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Atletico de Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Aug, 16:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Iñigo Pérez Soto guides his Villarreal troops to the Wanda Metropolitano in the La Liga on Sunday afternoon, with Diego Pablo Simeone's Atletico de Madrid the opponent. Analysing both clubs' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that A.Madrid and Villarreal will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Diego Pablo Simeone or Iñigo Pérez Soto has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.30 equating to about a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
51%
17/20-
Draw
25%
14/5-
Villarreal
24%
27/10-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
A.Madrid 1-0
11%
6/1-
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
15/2-
Villarreal 1-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1-
Villarreal 2-1
6%
12/1-
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
14/1-
Villarreal 2-0
4%
18/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
25/1-
Villarreal 3-1
2%
33/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
33/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/5-
BTTS - No
48%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2-
Home/draw
76%
2/7-
Away/draw
49%
10/11-
Home/away
75%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Home DNB
68%
2/5-
Away DNB
42%
7/4-
A.Madrid win to nil
28%
9/4-
Villarreal win to nil
13%
11/2-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
28%
2/1-
A.Madrid / Villarreal
2%
33/1-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A.Madrid
17%
15/4-
Draw / Villarreal
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Villarreal / A.Madrid
4%
22/1-
Villarreal / Villarreal
13%
11/2-
Villarreal / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Celta000000 
Mar 7
Dec 20
May 9
Nov 29
2
Barcelona000000 
Nov 8
Feb 7
Feb 14
Nov 22
3
Getafe000000 
Mar 21
Nov 22
Nov 8
Feb 7
4
Malaga000000 
Aug 19
Feb 28
Mar 21
Sep 16
5
Valencia000000 
Dec 13
May 9
Feb 21
Oct 25
6
R.Vallecano000000 
May 16
Jan 3
Dec 13
May 2
7
Deportivo000000 
Oct 25
Jan 24
Sep 5
Apr 4
8
Osasuna000000 
Sep 16
Feb 14
May 23
Dec 20
9
Real Betis000000 
Dec 6
May 30
Sep 13
Feb 28
10
Espanyol000000 
Jan 31
Oct 18
Nov 1
Jan 24
11
R.Sociedad000000 
Jan 17
Sep 13
Dec 6
May 30
12
Sevilla000000 
Apr 18
Aug 29
Jan 3
May 16
13
Elche000000 
Feb 21
Nov 29
Oct 18
Mar 14
14
Alaves000000 
May 2
Oct 11
Jan 17
Aug 28
15
Levante000000 
Apr 11
Nov 1
Sep 20
Apr 18
16
Real Madrid000000 
Sep 20
Apr 4
Mar 7
Oct 11
17
Villarreal000000 
Aug 23
Apr 21
-
-
18
A.Madrid000000 
-
-
Apr 21
Aug 23
19
R.Santander000000 
Jan 10
Mar 14
Jan 31
Aug 16
20
A.Bilbao000000 
May 23
Sep 5
Apr 11
Jan 10
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 18TH
league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Villarreal 17TH
league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
7 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
5 / 12
ATM
4
D
5
VIL
3
League games at Villarreal since 2015
Villarreal
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
19
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
ATM
3
D
5
VIL
4
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Villarreal on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 18th Villarreal 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.6
1
Attack rating
%
better
ATM
VIL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ATM
VIL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

A.Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE