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Ceuta v Malaga : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 15:15 BST, Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta

José Juan Romero Gil and Sergio Pellicer García meet in the La Liga 2 on Saturday afternoon, as Ceuta face Malaga at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping both teams to score, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both joy and despair to both home and away supporters. We predict both Ceuta and Malaga to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Malaga coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ceuta 31%	-	13/5
Draw 23%	-	5/2
Malaga 46%	-	4/5
Draw 1-1 10%	-	6/1
Malaga 2-1 9%	-	13/2
Ceuta 2-1 7%	-	10/1
Malaga 1-0 7%	-	7/1
Draw 2-2 7%	-	10/1
Malaga 2-0 6%	-	8/1
Ceuta 1-0 6%	-	10/1
Malaga 3-1 5%	-	10/1
Ceuta 2-0 4%	-	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	-	11/1
Malaga 3-2 4%	-	16/1
Malaga 3-0 4%	-	12/1
Ceuta 3-1 4%	-	20/1
Ceuta 3-2 3%	-	22/1
Malaga 4-1 2%	-	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	-	3/5
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	-	11/10
Home 1st Goal 47%	-	29/20
Away 1st Goal 51%	-	13/20
No 1st Goal 2%	-	11/1
BTTS - Yes 64%	-	8/13
BTTS - No 36%	-	23/20
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	5/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 26%	-	23/10
Home/draw 54%	-	10/11
Away/draw 69%	-	1/4
Home/away 77%	-	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	-	2/11
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	-	3/1
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	-	6/4
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	-	4/9
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	-	10/3
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	-	2/13
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	-	7/1
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	-	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1/66
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	9/1
Home DNB 47%	-	9/5
Away DNB 62%	-	2/5
Ceuta win to nil 13%	-	-
Malaga win to nil 20%	-	-
Ceuta / Ceuta 13%	-	19/4
Ceuta / Malaga 5%	-	16/1
Ceuta / Draw 6%	-	11/1
Draw / Ceuta 9%	-	15/2
Draw / Malaga 15%	-	4/1
Draw / Draw 13%	-	19/4
Malaga / Ceuta 3%	-	25/1
Malaga / Malaga 28%	-	7/4
Malaga / Draw 6%	-	11/1

Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

Ceuta have played 39 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Ceuta have conceded 34 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ceuta have played 19 games at home, winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Malaga lay in 4th place on 66 points in the La Liga 2 league table having played 39 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 8 and losing 9 games. They have scored 60 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Malaga have conceded 42 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Malaga have played 19 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Ceuta Malaga
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	R.Santander	39	23	6	10	23	75	d 0-00-0	l 4-1A	May 24	l 3-0A
2	Almeria	39	21	8	10	20	71	w 3-2F	l 4-2A	w 2-1F	l 3-2A
3	Deportivo	39	20	11	8	19	71	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	w 3-0F	d 1-1A
4	Malaga	39	19	9	11	18	66	May 16	l 2-1F	-	-
5	Las Palmas	39	18	12	9	15	66	d 1-1A	l 4-0A	w 2-0F	w 0-1F
6	Castellon	39	18	11	10	17	65	d 1-1A	d 3-3F	l 2-3F	l 2-1F
7	Eibar	39	18	10	11	12	64	w 1-0F	l 3-0A	d 1-1A	w 2-4F
8	Burgos	39	17	12	10	11	63	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	w 3-0F	l 2-1F
9	Cordoba	39	17	9	13	-1	60	w 3-2F	l 2-0A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
10	FC Andorra	39	16	10	13	12	58	w 2-1F	May 24	w 4-1F	d 3-3F
11	Ceuta	39	15	10	14	-12	55	-	-	w 2-1A	May 16
12	Albacete	39	14	11	14	-1	53	May 31	d 0-00-0	w 1-0F	w 1-3A
13	S.Gijon	39	15	7	17	1	52	l 0-1A	w 1-2F	w 2-1A	w 1-3F
14	Granada	39	12	12	15	-2	48	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
15	Valladolid	39	12	10	17	-7	46	l 0-3A	l 3-0A	d 3-3F	d 1-1A
16	Leganes	39	10	12	17	-6	42	l 1-2A	l 5-2F	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
17	R.Sociedad B	38	11	9	18	-8	42	d 0-00-0	w 1-3A	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
18	Cadiz	39	10	9	20	-20	39	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	w 0-3F
19	Huesca	38	9	9	20	-20	36	w 2-1F	l 2-0A	w 5-3A	l 1-0A
20	Mirandes	39	9	9	21	-23	36	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	w 3-2F	l 2-1A
21	Zaragoza	39	8	11	20	-20	35	w 1-0F	d 2-2F	d 1-1F	May 31
22	Cultural Leonesa	39	8	9	22	-28	33	w 3-1A	w 0-1F	w 2-1A	l 1-0A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Ceuta have drawn 3 consecutive home league games

