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Atletico de Madrid v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 15:15 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Real Madrid, led by manager Xabi Alonso, visit Diego Simeone and his Atletico de Madrid side at the Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday afternoon in the La Liga. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
42%
--
Draw
25%
--
Real Madrid
33%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
--
A.Madrid 1-0
9%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
8%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
--
A.Madrid 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
5%
--
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
3%
--
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
--
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
58%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
50%
--
A.Madrid win to nil
21%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid4400612 
Sep 27
Mar 22
-
-
2
Barcelona43101010 
Apr 5
Jan 11
Oct 26
May 10
3
Espanyol4310310 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
Sep 20
May 3
4
Getafe430129 
Mar 15
Nov 23
Mar 1
Oct 19
5
A.Bilbao430129 
Apr 19
Dec 7
May 24
Jan 11
6
Villarreal421157 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
Oct 4
Jan 25
7
Alaves421117 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
Dec 14
8
Elche413026 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
Mar 15
Nov 23
9
Osasuna420216 
Oct 18
May 13
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
10
Real Betis513106 
Feb 8
Oct 26
Jan 4
Apr 19
11
A.Madrid412115 
-
-
Mar 22
Sep 27
12
Sevilla411204 
Nov 2
Apr 12
Dec 21
May 17
13
R.Vallecano4112-14 
Sep 24
Feb 15
Feb 1
Nov 9
14
Valencia4112-44 
Dec 14
May 3
Nov 2
Feb 8
15
Celta5041-24 
May 10
Oct 5
Dec 7
Mar 8
16
Real Oviedo4103-63 
Nov 30
Mar 1
May 13
w
 
0-3F
17
R.Sociedad4022-22 
Mar 8
Jan 4
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
18
Levante4013-41 
Nov 9
Feb 1
Jan 18
Sep 23
19
Mallorca4013-51 
Jan 25
Sep 21
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
20
Girona4013-91 
May 17
Dec 21
Apr 12
Nov 30
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 1Elche
A.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
A.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AA.Madrid1 - 1Alaves
HA.Madrid1 - 1Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid4 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 2Osasuna
HA.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid0 - 0Alaves
HA.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid0 - 1Las Palmas
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Espanyol1 - 0Real Madrid
Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
Girona0 - 3Real Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
Leganes0 - 3Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 4Barcelona
HReal Madrid3 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 2Valencia
HReal Madrid3 - 2Leganes
AReal Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Madrid have drawn with Real Madrid in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
A.Madrid have not lost to Real Madrid in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
ATM
3
D
5
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid3 - 1
1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Real Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid4 - 0
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
ATM
2
D
6
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
1 - 2A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.5 against Real Madrid on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 11th Real Madrid 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
A.Madrid have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+8
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
ATM
RMD
10%
better
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score0
0
Scored first4
3
Goals scored5
8
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
ATM
RMD
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded4
2
Avg. goals conceded1
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
13
Conversion rate against17%
8%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+18%

A.Madrid v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
J OblakP BarriosD HanckoJohnny
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK4
-
D Hancko DEF41
-
M Ruggeri DEF4
1
-
R Normand DEF4
1
-
M Llorente DEF41
1
-
C Gallagher MID4
-
P Barrios MID41
-
J Álvarez FWD411
1
-
A Griezmann FWD4
-
G Simeone FWD41
-
A Sörloth FWD41
1
-
Johnny MID3
2
-
Koke MID3
1
-
G Raspadori FWD3
-
T Almada FWD3
-
J Galán DEF2
-
C Lenglet DEF2
-
M Pubill DEF1
-
N Molina DEF1
-
N González FWD11
-
Álex Baena FWD1
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4412
T CourtoisK MbappéD. HuijsenD. Huijsen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK4
-
D Carvajal DEF4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF4
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF4
-
D. Huijsen DEF41
1
1
D Ceballos MID4
-
F Valverde MID41
-
A Güler MID421
-
A Tchouameni MID4
-
K Mbappé FWD441
2
-
B Díaz FWD41
-
V Junior FWD421
1
-
Éder Militão DEF3
1
-
G. García Torres FWD3
-
F. Mastantuono FWD3
-
Rodrygo FWD2
-
F García DEF1
-
D Alaba DEF1
-
A Rüdiger DEF1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF1
-