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Mallorca v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 15:15 BST, Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma

Saturday afternoon at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, and it’s a La Liga showdown between Mallorca and Real Madrid. Jagoba Arrasate Elustondo and Álvaro Arbeloa Coca will be doing all they can to guide their side to victory. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this La Liga clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% probability of Mallorca and Real Madrid serving up at least a couple of goals in this La Liga clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mallorca
27%
5.50-
Draw
24%
3.80-
Real Madrid
48%
1.60-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
8.50-
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8.50-
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
8.50-
Mallorca 1-0
7%
17.00-
Mallorca 2-1
7%
17.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
12.00-
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
12.00-
Mallorca 2-0
4%
29.00-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
21.00-
Mallorca 3-1
3%
41.00-
Mallorca 3-2
2%
41.00-
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
21.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.67-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
2.20-
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.63-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.50-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.70-
BTTS - No
44%
2.05-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
9.00-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3.10-
Home/draw
52%
2.30-
Away/draw
73%
1.14-
Home/away
76%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.63-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.50-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.20-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.07-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15.00-
Home DNB
44%
4.00-
Away DNB
65%
1.22-
Mallorca win to nil
13%
11.00-
Real Madrid win to nil
25%
3.00-
Mallorca / Mallorca
10%
8.50-
Mallorca / Real Madrid
4%
19.00-
Mallorca / Draw
5%
15.00-
Draw / Mallorca
7%
11.00-
Draw / Real Madrid
18%
4.50-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Real Madrid / Mallorca
2%
34.00-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
34%
2.40-
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Mallorca have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 5 and won 7. Mallorca have conceded 46 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Mallorca have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 66 points in the La Liga league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 20, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 58 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2823144970 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid2821343666 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
-
-
3
Villarreal2918472058 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
4
A.Madrid2817652257 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
5
Real Betis2811116844 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
5-1F
Apr 26
6
Celta2810117741 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
7
R.Sociedad2910811-138 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
8
Getafe2911513-638 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
9
Osasuna2910712-137 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
10
Espanyol2910712-837 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 3
11
Valencia299812-1035 
Apr 22
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
A.Bilbao2810513-1035 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
May 24
w
 
0-3F
13
Girona2981011-1334 
l
 
1-2A
May 3
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
14
R.Vallecano2871110-632 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Sevilla298714-1231 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
May 17
16
Elche2961112-829 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2A
17
Alaves287714-1228 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
18
Mallorca297715-1328 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Apr 4
19
Levante296815-1426 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
20
Real Oviedo294916-2821 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
May 13
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Mallorca 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mallorca2 - 1Espanyol
Mallorca0 - 1R.Sociedad
Mallorca1 - 2Real Betis
Mallorca4 - 1Sevilla
Mallorca3 - 2A.Bilbao
Mallorca1 - 2Girona
Mallorca3 - 1Elche
Mallorca2 - 2Osasuna
Mallorca1 - 0Getafe
Mallorca1 - 1Levante
Mallorca1 - 0Alaves
Mallorca1 - 1A.Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1Celta
Mallorca0 - 3Barcelona
Mallorca1 - 2Getafe
Mallorca2 - 1Valladolid
Mallorca0 - 0Leganes
Mallorca1 - 2Celta
Mallorca2 - 1Espanyol
Mallorca1 - 1Alaves
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMallorca2 - 1Espanyol
AMallorca2 - 2Osasuna
HMallorca0 - 1R.Sociedad
AMallorca0 - 2Celta
HMallorca1 - 2Real Betis
AMallorca0 - 3Barcelona
HMallorca4 - 1Sevilla
AMallorca0 - 3A.Madrid
HMallorca3 - 2A.Bilbao
AMallorca1 - 2R.Vallecano
HMallorca1 - 2Girona
AMallorca1 - 1Valencia
HMallorca3 - 1Elche
AMallorca0 - 0Real Oviedo
HMallorca2 - 2Osasuna
AMallorca1 - 2Villarreal
HMallorca1 - 0Getafe
AMallorca0 - 3Real Betis
HMallorca1 - 1Levante
AMallorca3 - 1Sevilla
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
Osasuna2 - 1Real Madrid
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
Villarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid4 - 1Elche
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
AReal Madrid1 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mallorca since 2019
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
MLL
2
D
1
RMD
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mallorca
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca1 - 0
0 - 3Real Madrid
Mallorca1 - 0
League games at Real Madrid since 2020
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Goals: Scored
17
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
RMD
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Real Madrid6 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Mallorca on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Mallorca 18th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Mallorca will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Mallorca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Mallorca
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
%
better
MLL
RMD
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MLL
RMD
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Mallorca v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mallorca La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281859
M ValjentV MuriqiJ. Virgili TenasS Costa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Palacio DEF283
5
-
M Valjent DEF28
4
-
S Darder MID2814
3
-
M Joseph FWD2722
2
-
V Muriqi FWD27181
3
1
P Torre MID2522
3
-
S Costa MID255
9
-
L Román GLK23
3
-
P Maffeo DEF231
7
-
A Sánchez MID23
3
1
A Raíllo DEF221
3
-
M Morlanes MID221
3
1
J. Virgili Tenas FWD225
2
O Mascarell MID2112
4
-
M Bauzà DEF161
2
-
T Asano FWD151
2
-
J Llabrés FWD14
-
A Prats FWD10
-
T Lato DEF81
2
-
M Kumbulla DEF7
1
-
M. Domenech FWD71
-
D. López Guijarro DEF6
1
-
L Bergström GLK5
1
-
D Rodríguez MID2
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282387
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK28
1
-
A Güler MID2848
1
-
F Valverde MID2737
2
-
V Junior FWD2795
7
-
A Tchouameni MID251
6
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2322
5
1
G. García Torres FWD234
1
-
K Mbappé FWD23234
3
-
D. Huijsen DEF2022
5
1
E Camavinga MID201
1
-
B Díaz FWD204
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF192
3
-
Rodrygo FWD1913
3
-
J Bellingham MID1843
1
-
F. Mastantuono FWD161
4
1
D Ceballos MID15
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF132
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
D Carvajal DEF11
-
A Rüdiger DEF111
-
F García DEF811
1
1
D Alaba DEF8
1
-
F Mendy DEF2
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
Endrick FWD1
1