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Mallorca v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Jan, 15:15 BST, Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma

We’ve La Liga action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Jagoba Arrasate Elustondo and his Mallorca side host Ernesto Valverde Tejedor’s Athletic Bilbao at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping under 3.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 80% chance of Mallorca and A.Bilbao 3 goals or less combined during this La Liga match according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mallorca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mallorca
40%
3.753.50
Draw
28%
3.003.20
A.Bilbao
33%
2.152.20
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
Mallorca 1-0
12%
9.007.50
A.Bilbao 1-0
10%
6.506.00
Draw 0-0
9%
7.007.00
Mallorca 2-1
8%
13.0011.00
Mallorca 2-0
7%
17.0013.00
A.Bilbao 2-1
7%
9.508.50
A.Bilbao 2-0
6%
9.508.50
Draw 2-2
5%
17.0015.00
Mallorca 3-1
3%
34.0026.00
Mallorca 3-0
3%
41.0029.00
A.Bilbao 3-1
3%
21.0017.00
A.Bilbao 3-0
2%
21.0015.00
Mallorca 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
2.502.30
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
1.531.55
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.402.40
Away 1st Goal
46%
1.801.80
No 1st Goal
6%
7.007.00
BTTS - Yes
48%
2.002.05
BTTS - No
52%
1.751.73
BTTS - Home Win
16%
8.507.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.50
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5.504.80
Home/draw
67%
1.671.67
Away/draw
60%
1.251.29
Home/away
72%
1.361.35
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1.501.44
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
2.632.62
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5.004.33
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1.171.18
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11.008.50
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.051.05
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
23.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.011.00
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.111.08
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6.507.00
Home DNB
59%
2.502.40
Away DNB
52%
1.501.50
Mallorca win to nil
24%
5.50-
A.Bilbao win to nil
19%
3.40-
Mallorca / Mallorca
14%
6.005.50
Mallorca / A.Bilbao
3%
29.0023.00
Mallorca / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Mallorca
11%
7.507.00
Draw / A.Bilbao
16%
5.005.25
Draw / Draw
19%
4.504.20
A.Bilbao / Mallorca
3%
34.0026.00
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
23%
3.603.30
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Mallorca have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Mallorca have conceded 22 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Mallorca have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

A.Bilbao lay in 8th place on 24 points in the La Liga league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Bilbao have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

A.Bilbao have played 9 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mallorca
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1916123349 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 8
Mar 8
l
 
4-0A
2
Real Madrid1914322445 
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-3A
May 24
3
Villarreal1712231838 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
4
A.Madrid1911531738 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
5
Espanyol181035333 
Mar 15
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2F
May 13
6
Real Betis18774628 
Feb 15
l
 
3-0A
Mar 22
w
 
1-2F
7
Celta18684426 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
May 17
l
 
2-0A
8
A.Bilbao19739-824 
Jan 17
l
 
2-1A
-
-
9
Elche18576122 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 22
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
10
Getafe18639-921 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
11
Sevilla186210-520 
Feb 1
w
 
1-3A
w
 
3-2F
Jan 25
12
Osasuna18549-319 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 8
Apr 22
d
 
1-1A
13
Alaves18549-619 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
l
 
0-1A
May 3
14
R.Vallecano18477-719 
Apr 12
Jan 11
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
15
R.Sociedad18468-418 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Feb 1
l
 
3-2A
16
Mallorca18468-618 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
17
Girona18468-1718 
l
 
1-2A
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
18
Valencia18378-1316 
Apr 22
d
 
1-1F
May 10
l
 
2-0A
19
Levante173410-913 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
20
Real Oviedo182610-1912 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
Mallorca 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
A.Bilbao 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Mallorca have drawn with A.Bilbao in 3 consecutive home league meetings
5
Mallorca have not lost to A.Bilbao in 5 consecutive home league meetings
7
A.Bilbao have not lost to Mallorca in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mallorca since 2019
Mallorca
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
2 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
3 / 5
MLL
1
D
4
League games at A.Bilbao since 2020
A.Bilbao
Mallorca
Goals: Scored
12
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
D
2
ATH
4
Goal Statistics
Mallorca 13th A.Bilbao 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Mallorca will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Mallorca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-25
A.Bilbao have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Mallorca
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
MLL
ATH
view stats
Games scored14
11
Failed to score4
8
Scored first6
8
Goals scored20
17
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
MLL
ATH
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
14
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded26
25
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+8%

Mallorca v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mallorca La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181047
A RaílloV MuriqiJ. Virgili TenasS Costa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Raíllo DEF181
2
-
J Palacio DEF183
2
-
M Valjent DEF18
1
-
S Darder MID181
3
-
V Muriqi FWD1710
1
1
M Joseph FWD1721
2
-
P Torre MID162
1
-
M Morlanes MID151
2
1
S Costa MID153
7
-
P Maffeo DEF141
4
-
A Sánchez MID14
3
1
L Román GLK13
2
-
T Asano FWD131
2
-
J. Virgili Tenas FWD134
-
M Bauzà DEF111
2
-
O Mascarell MID1111
2
-
J Llabrés FWD8
-
M. Domenech FWD71
-
A Prats FWD7
-
L Bergström GLK5
1
-
M Kumbulla DEF5
-
T Lato DEF4
-
D Rodríguez MID2
-
D. López Guijarro DEF1
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19327
U SimónR NavarroÁlex BerenguerI Galarreta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK19
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID191
2
-
D Vivian DEF17
5
1
I Galarreta MID17
7
-
Álex Berenguer FWD1722
3
-
G Guruzeta FWD172
1
-
J Areso DEF161
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF16
2
-
R Navarro FWD1531
1
-
N Williams FWD1532
2
-
O Sancet MID141
1
1
A. Rego Mora MID131
2
-
A Paredes DEF121
2
-
M Vesga MID12
-
I Williams FWD121
1
-
A Laporte DEF111
2
-
U Gómez MID11
-
A Gorosabel DEF91
2
-
N Serrano  FWD8
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD81
1
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF6
1
-
I Lekue DEF6
1
-
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi FWD6
1
-
B Prados MID2
1
-
?. Padilla Pérez GLK1
1