Ceuta have not lost in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 19

Conceded

13 / 19

Clean sheets

6 / 19

Failed to score

4 / 19

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceuta	1 - 1	Castellon
Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Santander
Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Sociedad B
Ceuta	2 - 1	Cadiz
Ceuta	1 - 2	Deportivo
Ceuta	3 - 2	Cordoba
Ceuta	2 - 1	Granada
Ceuta	3 - 1	Cultural Leonesa
Ceuta	0 - 3	Valladolid
Ceuta	2 - 1	FC Andorra
Ceuta	1 - 1	Las Palmas
Ceuta	1 - 0	Burgos
Ceuta	1 - 1	Almeria
Ceuta	1 - 2	Leganes
Ceuta	2 - 0	Mirandes
Ceuta	1 - 0	Eibar
Ceuta	1 - 0	Zaragoza
Ceuta	2 - 1	Huesca
Ceuta	0 - 1	S.Gijon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Ceuta	1 - 1	Castellon
A	Ceuta	2 - 1	S.Gijon
H	Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Santander
A	Ceuta	2 - 2	Zaragoza
H	Ceuta	0 - 0	R.Sociedad B
A	Ceuta	0 - 3	Eibar
A	Ceuta	1 - 1	Burgos
H	Ceuta	2 - 1	Cadiz
A	Ceuta	2 - 5	Leganes
H	Ceuta	1 - 2	Deportivo
A	Ceuta	0 - 4	Las Palmas
A	Ceuta	1 - 0	Mirandes
H	Ceuta	3 - 2	Cordoba
H	Ceuta	2 - 1	Granada
A	Ceuta	0 - 2	Huesca
A	Ceuta	2 - 4	Almeria
H	Ceuta	3 - 1	Cultural Leonesa
H	Ceuta	0 - 3	Valladolid
A	Ceuta	1 - 2	Malaga
H	Ceuta	2 - 1	FC Andorra

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Eibar	2 - 4	Malaga
Almeria	3 - 2	Malaga
Deportivo	1 - 1	Malaga
FC Andorra	3 - 3	Malaga
Cadiz	0 - 3	Malaga
Granada	0 - 1	Malaga
R.Sociedad B	2 - 1	Malaga
Mirandes	2 - 1	Malaga
Cordoba	0 - 1	Malaga
S.Gijon	1 - 3	Malaga
Albacete	1 - 3	Malaga
Valladolid	1 - 1	Malaga
Cultural Leonesa	1 - 0	Malaga
Castellon	2 - 1	Malaga
Leganes	2 - 0	Malaga
R.Santander	3 - 0	Malaga
Burgos	2 - 1	Malaga
Huesca	1 - 0	Malaga
Las Palmas	0 - 1	Malaga
Elche	2 - 0	Malaga

