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Atletico de Madrid v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Jan, 15:15 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Alaves pay La Liga rivals Atletico de Madrid a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Eduardo Germán Coudet guides his side into an away clash with Diego Pablo Simeone & co. at the Wanda Metropolitano. Statistics for our tip of A.Madrid to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

We are predicting A.Madrid will claim victory after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Wanda Metropolitano.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
It looks highly unlikely that this fixture will have more than 4 goals. In fact, our algorithmplaces the probability at just 88%. ‘Under 4.5 goals’ is therefore the most likely outcome, and is available at 1.11.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
70%
1.331.40
Draw
20%
4.504.80
Alaves
10%
10.008.00
A.Madrid 1-0
15%
6.005.50
A.Madrid 2-0
15%
5.505.75
A.Madrid 3-0
10%
8.007.50
Draw 1-1
9%
9.008.50
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 0-0
8%
10.009.50
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
A.Madrid 4-0
5%
15.0013.00
Alaves 1-0
5%
19.0015.00
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
21.0019.00
Alaves 2-1
3%
29.0019.00
Draw 2-2
3%
23.0019.00
A.Madrid 5-0
2%
29.0021.00
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Alaves 2-0
1%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1.911.85
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.911.85
Home 1st Goal
62%
1.331.33
Away 1st Goal
33%
3.753.90
No 1st Goal
5%
10.009.50
BTTS - Yes
39%
2.252.30
BTTS - No
61%
1.571.57
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3.603.60
BTTS - Draw
12%
6.506.50
BTTS - Away Win
4%
21.0013.00
Home/draw
90%
1.061.07
Away/draw
30%
3.253.00
Home/away
80%
1.181.18
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.301.29
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.503.40
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.403.10
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.331.33
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6.505.75
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.111.11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.061.04
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.0010.00
Home DNB
84%
1.081.10
Away DNB
24%
8.006.00
A.Madrid win to nil
47%
1.91-
Alaves win to nil
6%
15.00-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
41%
1.952.00
A.Madrid / Alaves
2%
51.0041.00
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
19.0015.00
Draw / A.Madrid
21%
3.753.90
Draw / Alaves
5%
17.0013.00
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
Alaves / A.Madrid
4%
23.0019.00
Alaves / Alaves
6%
17.0011.00
Alaves / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
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Over / under 4.5 goals La Liga table
Over 4.5
Under 4.5
A.Madrid
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1916123349 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
May 13
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid1914322445 
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
l
 
1-2A
Apr 22
3
Villarreal1712231838 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
Mar 15
Jan 10
4
A.Madrid1911531738 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
5
Espanyol181035333 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
6
Real Betis18774628 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
7
Celta18684426 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
8
A.Bilbao19739-824 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
9
Elche18576122 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
3-1F
May 10
10
Getafe18639-921 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
11
Sevilla186210-520 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
12
Osasuna18549-319 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
13
Alaves18549-619 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
-
-
14
R.Vallecano18477-719 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
May 24
l
 
1-0A
15
R.Sociedad18468-418 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
16
Mallorca18468-618 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
17
Girona18468-1718 
May 17
w
 
0-3F
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
18
Valencia18378-1316 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
19
Levante173410-913 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 1
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
20
Real Oviedo182610-1912 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Over / under 4.5 goals form
4
A.Madrid have scored 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive home league games
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Avg: Scored
2.3
Conceded
0.8
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Over
5
Under
15
HOME FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
A.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
A.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
A.Madrid3 - 1Levante
A.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 1Elche
A.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
A.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
Avg: Scored
1.9
Conceded
0.9
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
O
2
Under
18
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
AA.Madrid0 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
HA.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 1Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
AA.Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
HA.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AA.Madrid1 - 1Alaves
HA.Madrid1 - 1Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid4 - 0Girona
Alaves 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.0
Conceded
1.4
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
O
1
Under
19
AWAY FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Osasuna3 - 0Alaves
Barcelona3 - 1Alaves
Girona1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
Mallorca1 - 0Alaves
Getafe1 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao0 - 1Alaves
Real Betis1 - 0Alaves
Valladolid0 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao1 - 0Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Girona0 - 1Alaves
Las Palmas2 - 2Alaves
Mallorca1 - 1Alaves
Leganes3 - 3Alaves
Barcelona1 - 0Alaves
Real Betis1 - 3Alaves
Valencia2 - 2Alaves
Osasuna2 - 2Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Avg: Scored
0.9
Conceded
1.1
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Under
20
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
HAlaves1 - 1Real Oviedo
AAlaves0 - 3Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 2Real Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
AAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
HAlaves0 - 1Celta
AAlaves0 - 1Girona
HAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves0 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 1Elche
AAlaves0 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves1 - 1Getafe
HAlaves1 - 2Sevilla
AAlaves1 - 0A.Bilbao
HAlaves1 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 1Real Betis
HAlaves2 - 1Levante
HAlaves1 - 1Osasuna
AAlaves1 - 0Valladolid
Over / under 4.5 goals head to head (H2H)
3
A.Madrid have scored 2 or more goals in their last 3 home league meetings with Alaves
League games at A.Madrid since 2016
A.Madrid
Alaves
Average goals:
2.0
0.6
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
Over
1
Under
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
Over
|
Under
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid4 - 1
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
A.Madrid
Average goals:
0.7
1.0
Games: Scored
5 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
4 / 9
Under
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Over
|
Under
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Alaves2 - 0
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive La Liga games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

A truly awful PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for Alaves fans, as should a 6 La Liga matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

A.Madrid 3rd Alaves 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 55% probability that Alaves will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
A.Madrid have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Alaves’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
2
0.6
Attack rating
50%
better
ATM
ALV
view stats
Games scored18
11
Failed to score1
7
Scored first18
6
Goals scored34
15
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for17
10
Avg. XG for1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
33%
better
ATM
ALV
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first1
11
Goals conceded17
21
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%

A.Madrid v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18754
J ÁlvarezJ ÁlvarezG SimeoneKoke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Hancko DEF192
-
C Gallagher MID192
2
-
J Álvarez FWD1973
2
-
A Griezmann FWD196
-
J Oblak GLK18
-
Koke MID1822
4
-
P Barrios MID181
-
G Simeone FWD1825
1
-
A Sörloth FWD185
3
1
M Llorente DEF153
3
-
N González FWD151
2
-
M Ruggeri DEF13
2
-
R Normand DEF131
2
-
N Molina DEF131
1
-
G Raspadori FWD121
1
-
Álex Baena FWD1121
2
-
T Almada FWD1121
1
-
C Lenglet DEF9
2
1
M Pubill DEF71
1
-
J Giménez DEF7
2
-
J Galán DEF5
-
Johnny MID5
2
-
J Musso GLK1
1
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18435
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK18
-
J Castro DEF18
3
-
C Aleñá MID183
1
-
P Ibáñez MID181
3
-
C Vicente FWD184
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF171
2
-
T Martínez FWD1721
-
D Suárez MID161
3
-
A Blanco MID161
5
-
A Rebbach FWD15
4
-
V. Parada González DEF141
5
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF13
2
-
Calebe MID13
2
-
L Boyé FWD134
1
1
J Pacheco DEF12
2
-
A Guevara MID111
2
-
J Guridi MID11
-
M Díaz FWD9
1
-
F Garcés DEF6
2
-
C Benavídez MID5
1
1
M Diarra DEF3
1
-