Atletico de Madrid's team badge Villarreal's team badge

Atletico de Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Diego Simeone and Marcelino Toral meet in the La Liga on Sunday night, as Atletico de Madrid face Villarreal at the Wanda Metropolitano. You'll find stats supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with La Liga performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither A.Madrid or Villarreal are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 81% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
54%
3/4
5%
-
Draw
23%
13/5
4%
-
Villarreal
24%
10/3
13%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
7%
-
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
A.Madrid 1-0
9%
8/1
5%
-
A.Madrid 2-0
8%
9/1
5%
-
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
-
Villarreal 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Villarreal 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
4%
20/1-
Villarreal 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
25/1
24%
-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
28/1
26%
-
Villarreal 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/6
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
6/5
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/13-
BTTS - No
42%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
9/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
13%
-
Home/draw
76%
1/5
3%
-
Away/draw
46%
1/1
7%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/8
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1/2
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/2
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Home DNB
70%
1/3
6%
-
Away DNB
39%
9/4
13%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
26%
5/2
3%
-
Villarreal win to nil
11%
8/1
10%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
31%
7/4
10%
-
A.Madrid / Villarreal
3%
28/1
15%
-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / A.Madrid
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Villarreal
9%
17/2
5%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Villarreal / A.Madrid
4%
20/1
11%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
12%
6/1
7%
-
Villarreal / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid330059 
Sep 28
Mar 22
Jan 25
Oct 5
2
A.Bilbao330039 
Apr 19
Dec 7
Sep 28
Apr 12
3
Villarreal321077 
Sep 14
May 24
-
-
4
Barcelona321047 
Apr 5
Jan 11
Dec 21
Mar 1
5
Espanyol321027 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
Feb 8
Nov 9
6
Getafe320106 
Mar 15
Nov 23
Dec 7
Feb 15
7
Elche312025 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
Mar 8
Jan 4
8
Real Betis412105 
Feb 8
Oct 26
Oct 19
Jan 18
9
Valencia311124 
Dec 14
May 3
Feb 22
Oct 26
10
R.Vallecano311114 
Sep 24
Feb 15
Nov 2
May 17
11
Alaves311104 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
Jan 11
Mar 15
12
Sevilla310203 
Nov 2
Apr 12
May 13
Sep 24
13
Osasuna3102-13 
Oct 19
May 13
Sep 21
Feb 1
14
Celta4031-23 
May 10
Oct 5
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
15
Real Oviedo3102-43 
Nov 30
Mar 1
w
 
2-0F
Apr 22
16
R.Sociedad3021-12 
Mar 8
Jan 4
Mar 22
Nov 30
17
A.Madrid3021-12 
-
-
May 24
Sep 14
18
Mallorca3012-41 
Jan 25
Sep 21
Nov 23
May 10
19
Levante3003-40 
Nov 9
Feb 1
May 3
Dec 14
20
Girona3003-90 
May 17
Dec 21
w
 
5-0F
Apr 5
Win / draw / win form
5
A.Madrid have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
9
Villarreal have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
A.Madrid 17TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 1Elche
A.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
A.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid1 - 1Alaves
HA.Madrid1 - 1Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid4 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 2Osasuna
HA.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid0 - 0Alaves
HA.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid0 - 1Las Palmas
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
Villarreal 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona2 - 3Villarreal
Girona0 - 1Villarreal
Celta3 - 0Villarreal
Real Betis1 - 2Villarreal
Getafe1 - 2Villarreal
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
R.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
Las Palmas1 - 2Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
R.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
Leganes2 - 5Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
Valladolid1 - 2Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Espanyol1 - 2Villarreal
Mallorca1 - 2Villarreal
Valencia1 - 1Villarreal
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVillarreal1 - 1Celta
HVillarreal5 - 0Girona
HVillarreal2 - 0Real Oviedo
HVillarreal4 - 2Sevilla
AVillarreal3 - 2Barcelona
HVillarreal3 - 0Leganes
AVillarreal1 - 0Girona
HVillarreal4 - 2Osasuna
HVillarreal1 - 0Espanyol
AVillarreal0 - 3Celta
HVillarreal2 - 2R.Sociedad
AVillarreal2 - 1Real Betis
HVillarreal0 - 0A.Bilbao
AVillarreal2 - 1Getafe
HVillarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
AVillarreal0 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal1 - 0R.Vallecano
HVillarreal1 - 1Valencia
AVillarreal2 - 1Las Palmas
HVillarreal5 - 1Valladolid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A.Madrid have not lost to Villarreal in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
ATM
3
D
5
VIL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid3 - 1
0 - 2Villarreal
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid3 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Villarreal
League games at Villarreal since 2015
Villarreal
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
ATM
3
D
5
VIL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Villarreal3 - 0
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.9 against Villarreal on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 17th Villarreal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
A.Madrid have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+8
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
ATM
VIL
31%
better
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
2
Goals scored2
7
Avg. goals scored0.7
2.3
Avg. shots per game7
12
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for10
20
Avg. XG for1.3
2.7
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
ATM
VIL
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
0
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded3
0
Avg. goals conceded1
0
Avg. shots/game conceded5
3
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
0
Conversion rate against21%
0%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.6
KickOff rating
+49%

A.Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
J OblakJ ÁlvarezD HanckoJohnny
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK3
-
D Hancko DEF31
-
M Ruggeri DEF3
-
R Normand DEF3
1
-
M Llorente DEF3
1
-
T Almada MID3
-
Johnny MID3
2
-
C Gallagher MID3
-
P Barrios MID3
-
G Raspadori FWD3
-
J Álvarez FWD31
-
A Griezmann FWD3
-
G Simeone FWD31
-
A Sörloth FWD31
1
-
Koke MID2
1
-
J Galán DEF1
-
N Molina DEF1
-
C Lenglet DEF1
-
Álex Baena MID1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
L JúniorT BuchananS MouriñoL Júnior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Júnior GLK3
1
-
S Mouriño DEF31
1
-
J Foyth DEF3
-
S Cardona DEF31
-
R Marín DEF31
-
S Comesaña MID3
-
P Gueye MID31
1
-
D Parejo MID3
-
T Partey MID3
-
T Buchanan FWD33
-
A Moleiro FWD3
-
N Pépé FWD321
-
R Veiga DEF2
-
I Akhomach FWD2
-
A Pedraza DEF1
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD1
-
G Moreno FWD1
-