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Malaga	2 - 1	S.Gijon
A	Malaga	4 - 2	Eibar
H	Malaga	2 - 3	Castellon
A	Malaga	2 - 3	Almeria
H	Malaga	2 - 0	Las Palmas
A	Malaga	1 - 1	Deportivo
A	Malaga	3 - 3	FC Andorra
H	Malaga	0 - 0	Leganes
A	Malaga	3 - 0	Cadiz
H	Malaga	5 - 3	Huesca
H	Malaga	3 - 3	Valladolid
A	Malaga	1 - 0	Granada
H	Malaga	1 - 0	Albacete
A	Malaga	1 - 2	R.Sociedad B
H	Malaga	2 - 1	Cultural Leonesa
A	Malaga	1 - 2	Mirandes
H	Malaga	3 - 0	Burgos
A	Malaga	1 - 0	Cordoba
H	Malaga	2 - 1	Ceuta
A	Malaga	3 - 1	S.Gijon

Goal Statistics

Malaga have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive La Liga 2 outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Ceuta on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Ceuta 11th	Malaga 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Ceuta will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Malaga will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
19 home / away league games	-9 Ceuta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+27 Malaga have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season

MAL

24%

better

view stats

Games scored	27		32
Failed to score	11		6
Scored first	19		23
Goals scored	44		66
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.7
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		17
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+24%

MAL

better

view stats

Games conceded	28		28
Clean sheets	10		10
Conceded first	15		14
Goals conceded	57		49
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+8%

Ceuta v Malaga La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceuta La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	13	4	11
C Hernández	M. Fernández Sánchez	Kuki	Jamelli

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Hernández DEF	37	1	1	6 -
Y Bodiger MID	36	1		4 -
A. Ahmed Ahmed MID	36		2	6 1
Kuki MID	35	6	4	4 -
Y. Didi MID	35	2	2	9 -
D González DEF	33			1 -
J Matos DEF	33	4	2	8 -
M. Fernández Sánchez FWD	33	13	2	9 1
K. Kone FWD	33	2	4	4 -
G Vallejo GLK	31			-
K Fuente FWD	30	3	1	2 -
Jamelli MID	26	5	2	11 -
Anuar FWD	24		2	7 1
A. Bassinga MID	23	1		5 -
S Sánchez FWD	21		2	3 -
Redru DEF	19		1	1 -
C Rodríguez MID	15	1	2	1 -
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF	13	1		2 -
G. Almenara Hernández DEF	12			1 -
Y Cantero DEF	9			2 2
P. López Galisteo GLK	8			2 -
S Obeng FWD	8	1		4 -
Juanto FWD	8			1 -
M. Sánchez García DEF	4	1		-
M Vallejo FWD	4			-
Andy MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	29	4	7
M. Fernández Sánchez	M. Fernández Sánchez	Kuki	Kuki

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M. Fernández Sánchez FWD	13	29	2	5
Kuki MID	6	15	4	7
Jamelli MID	5	9	2	5
J Matos DEF	4	13	2	2
K Fuente FWD	3	13	1	2
Y. Didi MID	2	6	2	4
K. Kone FWD	2	7	4	7
C Hernández DEF	1	10	1
Y Bodiger MID	1	4
A. Bassinga MID	1	4		1
C Rodríguez MID	1	3	2	6
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF	1	1
S Obeng FWD	1	2
M. Sánchez García DEF	1	2
A. Ahmed Ahmed MID		2	2	1
D González DEF		4		1
Anuar FWD		4	2	2
S Sánchez FWD		2	2	2
Redru DEF		2	1
Juanto FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1563	51	210
Y. Didi	C Hernández	C Hernández

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y. Didi MID	1563	50	111
D González DEF	1459	45	99
Jamelli MID	1124	36	85
C Hernández DEF	1115	51	210
Y Bodiger MID	1032	49	114
G Vallejo GLK	991	2	18
Kuki MID	872	33	143
A. Ahmed Ahmed MID	864	43	97
J Matos DEF	800	51	142
K. Kone FWD	763	44	163
Anuar FWD	595	34	108
M. Fernández Sánchez FWD	474	25	128
A. Bassinga MID	327	12	41
Redru DEF	313	15	29
Y Cantero DEF	301	8	12
C Rodríguez MID	292	9	19
P. López Galisteo GLK	288		2
K Fuente FWD	285	24	92
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF	193	20	37
G. Almenara Hernández DEF	174	11	22
S Sánchez FWD	158	10	20
Juanto FWD	45	1	7
S Obeng FWD	36	1	13
Andy MID	34		2
M. Sánchez García DEF	28	1	4
M Vallejo FWD	16		1

Malaga La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
39	20	8	11
A Herrero	C. Ruiz Rubio	J Muñoz	D Murillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Herrero GLK	39			-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD	36	20	4	3 -
D Larrubia FWD	36	9	4	4 -
R Rodríguez MID	35	5	2	5 -
J Muñoz FWD	35	4	8	4 -
D Murillo DEF	34	2		10 1
C Dotor MID	33	1	3	6 1
I. Merino Rodríguez MID	31		2	6 -
D Lorenzo MID	30	4	1	4 -
C. Puga Medina DEF	28		1	8 -
A. Niño Heredia FWD	28	11	1	-
J Lobete FWD	27	2	3	3 -
F Montero DEF	24	1		7 1
E Jauregi FWD	23	4		1 -
E Galilea DEF	21	2		6 1
Juanpe MID	21		2	5 -
A. Ochoa Moloney MID	21	1	4	4 -
V García DEF	19		3	5 1
J Dorrio FWD	15		2	1 -
D. Rodríguez Sánchez DEF	14		1	-
D Brasanac MID	10	1		1
J Gabilondo DEF	9			2 -
H Abaida FWD	9	1		-
R Enríquez MID	5		1	1
Álex Pastor DEF	2			1 -
L Sánchez MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
20	44	8	10
C. Ruiz Rubio	C. Ruiz Rubio	J Muñoz	D Larrubia

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD	20	44	4	8
A. Niño Heredia FWD	11	25	1	5
D Larrubia FWD	9	32	4	10
R Rodríguez MID	5	12	2	3
J Muñoz FWD	4	17	8	9
D Lorenzo MID	4	10	1	3
E Jauregi FWD	4	11
D Murillo DEF	2	3
J Lobete FWD	2	14	3	3
E Galilea DEF	2	5
C Dotor MID	1	6	3	5
F Montero DEF	1	1
A. Ochoa Moloney MID	1	7	4	2
D Brasanac MID	1	1		1
H Abaida FWD	1	1
I. Merino Rodríguez MID		6	2	2
C. Puga Medina DEF		2	1	3
Juanpe MID		1	2	2
V García DEF		3	3	4
J Dorrio FWD		2	2	2
D. Rodríguez Sánchez DEF		2	1	2
R Enríquez MID			1	1
Álex Pastor DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2019	106	272
D Murillo	D Larrubia	D Larrubia

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Murillo DEF	2019	61	165
A Herrero GLK	1362	2	19
F Montero DEF	1326	17	72
I. Merino Rodríguez MID	1245	16	56
D Lorenzo MID	1242	39	156
C Dotor MID	1099	44	115
E Galilea DEF	1073	29	75
D Larrubia FWD	950	106	272
C. Puga Medina DEF	919	89	170
J Muñoz FWD	655	32	114
Juanpe MID	587	44	88
V García DEF	564	31	41
R Rodríguez MID	443	23	77
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD	401	14	91
A. Ochoa Moloney MID	308	8	24
J Lobete FWD	264	14	77
D. Rodríguez Sánchez DEF	258	9	19
A. Niño Heredia FWD	165	7	35
Álex Pastor DEF	147	3	10
D Brasanac MID	137	11	15
R Enríquez MID	132	3	7
J Gabilondo DEF	122	10	23
E Jauregi FWD	80	4	32
J Dorrio FWD	79	4	14
H Abaida FWD	41	1	10
L Sánchez MID	14	2	3