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Atletico de Madrid v Malaga : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 19th Aug, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Diego Pablo Simeone and Juan Francisco Funes Arjona meet in the La Liga on Wednesday night, as Atletico de Madrid face Malaga at the Wanda Metropolitano. For each and every La Liga preview, KickOff explores the stats for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

A La Liga home win for Diego Pablo Simeone's A.Madrid side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A A.Madrid win is our recommendation, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
73%
1.30
4%
1.33
2%
Draw
17%
5.505.00
5%
Malaga
10%
10.00
17%
10.00
5%
A.Madrid 2-0
13%
6.005.75
5%
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
6.50
8%
6.00
4%
A.Madrid 3-0
10%
8.00
7%
7.50
7%
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 1-1
8%
10.00
9%
8.50
A.Madrid 3-1
7%
12.0011.00
A.Madrid 4-0
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0011.00
8%
A.Madrid 4-1
4%
21.0017.00
Malaga 1-0
4%
21.0017.00
Draw 2-2
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
11%
Malaga 2-1
3%
29.0023.00
10%
A.Madrid 5-0
3%
26.0019.00
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
A.Madrid 5-1
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.73
4%
1.75
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.10
5%
2.00
Home 1st Goal
62%
1.301.29
Away 1st Goal
35%
3.754.20
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0011.00
8%
BTTS - Yes
45%
2.20
2%
2.25
BTTS - No
55%
1.62
3%
1.60
2%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3.403.40
BTTS - Draw
12%
7.00
7%
6.50
BTTS - Away Win
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
Home/draw
90%
1.06
1%
1.05
1%
Away/draw
27%
3.40
9%
3.30
3%
Home/away
83%
1.141.17
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.251.22
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.003.80
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3.002.80
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.401.40
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.00
9%
5.25
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.17
3%
1.14
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
8%
Home DNB
85%
1.08
1%
1.07
Away DNB
22%
8.00
11%
7.50
7%
A.Madrid win to nil
45%
1.91
4%
-
Malaga win to nil
5%
15.00-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
44%
1.831.85
1%
A.Madrid / Malaga
2%
51.0046.00
12%
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
19.0015.00
12%
Draw / A.Madrid
21%
3.754.00
Draw / Malaga
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.506.50
7%
Malaga / A.Madrid
4%
21.0019.00
Malaga / Malaga
5%
19.0013.00
Malaga / Draw
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Malaga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Alaves110033 
May 2
Oct 11
Jan 31
Oct 25
2
Espanyol110033 
Jan 31
Oct 18
Oct 11
Apr 11
3
Sevilla110013 
Apr 18
Aug 29
May 30
Dec 6
4
Villarreal101001 
Aug 23
Apr 21
Sep 16
Mar 21
5
R.Santander101001 
Jan 10
Mar 14
Nov 8
Apr 21
6
Deportivo101001 
Oct 25
Jan 24
Aug 24
Feb 7
7
Elche101001 
Feb 21
Nov 29
Jan 3
Mar 7
8
A.Bilbao000000 
May 23
Sep 5
Nov 29
May 9
9
Barcelona000000 
Nov 8
Feb 7
Dec 13
May 23
10
Malaga000000 
Aug 19
Feb 28
-
-
11
Valencia000000 
Dec 13
May 9
Apr 18
Jan 10
12
Osasuna000000 
Sep 16
Feb 14
Apr 4
Nov 22
13
Real Betis000000 
Dec 6
May 30
Feb 21
Nov 1
14
R.Sociedad000000 
Jan 17
Sep 13
Oct 18
Jan 24
15
Real Madrid000000 
Sep 20
Apr 4
Jan 17
Aug 30
16
A.Madrid000000 
-
-
Feb 28
Aug 19
17
Celta000000 
Mar 7
Dec 20
May 16
Sep 13
18
R.Vallecano1001-10 
May 16
Jan 3
Mar 14
Dec 20
19
Levante1001-30 
Apr 11
Nov 1
Sep 6
Feb 14
20
Getafe1001-30 
Mar 21
Nov 22
May 2
Sep 20
Win / draw / win form
5
Malaga have won 5 consecutive away league games
9
Malaga have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
A.Madrid 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Malaga 10TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A.Madrid have beaten Malaga in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
A.Madrid have not lost to Malaga in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
A.Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Malaga
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Malaga
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
ATM
4
League games at Malaga since 2015
Malaga
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
ATM
2
D
1
MAL
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Atletico de Madrid in their meeting with Malaga, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 35 consecutive La Liga games.

A.Madrid 16th Malaga 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that A.Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Malaga scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
A.Madrid have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+40
Malaga have scored 40% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Malaga
2.2
0.7
Attack rating
0%
better
ATM
MAL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
ATM
MAL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

A.Madrid v Malaga La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Musso GLK
-
J Oblak GLK
-
C Romero DEF
-
A Grimaldo DEF
-
R Normand DEF
-
J Giménez DEF
-
M Pubill DEF
-
D Hancko DEF
-
M Ruggeri DEF
-
M Llorente DEF
-
T Lemar MID
-
R Mendoza MID
-
O Vargas MID
-
Johnny MID
-
P Barrios MID
-
Koke MID
-
K Lee MID
-
M Hjulmand MID
-
A Ortiz FWD
-
J Álvarez FWD
-
C Martín FWD
-
G Simeone FWD
-
A Lookman FWD
-
A Sörloth FWD
-
Álex Baena FWD
-
Malaga La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK
-
C López GLK
-
J Salinas DEF
-
F Calero DEF
-
M Diarra DEF
-
E Galilea DEF
-
Álex Pastor DEF
-
D. Rodríguez Sánchez DEF
-
C. Puga Medina DEF
-
R. Garrido Hierro DEF
-
D Murillo DEF
-
Ángel Recio DEF
-
D Lorenzo MID
-
R Enríquez MID
-
A. Ochoa Moloney MID
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID
-
C Dotor MID
-
Juanpe MID
-
P Arriaza MID
-
R Rodríguez MID
-
J Cruz FWD
-
E Jauregi FWD
-
J Muñoz FWD
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD
-
D Larrubia FWD
-
J Lobete FWD
-
H Abaida FWD
-
A. Niño Heredia FWD
-