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Atletico de Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Diego Pablo Simeone and Iñigo Pérez Soto meet in the La Liga on Sunday afternoon, as Atletico de Madrid face Villarreal at the Wanda Metropolitano. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this La Liga clash.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Liverpool at 20:00 on Wednesday 9th September
Villarreal's next match is v Dortmund at 20:00 on Tuesday 8th September
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and Villarreal was on Sunday 23rd August 2026
Spanish La Liga
August 23rd 2026
A.Madrid 2
2 Villarreal
 
M. Pubill Pagès 59'66' G. Moreno Balaguero
G. Simeone 85'78' G. Mikautadze
 
ATM
VIL
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
5
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
12
13
Yellow/red cards
3/1
2/0
 
A.MadridVillarreal
 
J. Oblak
R. Mendoza Martinez Moya (A. Rodríguez 46')
J. Resurrección Merodio (M. Llorente Moreno 66')
K. Lee (Pablo Barrios Rivas 66')
A. Lookman (J. Giménez de Vargas 79')
D. Hancko
M. Pubill Pagèsfootball icon (J. Álvarez 66')
A. Grimaldo García
R. Le Normand
M. Hjulmand
G. Simeonefootball icon
L. Reis Júnior
J. Foyth
R. Palma Veiga
(T. Oluwaseyi 84') S. Comesaña Veiga
(Ilias Chakkour 79') football iconG. Mikautadze
(G. Moreno Balaguero 60') A. Moleiro González
?. Mouriño González
C. Romero Serrano
P. Gueye
(Carlos Macià 79') N. Pépé
(T. Buchanan 61') A. Pérez Gutiérrez

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that A.Madrid and Villarreal will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Diego Pablo Simeone or Iñigo Pérez Soto has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.30 equating to about a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
53%
4/5-
Draw
23%
29/10
5%
-
Villarreal
24%
31/10
11%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
13%
-
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
A.Madrid 1-0
9%
17/2
7%
-
A.Madrid 2-0
8%
9/1
6%
-
Villarreal 2-1
6%
12/1-
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
12%
-
Villarreal 1-0
6%
14/1
9%
-
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
4%
20/1
12%
-
Villarreal 2-0
3%
22/1
11%
-
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
25/1
15%
-
Villarreal 3-1
2%
28/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
13/10-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - No
41%
5/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
9/4
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1-
Home/draw
76%
2/9
5%
-
Away/draw
47%
19/20-
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/8
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1/2
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Home DNB
69%
4/11
3%
-
Away DNB
40%
2/1
9%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
26%
5/2
5%
-
Villarreal win to nil
11%
8/1
8%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
30%
7/4-
A.Madrid / Villarreal
3%
28/1-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / A.Madrid
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Villarreal
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Villarreal / A.Madrid
4%
20/1-
Villarreal / Villarreal
13%
11/2-
Villarreal / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3300109 
Nov 8
Feb 7
Feb 14
Nov 22
2
Real Madrid430179 
Sep 20
Apr 4
Mar 7
Oct 11
3
Real Betis430109 
Dec 6
May 30
Sep 14
Feb 28
4
Deportivo422038 
Oct 25
Jan 24
l
 
2-3F
Apr 4
5
Alaves321047 
May 2
Oct 11
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
6
Osasuna321027 
Sep 16
Feb 14
May 23
Dec 20
7
A.Madrid421117 
-
-
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
8
A.Bilbao420216 
May 23
l
 
3-0A
Apr 11
Jan 10
9
Sevilla320116 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3F
Jan 3
May 16
10
Levante311104 
Apr 11
Nov 1
Sep 20
Apr 18
11
R.Santander4112-14 
Jan 10
Mar 14
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
12
R.Vallecano4112-34 
May 16
Jan 3
Dec 13
May 2
13
R.Sociedad4112-34 
Jan 17
Sep 13
Dec 6
May 30
14
Espanyol310213 
Jan 31
Oct 18
Nov 1
Jan 24
15
Getafe3102-33 
Mar 21
Nov 22
Nov 8
Feb 7
16
Villarreal4022-22 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 21
-
-
17
Celta4022-32 
Mar 7
Dec 20
May 9
Nov 29
18
Valencia3012-31 
Dec 13
May 9
Feb 21
Oct 25
19
Elche3012-61 
Feb 21
Nov 29
Oct 18
Mar 14
20
Malaga3012-61 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
Mar 21
Sep 17
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
Villarreal 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
7 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
5 / 12
ATM
4
D
5
VIL
3
League games at Villarreal since 2015
Villarreal
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
19
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
ATM
3
D
5
VIL
4
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.9 against Villarreal on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 7th Villarreal 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
12%
better
ATM
VIL
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
0
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored2
2
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for1
1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
67%
better
ATM
VIL
view stats
Games conceded0
1
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded0
2
Avg. goals conceded0
2
Avg. shots/game conceded3
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
5
Conversion rate against0%
22%
Avg. XG against0.4
2.2
KickOff rating
+67%

A.Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
J OblakÁlex BaenaD HanckoM Pubill
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK3
-
M Pubill DEF21
1
-
R Normand DEF2
1
D Hancko DEF31
1
-
A Grimaldo DEF2
-
G Simeone MID311
-
Koke MID3
-
R Mendoza MID3
-
M Hjulmand MID3
1
-
A Lookman FWD31
-
K Lee FWD311
-
Subs
J Musso GLK
-
J Giménez DEF2
1
-
J. Domínguez DEF1
1
-
D. Martinez Moreno DEF1
-
Johnny MID1
-
P Barrios MID31
-
Álex Baena MID331
1
-
M Llorente MID31
1
-
J. Castillo Frutos MID
-
C Martín FWD1
-
A Ortiz FWD2
-
J Álvarez FWD1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
L JúniorN PépéA MoleiroS Mouriño
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Júnior GLK3
-
S Mouriño DEF3
2
-
J Foyth DEF3
2
-
R Veiga DEF3
1
-
C Romero DEF3
1
-
N Pépé MID31
1
-
S Comesaña MID3
-
P Gueye MID31
1
-
A Moleiro MID31
-
A Pérez FWD3
-
G Mikautadze FWD311
-
Subs
P Gulácsi  GLK
-
L Costa DEF
-
A Freeman DEF2
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF
-
S Cardona DEF
-
Carlos Macià MID2
-
C. Thiam MID
-
G Moreno FWD31
-
I Akhomach FWD3
-
T Buchanan FWD3
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD2
-
N. El Jmili Ben Hamou FWD
-