montero DEF241
7
1
E Jauregi FWD234
1
-
Juanpe MID212
5
-
E Galilea DEF202
6
1
A. Ochoa Moloney MID2014
4
-
V García DEF193
5
1
J Dorrio FWD152
1
-
D. Rodríguez Sánchez DEF141
-
J Gabilondo DEF9
2
-
D Brasanac MID91
1
H Abaida FWD81
-
R Enríquez MID4
1
Álex Pastor DEF2
1
-
L Sánchez MID1
-