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Atletico de Madrid v FC Barcelona : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Hans-Dieter Flick leads his FC Barcelona troops to the Wanda Metropolitano in the La Liga on Saturday night, with Diego Pablo Simeone's Atletico de Madrid their rivals. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

A.Madrid may feel positive ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might Barcelona. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no obvious victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
44%
2.70-
Draw
23%
3.80-
Barcelona
33%
2.30-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00-
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
11.00-
Barcelona 2-1
8%
9.50-
Draw 2-2
7%
11.00-
A.Madrid 1-0
6%
15.00-
A.Madrid 2-0
6%
19.00-
Barcelona 1-0
5%
13.00-
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
19.00-
Barcelona 2-0
4%
15.00-
A.Madrid 3-2
4%
21.00-
Barcelona 3-1
4%
15.00-
Barcelona 3-2
4%
19.00-
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00-
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
29.00-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.44-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.75-
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.95-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.80-
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00-
BTTS - Yes
66%
1.40-
BTTS - No
34%
2.75-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
4.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3.60-
Home/draw
67%
1.57-
Away/draw
56%
1.44-
Home/away
77%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.14-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.10-
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1.73-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3.75-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1.29-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6.50-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.11-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
19.00-
Home DNB
60%
2.00-
Away DNB
49%
1.73-
A.Madrid win to nil
18%
6.50-
Barcelona win to nil
13%
5.50-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
19%
4.33-
A.Madrid / Barcelona
4%
21.00-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / A.Madrid
12%
7.00-
Draw / Barcelona
13%
6.50-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00-
Barcelona / A.Madrid
4%
21.00-
Barcelona / Barcelona
23%
3.60-
Barcelona / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won 2. A.Madrid have conceded 5 goals, scored 8, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

A.Madrid have played 15 games at home, winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 34 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Barcelona lay in 1st place on 70 points in the La Liga league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 77 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Barcelona have conceded 28 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Barcelona have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Barcelona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2823144970 
Apr 4
l
 
3-1F
-
-
2
Real Madrid2821343666 
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
May 10
l
 
2-1A
3
Villarreal2918472058 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
4
A.Madrid2817652257 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
Apr 4
5
Real Betis2811116844 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
3-5A
6
Celta2810117741 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
2-4F
7
R.Sociedad2910811-138 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
8
Getafe2911513-638 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 26
9
Osasuna2910712-137 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
w
 
2-0F
May 3
10
Espanyol2910712-837 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
11
Valencia299812-1035 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
w
 
6-0F
May 24
12
A.Bilbao2810513-1035 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
13
Girona2981011-1334 
May 17
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
14
R.Vallecano2871110-632 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
15
Sevilla298714-1231 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
w
 
5-2F
l
 
4-1A
16
Elche2961112-829 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
17
Alaves287714-1228 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1A
May 13
18
Mallorca297715-1328 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
19
Levante296815-1426 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
20
Real Oviedo294916-2821 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
3
A.Madrid have won 3 consecutive home league games
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
9
16
Games: Scored
7 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
4 / 11
ATM
2
D
2
BCN
7
League games at Barcelona since 2016
Barcelona
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
18
9
Games: Scored
10 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
1 / 11
ATM
1
D
3
BCN
7
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.8 against FC Barcelona on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A.Madrid 4th Barcelona 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Barcelona will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
A.Madrid have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Barcelona’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
1.8
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
ATM
BCN
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ATM
BCN
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

A.Madrid v Barcelona La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261055
J OblakA SörlothG SimeoneA Sörloth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD2883
2
-
A Sörloth FWD2710
4
1
J Oblak GLK26
-
Koke MID2622
4
-
D Hancko DEF252
1
-
A Griezmann FWD2561
-
G Simeone FWD2535
1
-
M Llorente DEF244
4
-
P Barrios MID2111
-
R Normand DEF201
3
-
N Molina DEF2011
3
-
N González FWD203
3
-
T Almada FWD2031
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF193
3
-
C Gallagher MID192
2
-
Álex Baena FWD1922
3
-
J Giménez DEF131
3
-
M Pubill DEF121
1
-
C Lenglet DEF12
3
1
Johnny MID12
4
-
G Raspadori FWD121
1
-
J Galán DEF5
-
J Musso GLK2
1
-
Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251495
E GarcíaL YamalL YamalG. Martín Langreo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E García DEF2712
3
-
J Koundé DEF2513
4
-
F Torres FWD25121
2
-
L Yamal FWD24149
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF231
2
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF23
5
-
D Olmo MID2376
-
R Lewandowski  FWD23111
2
-
M Rashford FWD2347
2
-
J García GLK22
1
-
F. López Marín MID2258
2
-
A Balde DEF212
2
-
Pedri MID2027
1
1
F Jong MID1914
4
1
Raphinha FWD19113
3
-
M Torras MID181
-
R Araújo DEF172
2
-
R Bardghji FWD1611
-
M. Bernal Casas MID1521
4
-
A Christensen DEF12
1
-
W Szczęsny GLK6
-
Gavi MID31
-